EUR\/USD Piyasa Hassasiyeti ve Volatilite G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/p>\n
Fed\u2019in 3,5%\u20133,75% aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda son d\u00f6nemdeki \u201c\u015fahin bekleme\u201d karar\u0131 ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 diren\u00e7li tutarken, 1,1465 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6ren EUR\/USD paritesinde y\u00fcksek hassasiyet g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. \u00dc\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesel Fed ba\u015fkan\u0131n\u0131n faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde muhalefet \u015ferhi koymas\u0131, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n kur oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015fa haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. EUR\/USD i\u015flemlerinin, g\u00fcnl\u00fck 7,5 trilyon dolarl\u0131k k\u00fcresel d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %30\u2019unu olu\u015fturdu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, beklentilerdeki k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck kaymalar dahi y\u00fcksek hacmi tetikleyebilir.<\/p>\n
Bu ortamda, bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Almanya ve Euro B\u00f6lgesi 2\u00c7 GSYH verileri etraf\u0131ndaki ani hareketleri yakalamak i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli opsiyon straddle stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Ekonomistler Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde \u00e7eyreklik bazda (QoQ) 0,2% ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor; ancak yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir s\u00fcrpriz, Euro\u2019yu h\u0131zla 1,1500 diren\u00e7 seviyesinin \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131yabilir. Tarihsel olarak Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde pozitif b\u00fcy\u00fcme s\u00fcrprizleri, anl\u0131k 40\u201360 pip\u2019lik y\u00fckseli\u015fleri tetiklemi\u015ftir; bu da k\u0131r\u0131lma (breakout) stratejilerini mevcut ko\u015fullarda \u00f6zellikle cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
ECB Politika Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 ve \u0130\u015flem Stratejileri<\/p>\n
Enflasyonu kontrol alt\u0131na almak amac\u0131yla Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n Ekim ay\u0131na kadar en az bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na daha i\u015faret etmesiyle derinle\u015fen politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 da hesaba katmak gerekiyor. Fed ge\u00e7ici olarak duraklam\u0131\u015f olsa da, s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma e\u011filiminin ABD tahvil getirilerini y\u00fcksek tutmas\u0131 ve Euro\u2019daki uzun vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015fleri s\u0131n\u0131rlamas\u0131 bekleniyor. Bu nedenle t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda daha geni\u015f bir ABD Dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesine pozisyon almak i\u00e7in, 1,1550\u2019ye do\u011fru ge\u00e7ici y\u00fckseli\u015flerde EUR\/USD put opsiyonu al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Fed\u2019in \u015fahin bekleyi\u015fi Dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tutarken EUR\/USD 1,1465\u2019te alarm veriyor: Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc Almanya\/Euro B\u00f6lgesi GSYH verisi 40\u201360 pip s\u0131\u00e7rama yaratabilir. Straddle\/breakout ve 1,1550\u2019de put \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49977,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52001","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t