{"id":51985,"date":"2026-07-30T01:22:32","date_gmt":"2026-07-30T01:22:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/split-fed-hold-sonrasi-usd-jpy-16360-civarinda-yatay-seyrederken-sahin-muhalefet-dolari-destekliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-07-30T01:22:32","modified_gmt":"2026-07-30T01:22:32","slug":"split-fed-hold-sonrasi-usd-jpy-16360-civarinda-yatay-seyrederken-sahin-muhalefet-dolari-destekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/split-fed-hold-sonrasi-usd-jpy-16360-civarinda-yatay-seyrederken-sahin-muhalefet-dolari-destekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Split Fed hold sonras\u0131 USD\/JPY 163,60 civar\u0131nda yatay seyrederken, \u015fahin muhalefet dolar\u0131 destekliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/JPY, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Fed karar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan erken kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 telafi ederek 163,60 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Federal A\u00e7\u0131k Piyasa Komitesi (FOMC) fed funds faizini %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tuttu; ancak karar 9\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 3 oyla al\u0131nd\u0131 ve \u00fc\u00e7 politika yap\u0131c\u0131 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131 savundu. Fed, ekonomik faaliyetin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir h\u0131zda geni\u015fledi\u011fini, i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok az de\u011fi\u015fti\u011fini ve enflasyonun %2 hedefinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtirken; Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmayla k\u0131smen ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 y\u00fcksek belirsizli\u011fe ve artan enerji maliyetleri gibi arz \u015foklar\u0131na da i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n

D\u00f6rt saatlik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde parite 163,59 ile kotasyonlan\u0131rken, 162,75 civar\u0131ndaki 100 periyotluk Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n (SMA) \u00fczerinde tutundu; buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 163,73 civar\u0131ndaki 20 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n hemen alt\u0131nda seyretti. G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 49 ile 50 seviyesine yak\u0131n kalarak geri \u00e7ekilme sonras\u0131 momentumun dengelendi\u011fine i\u015faret etti. Diren\u00e7ler 163,63; ard\u0131ndan 163,70 ve 163,73 seviyelerinde, 163,90 \u00f6ncesinde izlenirken; destekler 163,45 ve sonras\u0131nda 162,75 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Fed Politikas\u0131 ve USD\/JPY G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\n

Fed\u2019in son karar\u0131yla faizi %3,50\u2013%3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tutmas\u0131 ve \u00fc\u00e7 \u015fahin kar\u015f\u0131 oyun gelmesi, ABD faizlerinin y\u00fcksek seviyelerde kalaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Enerji kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon riskleri s\u00fcrerken, bu \u015fahin duru\u015fun Dolar\u2019\u0131 Yen kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tutmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. Son veriler, ABD \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonunun %2,7 ile inat\u00e7\u0131 seyrini korudu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor; bu da Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmay\u0131 bitirmedi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc destekliyor.<\/p>\n

USD\/JPY i\u00e7in T\u00fcrev Stratejileri<\/h3>\n

T\u00fcrev i\u015flemler yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in, olas\u0131 yukar\u0131 hareketten faydalan\u0131rken riski s\u0131k\u0131 \u015fekilde s\u0131n\u0131rlamak amac\u0131yla USD\/JPY\u2019de bo\u011fa call spread stratejisini \u00f6neriyoruz. Parite h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda 163,73 civar\u0131ndaki k\u0131sa vadeli direnci test ederken, 162,75 seviyesindeki 100 periyotluk SMA\u2019da g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir teknik destek bulunuyor. Call spread\u2019in alt kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131n\u0131 163,00 civar\u0131nda, \u00fcst kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131n\u0131 ise 164,50 civar\u0131nda belirlemek, yeni zirvelere do\u011fru olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lmadan kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flamam\u0131za imk\u00e2n tan\u0131r.<\/p>\n

USD\/JPY opsiyon zincirlerinde ima edilen oynakl\u0131k (implied volatility) %8,5 gibi \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 bir seviyede seyretti\u011finden, opsiyon almak \u015fu a\u015famada g\u00f6rece uygun maliyetli. 162,75 kilit destek seviyesinin hemen alt\u0131na koruyucu tetik (trigger) konumland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f k\u0131sa vadeli knock-out bariyer opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu yap\u0131, Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) beklenmedik bir m\u00fcdahale karar\u0131 almas\u0131 durumunda primin tamamen erimesine kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flar; zira tarihsel olarak bu t\u00fcr hamleler 300 pipi a\u015fan ani ve sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flere yol a\u00e7abilmektedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Fed\u2019de \u00e7atlak oylar, USD\/JPY\u2019yi yeniden 163,60\u2019a ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131! Teknikte 162,75 destek, 163,73 diren\u00e7 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. \u015eahin Fed Dolar\u2019\u0131 desteklerken, 163\/164,50 bo\u011fa call spread ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck IV avantaj.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50193,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51985","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t