{"id":52216,"date":"2026-08-03T03:21:45","date_gmt":"2026-08-03T03:21:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/euro-petrol-dususu-ve-ecb-faiz-artirimi-beklentileriyle-dolarin-gerilemesi-sonrasi-11500-uzerinde-yukselisini-surdurdu\/"},"modified":"2026-08-03T03:21:45","modified_gmt":"2026-08-03T03:21:45","slug":"euro-petrol-dususu-ve-ecb-faiz-artirimi-beklentileriyle-dolarin-gerilemesi-sonrasi-11500-uzerinde-yukselisini-surdurdu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/euro-petrol-dususu-ve-ecb-faiz-artirimi-beklentileriyle-dolarin-gerilemesi-sonrasi-11500-uzerinde-yukselisini-surdurdu\/","title":{"rendered":"Euro, petrol d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ve ECB faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentileriyle dolar\u0131n gerilemesi sonras\u0131 1,1500 \u00fczerinde y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc"},"content":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD, ge\u00e7en hafta 1,1460\u20131,1470 diren\u00e7 band\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerine ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 geni\u015fleterek Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00fcst \u00fcste be\u015finci seansta da y\u00fckseldi ve Asya i\u015flemlerinde 1,1500\u2019lerin orta b\u00f6lgesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karak 17 Haziran\u2019dan bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131. Hareket, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki zay\u0131flamayla ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neme denk geldi; Dolar Endeksi (DXY), y\u0131l i\u00e7i zirvesinden geri \u00e7ekilmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f de Greenback \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, ABD g\u00fc\u00e7lerine \u0130ran\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 yeni sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 \u015fimdilik erteleme talimat\u0131 verece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi ve be\u015f ayd\u0131r s\u00fcren sava\u015f\u0131n sona erdirilmesine y\u00f6nelik \u00e7er\u00e7eve ko\u015fullara i\u015faret etti. Bu geli\u015fmelerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, OPEC+ Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda \u00fcretimi art\u0131rma karar\u0131 ald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Brown Brothers Harriman, DXY\u2019nin 96,00\u2013100,00 band\u0131na geri d\u00f6nece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc revize ederek bu de\u011fi\u015fimi, Fed\u2019in enflasyona tepkisine ili\u015fkin politika kayg\u0131lar\u0131yla ili\u015fkilendirdi. Dolar, Japon Yeni\u2019nde devam eden k\u0131sa pozisyon kapamalar\u0131n\u0131n da etkisiyle bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Euro, dayan\u0131kl\u0131 gelen Euro B\u00f6lgesi enflasyon verileri ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc 2\u00c726 GSYH art\u0131\u015f\u0131yla destek buldu; bu iki unsur birlikte, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 daha yapaca\u011f\u0131 beklentilerini peki\u015ftirdi. Odak, ay\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndaki ABD verilerine \u00e7evrilirken, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fcn ilerleyen saatlerinde a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ISM \u0130malat PMI \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

EUR\/USD, DXY ve Petrol \u0130\u00e7in \u0130\u015flem Stratejileri<\/h3>\n

T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na, EUR\/USD\u2019nin 1,1460-1,1470 bariyerinin \u00fczerindeki k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131, al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call) veya vadeli i\u015flem s\u00f6zle\u015fmeleri \u00fczerinden uzun pozisyonlar olu\u015fturarak de\u011ferlendirmelerini \u00f6neriyoruz. Pazartesi, 3 A\u011fustos 2026 itibar\u0131yla spot fiyatlar\u0131n 1,1550\u2019nin \u00fczerine t\u0131rmanmas\u0131yla teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 1,1700 seviyesine do\u011fru net bir alan a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Tarihsel olarak, benzer \u015fekilde \u00e7ok ayl\u0131k yatay kritik diren\u00e7lerin \u00fczerindeki k\u0131r\u0131lmalar kal\u0131c\u0131 bir momentum \u00fcretti\u011finden, yak\u0131n vadeli EUR\/USD al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 olduk\u00e7a cazip g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Ayr\u0131ca ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019nde (DXY) sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (put) kullanarak k\u0131sa pozisyon taraf\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmeyi; hedef olarak 96,00 ile 100,00 band\u0131na do\u011fru bir geri \u00e7ekilmeyi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yoruz. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki yumu\u015fama, Fed\u2019in agresif faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 yapma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131rken DXY yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumu kaybetti. De\u011fi\u015fen faiz patikas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc, A\u011fustos\u2019un geri kalan\u0131nda USD vadeli i\u015flemlerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc maj\u00f6r para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 sat\u0131\u015f pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcksek olas\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 bir kurgu haline getiriyor.<\/p>\n

Enerji taraf\u0131nda ise, OPEC+\u2019\u0131n Eyl\u00fcl \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki tansiyonun d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle Brent petrol\u00fcn a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 nedeniyle petrol vadeli i\u015flemlerinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fcn de\u011ferlendirilmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. G\u00fcncel piyasa verileri, Brent\u2019in kritik destek seviyelerini korumakta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterirken projeksiyonlar varil ba\u015f\u0131na 70 dolar seviyesine do\u011fru olas\u0131 bir geri \u00e7ekilmeye i\u015faret ediyor. Ham petrol \u00fczerinde sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put) al\u0131m\u0131, artan arz ve azalan jeopolitik risk primiyle piyasan\u0131n yeniden fiyatlama s\u00fcrecinde ya\u015fanabilecek ilave d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flere kar\u015f\u0131 korunma sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n

Makro Trendler ve Para Politikas\u0131 Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131<\/h3>\n

Makroekonomik cephede, yak\u0131n zamanda %2,6 civar\u0131nda dengelenen diren\u00e7li Euro B\u00f6lgesi enflasyonu ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc 2\u00c7 2026 GSYH verisi, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131rma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Bu \u015fahin beklentilerden faydalanmak i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli faiz t\u00fcrevlerinde pozisyon al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. S\u0131k\u0131la\u015fan bir ECB ile bekle-g\u00f6r modundaki Fed aras\u0131ndaki bu para politikas\u0131 ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, yak\u0131n vadede Euro\u2019daki g\u00fcc\u00fc beslemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD, 1,1470 \u00fcst\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lmayla 1,1550\u2019yi a\u015f\u0131p 1,1700 hedefini g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Zay\u0131f DXY, d\u00fc\u015fen petrol ve \u015fahin ECB beklentisi destekliyor; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar long EUR, short DXY ve Brent\u2019te d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49985,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52216","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t