AUD\/USD, Asya seans\u0131n\u0131n erken saatlerinde 0,6965\u2019e kadar uzanan y\u00fckseli\u015fi, dipten al\u0131mlarla ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na talebin yeniden canlanmas\u0131yla geri verdi. Parite, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fclen iki haftay\u0131 a\u015fan dip seviyenin \u00fczerinde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrse de 0,6900\u2019lerin ortas\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %0,10\u2019dan daha az de\u011fer kaybetti. Piyasa fiyatlamalar\u0131 2026\u2019da ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ihtimaline do\u011fru kayarken, ABD-\u0130ran geriliminin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 artan petrol fiyat\u0131 oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcvenli liman niteli\u011fiyle Dolar\u2019a destek verdi. \u00d6te yandan, Avustralya\u2019da t\u00fcketici enflasyon verisinin beklentilerden daha zay\u0131f gelmesi, Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) yak\u0131n vadeli faiz art\u0131r\u0131m beklentilerinin \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesine neden olarak Avustralya Dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131 ve AUD\/USD\u2019deki toparlanmay\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan, 0,7020 civar\u0131nda tekrarlayan ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z denemeler ve d\u00f6rt saatlik grafikte 100 periyotluk EMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen gece kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131, e\u011filimi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc tutuyor. RSI 50 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda ve MACD s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n hafif alt\u0131nda kalarak s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015f momentumuna i\u015faret ediyor. \u0130lave d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f i\u00e7in 0,6925\u2019in ve 0,6900 yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkma gerekece\u011fi, bunun da 0,6865\u2019e, ard\u0131ndan 0,6835\u2019e ve mart ay\u0131ndaki y\u0131l i\u00e7i dip seviye olan 0,6800 civar\u0131na do\u011fru hareket alan\u0131 a\u00e7abilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendiriliyor. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nde ise 0,6974\u2019teki 100 periyotluk EMA ilk diren\u00e7 konumunda.<\/p>\n
AUD\/USD paritesini, 0,6950 civar\u0131nda tutunmakta zorlan\u0131rken yak\u0131ndan izliyoruz; bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir trende haz\u0131rl\u0131k yapmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Fed\u2019in enflasyonla m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in faizleri y\u00fcksek seviyelerde tutmas\u0131 ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki jeopolitik gerilimin petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 itmesi, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman stat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Avustralya\u2019da enflasyonun son d\u00f6nemde beklentilerden daha fazla so\u011fumas\u0131, RBA\u2019n\u0131n yak\u0131n vadede faiz art\u0131rma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Bu momentumdan faydalanmak i\u00e7in, parite 0,6974\u2019teki 100 periyotluk \u00fcstel hareketli ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131nda bask\u0131land\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015flerin sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirilmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Opsiyon taraf\u0131nda ise 0,6900 veya 0,6850 hedefli kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131na sahip sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131, beklenen geri \u00e7ekilmeden faydalanmak i\u00e7in d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck riskli bir y\u00f6ntem sunabilir. Tarihsel olarak Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda faiz avantaj\u0131n\u0131 kaybetti\u011fi d\u00f6nemlerde, bu t\u00fcr d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar\u0131 destekleyen kal\u0131c\u0131 bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Daha agresif k\u0131sa pozisyonlara ge\u00e7meden \u00f6nce, 0,6925\u2019teki kritik deste\u011fin ve 0,6900 seviyesindeki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalaman\u0131n net bi\u00e7imde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n beklenmesini tavsiye ediyoruz. Bu seviyelerin tutunamamas\u0131 halinde 0,6865 b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ve devam\u0131nda 0,6800\u2019e do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilme potansiyeli \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Yakla\u015fan ABD istihdam verileri ile k\u00fcresel enerji raporlar\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131ndan izlenmesi \u00f6nemli olacak; oynakl\u0131kta olas\u0131 ani s\u0131\u00e7ramalar k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli sert hareketler yaratabilir ve bunlar yeni k\u0131sa kontratlara giri\u015f i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat sunabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u015eok geli\u015fme: AUD\/USD 0,6965\u2019ten geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc! Dolar\u2019a g\u00fcvenli liman talebi ve zay\u0131f Avustralya enflasyonu bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. 0,6925-0,6900 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 0,6865\/0,6800 hedefleri g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50032,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52006","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t