USD\/CHF haftal\u0131k diplerden toparlanarak g\u00fcn i\u00e7i 0,8127 zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra 0,8080 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; rapora g\u00f6re hareketin, varsay\u0131lan m\u00fcdahale ile ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor. Nikkei, Japonya\u2019n\u0131n Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc yeni destek ad\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ABD Hazine Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131 kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na ilave m\u00fcdahalelere haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmalar\u0131 gerekti\u011fini iletti\u011fini yazd\u0131.<\/p>\n\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan paritenin, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA ile 10 Temmuz d\u00f6ng\u00fc dibi olan 0,8010\u2019un \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimini korudu\u011fu ifade ediliyor. RSI, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc i\u015faret etse de ay\u0131la\u015fmaya d\u00f6nen bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor; analiz, y\u00fckseli\u015fin yeniden teyidi i\u00e7in 0,8100 seviyesinin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini vurguluyor. Bunun \u00fczerinde 0,8175 (30 Temmuz zirvesi) ve 0,8200 g\u00fcndeme gelirken, ivmenin s\u00fcrmesi halinde y\u0131ll\u0131k zirve olan 0,8207 ek bir e\u015fik olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde ise 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA ve 0,8010\u2019un alt\u0131na sarkma 0,8000\u2019i g\u00fcndeme getirecek; ilave destekler 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 0,7952 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 0,7927 seviyelerinde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda USD\/CHF i\u00e7in 0,8100 diren\u00e7 seviyesini yak\u0131ndan izlemelerini \u00f6neriyoruz; zira olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lma 0,8200\u2019e do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir ralli tetikleyebilir. Bu potansiyel hareket, paritenin 0,8010 destek seviyesi yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama (SMA) seviyesini ba\u015far\u0131yla savunmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geliyor. \u015eu anda paritenin 0,8080 civar\u0131nda seyretmesi, al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n son y\u00fckseli\u015f trendini korumak i\u00e7in aktif \u015fekilde devreye girdi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. <\/p>\n\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc desteklemek i\u00e7in \u0130svi\u00e7re\u2019nin ekonomik verilerine bakmak gerekiyor: Enflasyon yakla\u015f\u0131k %1,3 ile d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seyrini koruyor ve bu durum \u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019na faizleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tutma konusunda geni\u015f bir alan b\u0131rak\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131ca \u0130svi\u00e7re imalat PMI verisi son d\u00f6nemde 43,9 puan civar\u0131nda seyrederek sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde daralman\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor. Bu i\u00e7 kaynakl\u0131 ekonomik zay\u0131fl\u0131k genel olarak \u0130svi\u00e7re Frang\u0131\u2019na talebi azaltarak, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019nda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir harekete y\u00f6nelik g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc destekliyor.<\/p>\n\n
Bununla birlikte, k\u00fcresel merkez bankalar\u0131ndan artan m\u00fcdahale endi\u015feleri nedeniyle ani oynakl\u0131k riskine kar\u015f\u0131 temkinli olmak gerekiyor. Temmuz 2024\u2019te benzer piyasa stresinde Japon yetkililerin d\u00f6viz m\u00fcdahalelerinde 35 milyar dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde harcama yapmas\u0131, kamu ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n FX trendlerini ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 tersine \u00e7evirebildi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. ABD Hazine Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na ilave m\u00fcdahalelere haz\u0131rl\u0131k \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair haberler dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, oynakl\u0131kta ani s\u0131\u00e7ramalar beklenmeli. <\/p>\n\n
Opsiyon i\u015flemi yapanlar i\u00e7in, USD\/CHF\u2019nin 0,8100 e\u015fi\u011finin \u00fczerine net \u015fekilde \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 halinde k\u0131sa vadeli al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Ters senaryoda, fiyat 0,8010 deste\u011finin alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015ferse, 0,7952\u2019deki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019y\u0131 hedeflemek \u00fczere h\u0131zl\u0131ca sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fclmeli. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki ay kald\u0131ra\u00e7 kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131 tutulmas\u0131 kritik olacak; zira k\u00fcresel g\u00fcvenli liman ak\u0131mlar\u0131 bir gecede y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015ftirebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" USD\/CHF haftal\u0131k dipten 0,8080\u2019e toparland\u0131; m\u00fcdahale s\u00f6ylentileri fiyatl\u0131yor. 0,8100 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 0,8200-0,8207 ralli; 0,8010 alt\u0131 0,8000 ve 0,7952\u2019ye bask\u0131. Oynakl\u0131k risk.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49961,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52187","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t