EUR\/USD, ge\u00e7en hafta Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nden gelen daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u201csert\u201d veriler, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ve Japonya kaynakl\u0131 ABD Dolar\u0131 sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 gibi destekleyici unsurlara ra\u011fmen y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcremedi. Paritenin zay\u0131f seyrinin, ABD yetkililerinin cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc EUR\/JPY\u2019de kurlar\u0131 yoklad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve EUR\/JPY satm\u0131\u015f olabilece\u011fine dair haberlerle ili\u015fkilendirildi\u011fi belirtiliyor. Bu ak\u0131m\u0131n, euro \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir etki yaratmaktan ziyade k\u0131sa vadeli bir bask\u0131 unsuru olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ifade ediliyor.<\/p>\n
ABD Hazine\u2019sinin euro cinsinden d\u00f6viz rezervlerinin yakla\u015f\u0131k 13 milyar dolar d\u00fczeyinde oldu\u011fu; bunun 1,2 milyar dolar\u0131n\u0131n mevduat, 11,7 milyar dolar\u0131n\u0131n ise menkul k\u0131ymetlerden olu\u015ftu\u011fu belirtiliyor. Bu b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fck, Japonya\u2019n\u0131n piyasa operasyonlar\u0131 ve k\u00fcresel FX ak\u0131mlar\u0131na k\u0131yasla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kal\u0131yor. Olas\u0131 bir EUR\/JPY sat\u0131\u015f\u0131, D\u00f6viz \u0130stikrar Fonu\u2019nda (Exchange Stabilisation Fund) yen varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 fiilen art\u0131r\u0131rken euro pozisyonunu azaltacakt\u0131r; ancak EUR\/USD\u2019nin y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fcn Fed\u2019in eyl\u00fcl karar\u0131 ve bu haftaki ABD verilerine ba\u011fl\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu geli\u015fmelerin, paritenin 1,1615\/20 direncini test edip etmeyece\u011fini ya da 1,15\u2019in alt\u0131na geri \u00e7ekilip \u00e7ekilmeyece\u011fini belirleyece\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na, kritik eyl\u00fcl Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131rken \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda EUR\/USD\u2019de sert bir k\u0131r\u0131lmaya pozisyonlanmalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Euro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomik g\u00f6stergeleri dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 koruyor ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f euroyu destekliyor; ancak ABD faizlerine ili\u015fkin belirsizlik piyasada yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. Parite kritik d\u00f6n\u00fcm noktalar\u0131na yak\u0131n seyrederken, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n volatiliteyi yakalamaya odaklanmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n
ABD Hazine\u2019sinin kur y\u00f6netimi kapsam\u0131nda EUR\/JPY satt\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair haberler olsa da, bu bask\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7ici oldu\u011funa inan\u0131yoruz. ABD D\u00f6viz \u0130stikrar Fonu\u2019nun euro cinsinden varl\u0131klar\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k 13 milyar dolar seviyesinde; bu da k\u00fcresel d\u00f6viz piyasalar\u0131nda g\u00fcnl\u00fck yakla\u015f\u0131k 7,5 trilyon dolarl\u0131k i\u015flem hacmiyle k\u0131yasland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u00e7ok s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fck. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, bu spesifik m\u00fcdahaleden kaynaklanan euro \u00fczerindeki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde s\u00f6n\u00fcmlenece\u011fini de\u011ferlendiriyoruz.<\/p>\n
K\u0131sa vadede kataliz\u00f6r g\u00f6revi g\u00f6recek ABD makro veri a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131 i\u015flemeye y\u00f6nelik olarak opsiyon strangle stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri EUR\/USD\u2019yi kolayl\u0131kla 1,1500 seviyesinin alt\u0131na itebilirken, zay\u0131f verilerin 1,1615\/20 diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesinin test edilmesini tetiklemesi muhtemel. Tarihsel olarak a\u011fustos i\u015flem hacimleri daha s\u0131\u011f oldu\u011fundan, veri s\u00fcrprizleri orant\u0131s\u0131z fiyat hareketleri do\u011furabilir.<\/p>\n
ABD enflasyon ve istihdam verilerinin eyl\u00fclde daha agresif bir Fed faiz indirimi sinyali vermesi halinde, euronun mevcut tavan\u0131n\u0131 rahatl\u0131kla a\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, 1,1500\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131na ani bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 mevcut uzun pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 korumak i\u00e7in bariyer opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 da kullanabilir. Tokyo\u2019nun s\u00fcren dolar sat\u0131\u015f operasyonlar\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131ndan izlenmesi, dolar\u0131n genel momentumu hakk\u0131nda da daha sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir g\u00f6sterge sunacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Fed \u00f6ncesi kritik viraj: EUR\/USD g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc Euro B\u00f6lgesi verilerine ra\u011fmen tutunamad\u0131. ABD\u2019nin olas\u0131 EUR\/JPY sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli bask\u0131. Y\u00f6n, ABD verileri ve eyl\u00fcl Fed\u2019e ba\u011fl\u0131; 1,1615\/20\u20131,15 band\u0131 izleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49985,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52257","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t