WTI, g\u00fcn i\u00e7i $78,90 dip seviyesinden toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan varil ba\u015f\u0131na $83 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; ancak ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015ftirmeme karar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan fiyat hareketi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131. ABD seans\u0131ndaki erken y\u00fckseli\u015fler, piyasan\u0131n \u201cfaizleri sabit tutma\u201d karar\u0131n\u0131 sindirmesiyle geri verildi. Kontrat ayr\u0131ca d\u00f6rt saatlik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde $83,48 seviyesinde takip edildi.<\/p>\n\n
ABD, Suudi Arabistan ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 i\u00e7eren misilleme sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, b\u00f6lgesel petrol \u00fcretimi ve ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda olas\u0131 aksamaya ili\u015fkin endi\u015feleri art\u0131rmas\u0131yla jeopolitik riskler g\u00fcndemde kalmaya devam etti. Suudi Arabistan ve ABD, Suudi petrol tesislerine y\u00f6nelik drone sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Irak\u2019ta \u0130ran\u2019la ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 gruplara kar\u015f\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar d\u00fczenledi; \u0130ran ise daha sonra \u00dcrd\u00fcn\u2019deki bir ABD askeri \u00fcss\u00fcne y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n sorumlulu\u011funu \u00fcstlendi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde WTI, yakla\u015f\u0131k $82,32\u2019deki 20 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n ve $80,15 civar\u0131ndaki 100 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde tutunurken RSI 52 civar\u0131nda seyretti; diren\u00e7 $84,24\u2019te g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, destek $82,32 ve $82,29; ard\u0131ndan $81,51 ve $80,99 seviyelerinde izlendi.<\/p>\n\n
WTI\u2019nin varil ba\u015f\u0131na $83 civar\u0131nda konsolide oldu\u011fu ortamda, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filim ta\u015f\u0131yan dar bir i\u015flem band\u0131na haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olunmas\u0131n\u0131 t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na \u00f6neriyoruz. Fiyat\u0131n $82,32\u2019deki 20 periyotluk hareketli ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131 ve $80,15 yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki kritik 100 periyotluk deste\u011fin korunmas\u0131, k\u0131sa vadeli teknik momentumun yap\u0131c\u0131 olmaya devam etti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, $84,24\u2019teki yak\u0131n diren\u00e7 seviyesinin \u00fczerindeki olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lmadan faydalanmak i\u00e7in ba\u015fa ba\u015fa yak\u0131n (near-the-money) al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n\n
ABD, Suudi Arabistan ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 i\u00e7eren jeopolitik gerilimler, Orta Do\u011fu arz\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde aksatabilecek \u00f6nemli bir oynakl\u0131k tetikleyicisi konumunda. Tarihsel olarak, 2019\u2019da Suudi Aramco tesislerine y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131 gibi bu b\u00f6lgedeki beklenmedik enerji altyap\u0131s\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131, ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda tek bir i\u015flem seans\u0131nda %14\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde s\u0131\u00e7ramalara yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Bu t\u00fcr ani arz y\u00f6nl\u00fc \u015foklara kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in, pe\u015fin prim maliyetini s\u0131n\u0131rlarken yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc getiri potansiyelini art\u0131ran bo\u011fa al\u0131m spread\u2019lerinin (bull call spread) kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
Fed\u2019in faizleri %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda duraklatma karar\u0131, son y\u0131llarda g\u00f6r\u00fclen %5,5\u2019lik tepe seviyelere k\u0131yasla daha istikrarl\u0131 bir makroekonomik ortama i\u015faret ediyor. Bu duraklama; istikrarl\u0131 k\u00fcresel talep ve disiplinli \u00fcretimle birle\u015fti\u011finde, enerji fiyatlar\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir taban olu\u015fmas\u0131na katk\u0131 sa\u011flayabilir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risklerin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnen yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in, $80 seviyesinin alt\u0131ndaki zararda (out-of-the-money) sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 satmak, getiri \u00fcretmeye y\u00f6nelik cazip bir strateji sunabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" WTI 78,90\u2019dan toparlan\u0131p 83 dolarda s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131; Fed\u2019in faizleri sabit tutmas\u0131 hareketi s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131rken teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm 82,32\u201380,15 destek, 84,24 diren\u00e7 izliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50171,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51986","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t