Sterlin, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Banka Faizi\u2019ni %3,75\u2019te sabit tutmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa i\u015flemlerinin erken saatlerinde dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda zay\u0131flad\u0131. GBP\/USD paritesi 1,3470 civar\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,1 geriledi. Karar 6\u2019ya 3 oyla al\u0131nd\u0131 ve BoE, Orta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 risklerin s\u00fcrmesi ve enflasyonda ikinci tur etkilerin ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 halinde ilave faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n gerekli olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yineledi. Toplant\u0131 sonras\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma beklentileri t\u00f6rp\u00fclendi; Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ima edilen fiyatlamas\u0131 %60\u2019tan %30\u2019a gerilerken, y\u0131l sonuna kadar fiyatlanan toplam art\u0131\u015f 31 baz puana d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc (g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 11,4 baz puan azal\u0131\u015f).<\/p>\n\n
ABD-\u0130ran aras\u0131nda ate\u015fkesin yenilendi\u011fine dair haberlerle petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n gerilemesi risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 destekledi; S&P 500 vadeli kontratlar\u0131 %0,6 y\u00fckseli\u015fle 7.535 civar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Teknik tarafta GBP\/USD 1,3475 civar\u0131nda seyrederek 1,3389\u2019daki 20 periyotluk EMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131; RSI 59 seviyesinde. Destek 1,3389 civar\u0131ndaki 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019da g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, diren\u00e7 1,3500 psikolojik seviyesinde ve bunun \u00fczerinde Temmuz zirvesi 1,3558\u2019de bulunuyor.<\/p>\n\n
A\u011fustos i\u015flem haftalar\u0131na girerken, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n GBP\/USD\u2019de 1,3500 diren\u00e7 seviyesini yak\u0131ndan izlemesini \u00f6neriyoruz. BoE\u2019nin faizi %3,75\u2019te sabit tutmas\u0131 ve faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentilerinin geri \u00e7ekilmesi, sterlin \u00fczerinde k\u0131sa vadede a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. Tarihsel olarak A\u011fustos ay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck likidite ve ani volatiliteye a\u00e7\u0131k olabildi\u011finden, 1,3470 pivot b\u00f6lgesi k\u0131sa vadeli t\u00fcrev pozisyonlanmas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik.<\/p>\n\n
Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na daha derin bir geri \u00e7ekilmeye kar\u015f\u0131 korunma amac\u0131yla kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 1,3389\u2019daki 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcstel hareketli ortalamaya (EMA) yak\u0131n olan k\u0131sa vadeli put opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011ferlendirilebilece\u011fini \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu strateji, Eyl\u00fcl faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisinin %60\u2019tan %30\u2019a sert d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle sterlinin faiz\/getiri avantaj\u0131n\u0131n temel olarak zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla da destekleniyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, 1,3500 \u00fczerinde net bir k\u0131r\u0131lma ve g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi halinde, Temmuz zirvesi 1,3558\u2019i hedefleyen call opsiyonlar\u0131na ge\u00e7meyi tercih ederiz.<\/p>\n\n
S&P 500 vadeli kontratlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fin 7.535 civar\u0131nda s\u00fcrmesi ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn etkisiyle olu\u015fan k\u00fcresel \u201crisk-on\u201d hava, genel piyasa duyarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n daha riskli varl\u0131klar\u0131 desteklemeye devam etti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu makro zemin, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman cazibesini \u00e7o\u011fu zaman s\u0131n\u0131rlayarak GBP\u2019deki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn boyutunu k\u0131s\u0131tlayabilir. 1,3500 seviyesinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131 durumunda, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyeli yakalarken \u00f6denen primi s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in bull call spread stratejileri kullan\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n\n
Tarihsel veriler, GBP\/USD\u2019nin \u00f6nceki d\u00f6ng\u00fclerde 1,3500 seviyesine yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bunun g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir psikolojik bariyer olarak \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Mevcut durumda g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI\u2019\u0131n 59 seviyesinde olmas\u0131, parite teknik olarak a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine girmeden \u00f6nce yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket alan\u0131 bulundu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Bu nedenle \u00e7evik kal\u0131nmal\u0131; vadeli i\u015flem ve opsiyon portf\u00f6ylerini korumak i\u00e7in 1,3389 deste\u011finin hemen alt\u0131na stop-loss emirleri yerle\u015ftirilerek risk y\u00f6netimi g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilmelidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Sterlin BoE\u2019nin faizi %3,75\u2019te tutmas\u0131yla dolara kar\u015f\u0131 zay\u0131flad\u0131; Eyl\u00fcl art\u0131r\u0131m olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %60\u2019tan %30\u2019a indi. GBP\/USD 1,3470\u2019te; kritik e\u015fikler 1,3389 destek, 1,3500 diren\u00e7. Risk-on hava kayb\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49969,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52240","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t