Alt\u0131n, g\u00fcn i\u00e7i i\u015flemlerde 4.100 dolar seviyesinden gelen reddin ard\u0131ndan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc; ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc FOMC sonras\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclen geri \u00e7ekilmenin ard\u0131ndan yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7 kazanmas\u0131yla bir \u00f6nceki seansta ula\u015f\u0131lan bir haftan\u0131n zirvesinden geri \u00e7ekildi. ABD-\u0130ran geriliminin petrol \u00fczerinden enflasyon endi\u015felerini k\u00f6r\u00fcklemesiyle piyasalar, y\u0131l sonuna kadar en az bir Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentisini fiyatlamaya devam etti; bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, faiz getirisi olmayan k\u00fcl\u00e7eye olan talebi azaltt\u0131. Fed, iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck toplant\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan faizleri sabit tuttu; ancak \u00fc\u00e7 politika yap\u0131c\u0131 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015ftan yana muhalefet \u015ferhi koydu. Dikkatler, politika patikas\u0131na dair ipucu i\u00e7in a\u00e7\u0131klanacak \u00f6nc\u00fc 2\u00c7 GSYH verisi ile PCE Fiyat Endeksi\u2019ne \u00e7evrildi.<\/p>\n
Enerji piyasalar\u0131, ABD\u2019nin \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc FOMC sonras\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle birlikte, ABD-\u0130ran \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6n verdi\u011fi bir zeminde seyretti. Bu kapsamda H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 ve Bab\u00fclmendep \u00e7evresindeki riskler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki ABD g\u00fc\u00e7lerine y\u00f6nelik s\u00fcrpriz f\u00fcze sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan gelen ABD sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 g\u00fcndemdeydi. Haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131nda ayr\u0131ca Irak\u2019ta \u0130ran\u2019la ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 militanlara kar\u015f\u0131 ABD-Suudi ortak sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 ve Yemen\u2019de \u0130ran destekli Husilerin g\u00fcney K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz\u2019deki gemilerden \u00fccret alma se\u00e7ene\u011fini de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fi iddialar\u0131 yer ald\u0131. Teknik tarafta alt\u0131n, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan bir ayd\u0131r s\u00fcren bant hareketi i\u00e7inde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; MACD pozitife d\u00f6nerken RSI 48 civar\u0131nda. Diren\u00e7 4.200 dolar civar\u0131nda ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 4.490,80 dolarda bulunurken, XAU\/USD i\u00e7in destek 3.976\u20134.000 dolar band\u0131nda izleniyor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na, makroekonomik dinamiklerin yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyeli s\u0131n\u0131rlamas\u0131 nedeniyle \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde s\u00fcren a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131ya haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. ABD-\u0130ran geriliminin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131yla Brent petrol\u00fcn varilinin 88 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rmesi, enerji kaynakl\u0131 enflasyonun kal\u0131c\u0131 bir risk olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na neden oluyor. Bu jeopolitik s\u00fcrt\u00fc\u015fme ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tutarken, alt\u0131n gibi faiz getirisi olmayan varl\u0131klar\u0131 daha az cazip hale getiriyor.<\/p>\n
Fed\u2019in son toplant\u0131da faizleri sabit tutma karar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan piyasa, y\u0131l sonuna kadar bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 h\u00e2l\u00e2 %62 d\u00fczeyinde fiyatl\u0131yor. Bu \u015fahin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, \u00fc\u00e7 Fed politika yap\u0131c\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n muhalefet ederek 25 baz puanl\u0131k acil art\u0131\u015f talep etmesiyle destekleniyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n Fed\u2019in ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde agresif hareket edece\u011fini \u00f6l\u00e7mek i\u00e7in yakla\u015fan PCE fiyat endeksi verisine odaklanmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan alt\u0131n, 4.100 dolar e\u015fi\u011finin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k sa\u011flayamamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimli bir konsolidasyon faz\u0131nda. Metal, olas\u0131 uzun vadeli toparlanmalar i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir bariyer olu\u015fturan 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalamas\u0131 olan 4.490,80 dolar\u0131n belirgin \u015fekilde alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu arada G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 48 seviyesinde zay\u0131f seyrederken, k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f denemelerinin 4.200 dolar civar\u0131nda yo\u011fun sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131 olas\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmden faydalanmak i\u00e7in, alt\u0131n 4.100\u20134.150 dolar diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fleri yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda k\u0131sa pozisyon a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 veya put opsiyonu al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu bant i\u00e7inde para d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (out-of-the-money) call opsiyonu sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 ya da bear call spread stratejileri kullan\u0131m\u0131, bant hareketinin h\u00e2kim oldu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimli ortamda d\u00fczenli prim geliri sa\u011flayabilir. Stop-loss seviyelerinin 4.200 dolar\u0131n hemen \u00fczerinde s\u0131k\u0131 tutulmas\u0131n\u0131, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 3.976 dolar civar\u0131ndaki kritik destek taban\u0131n\u0131n hedeflenmesini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda g\u00fcnl\u00fck petrol ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n tarihsel olarak 20 milyon varili a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, arz \u015foku riskinin y\u00fcksek seyretmesi opsiyon piyasas\u0131nda ima edilen volatilitenin s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, k\u0131sa alt\u0131n pozisyonlar\u0131na e\u015flik edecek \u015fekilde ham petrol vadeli i\u015flemleri \u00fczerine uzun call opsiyonlar\u0131 sat\u0131n alarak portf\u00f6ylerini hedge edebilir. Bu ikili strateji, jeopolitik t\u0131rman\u0131\u015flardan getiri elde etmeyi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn k\u0131larken, ani piyasa d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015flerine kar\u015f\u0131 sermayeyi korumaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Alt\u0131nda alarm: 4.100 dolardan sert d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fle geri \u00e7ekilme s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Dolar g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken Fed\u2019de \u015fahin ayr\u0131\u015fma ve petrol kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon beklentileri bask\u0131 kuruyor; odak PCE\/GSYH. Destek 3.976-4.000, diren\u00e7 4.200\/4.491.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50093,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52005","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t