Reuters, Yemen\u2019in Husilerinin G\u00fcney K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz\u2019den ge\u00e7en ticari gemiler i\u00e7in \u00fccret uygulamay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fini, ayr\u0131ca \u00c7in\u2019in deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 filosu i\u00e7in muafiyet se\u00e7ene\u011fini masada tuttu\u011funu bildirdi. Bu ad\u0131m, Husilerin Suudi Arabistan\u2019a y\u00f6nelik deniz ambargosu ilan\u0131n\u0131n ve k\u00fcresel enerji arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %7\u2019siyle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 bir g\u00fczerg\u00e2h olan Bab el-Mandeb ge\u00e7idini kapatmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi.<\/p>\n
Habere g\u00f6re petrol fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fckseldi. Belirtilen zaman itibar\u0131yla WTI, g\u00fcn i\u00e7i zirvesine yak\u0131n seviyede yakla\u015f\u0131k 82,20 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu.<\/p>\n
Bab el-Mandeb darbo\u011faz\u0131 nedeniyle WTI petrol\u00fc 82,20 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine t\u0131rmanm\u0131\u015fken, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc oynakl\u0131\u011fa pozisyonlanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu ge\u00e7it k\u00fcresel enerji arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %7\u2019sini kontrol etti\u011finden, uzayan bir kapanma veya \u00fccretlendirme sistemi y\u00fcksek olas\u0131l\u0131kla sert bir arz s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7acakt\u0131r. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 hafta i\u00e7inde ani fiyat s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131ndan yararlanmak i\u00e7in WTI ve Brent\u2019te k\u0131sa vadeli al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 sat\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Enerjinin \u00f6tesinde, denizlerdeki bu aksama ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz olarak okyanus navlunlar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yacak; 2024 K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz krizinde k\u00fcresel ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k maliyetlerinin haftalar i\u00e7inde %150\u2019den fazla s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131na benzer bir tablo g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Ta\u015f\u0131nan y\u00fck\u00fcn transit maliyetindeki art\u0131\u015f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in Forward Freight Agreement (FFA) \u00fcr\u00fcnlerine bak\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz. \u00c7in gemilerinin muaf tutulabilme ihtimali nedeniyle Asya navlun t\u00fcrevlerinde \u00f6zg\u00fcn arbitraj f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 da izlenmeli.<\/p>\n
Jeopolitik geli\u015fmelerin y\u00fcksek \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemezli\u011fi nedeniyle, pozisyonlar\u0131 ani piyasa d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015flerine kar\u015f\u0131 korumak gerekir. Ham petrolde y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc al\u0131m spread\u2019leri (bull call spread) kullanarak a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riski s\u0131n\u0131rlarken getiri potansiyelini a\u00e7\u0131k tutmay\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Ayr\u0131ca, enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fc oynakl\u0131k endekslerinde uzun pozisyon almak, bu gergin d\u00f6nemde daha geni\u015f piyasa dalgalanmalar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 korunmaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz\u2019de yeni perde: Husiler ticari gemilerden ge\u00e7i\u015f \u00fccreti, \u00c7in filosuna muafiyet planl\u0131yor. Bab el-Mandeb riski petrol\u00fc 82,20 dolara ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131; opsiyon, FFA ve volatilite stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50062,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51944","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t