Piyasa hareketi s\u00f6n\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de odak, ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019ne (DXY) \u00e7evrilmi\u015f durumda. 101,80 seviyesi mevcut potansiyel tepe olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131l\u0131rken, spotta son g\u00f6r\u00fclen seviye 101,34. DXY vadeli i\u015flemlerinde seans zirvesi 101,57 olurken, son y\u00fckseli\u015f hamlesi 101,49\u2019a kadar ula\u015ft\u0131; bu da kontrat\u0131n halihaz\u0131rda tepe yapm\u0131\u015f olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Hem spot hem de vadeli taraftaki teknik g\u00f6stergelerin negatife d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc belirtiliyor ve bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, stratejiyi k\u0131sa (short) i\u015flem y\u00f6n\u00fcne do\u011fru e\u011fiyor.<\/p>\n\n
Yeniden de\u011ferlendirme i\u00e7in kritik seviyeler belirlenmi\u015f durumda: Nakit endekste 101,80\u2019in ve vadeli i\u015flemlerde 101,57\u2019nin yukar\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryosunu zora sokacak ve yeni bir de\u011ferlendirmeyi g\u00fcndeme getirecek. Arka plan\u0131n mevsimsel bir durgunlu\u011fa girdi\u011fi, pek \u00e7ok yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n hafta sonu \u00f6ncesi masadan kalkt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve bunun kat\u0131l\u0131m ile likiditeyi azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade ediliyor. Son \u00e7eyrek, getiriler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan genellikle y\u0131l\u0131n en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc d\u00f6nemi olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131rken, tatil d\u00f6neminin ard\u0131ndan Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de yeniden artan ilgi ve kat\u0131l\u0131m bekleniyor.<\/p>\n\n
\u015eu anda ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019ni (DXY) yak\u0131ndan izliyoruz; zira nakitte 101,80 ve vadeli i\u015flemlerde 101,57 civar\u0131nda net bir tepe olu\u015fumuna i\u015faret eden sinyaller veriyor. Spot endeksin 101,34 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rmesi ve teknik g\u00f6stergelerin negatife d\u00f6nmesiyle birlikte, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in en rasyonel hamlenin k\u0131sa (short) tarafta pozisyon almak oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bununla birlikte, nakit endeks 101,80\u2019i k\u0131rar ya da vadeli kontratlar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ivmeyle 101,57\u2019nin \u00fczerine ta\u015farsa, bu tezi h\u0131zl\u0131ca terk edip yeniden de\u011ferlendirmeye ge\u00e7ece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n\n
Ge\u00e7 yaz d\u00f6neminin tipik durgunlu\u011funa girdi\u011fimizi unutmamak gerekir; bu, piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n tatile \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131yla i\u015flem masalar\u0131n\u0131n bo\u015fald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nemdir. Tarihsel olarak k\u00fcresel d\u00f6viz i\u015flem hacimleri A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda %10 ila %15 azal\u0131r; bu da \u00e7o\u011fu zaman dalgal\u0131, likiditesi zay\u0131f ve bant i\u00e7inde kalan fiyat hareketlerine yol a\u00e7ar. Likiditedeki bu mevsimsel gerileme, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 i\u015flem yapmaktan ka\u00e7\u0131nmam\u0131z ve bu sakin haftalarda sermaye korumaya odaklanmam\u0131z gerekti\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n\n
Son makroekonomik veriler, \u00f6zellikle so\u011fuyan enflasyon g\u00f6stergelerinin dolar\u0131 bask\u0131lamay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi nedeniyle dolar taraf\u0131ndaki k\u0131sa y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimimizi destekliyor. Tarihsel piyasa d\u00f6ng\u00fclerine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, A\u011fustos\u2019ta yatayla\u015fan veya zay\u0131flayan bir dolar\u0131n, y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fcksek getiri potansiyeli bar\u0131nd\u0131ran trendlerin zeminini haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr. Likiditenin geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve piyasada y\u00fcksek g\u00fcvenli hamlelerin olu\u015ftu\u011fu Eyl\u00fcl\u2019e haz\u0131rlanmak i\u00e7in bu d\u00f6nemi geri \u00e7ekilmek, dinlenmek ve yeniden pozisyon almak a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan de\u011ferlendirmeliyiz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" DXY\u2019de sakin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm aldatmas\u0131n: 101,80\/101,57 band\u0131 potansiyel tepeyi i\u015faret ediyor. Spot 101,34; vadeli 101,49. Teknikler negatife d\u00f6nd\u00fc, short e\u011filimi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor; k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131mda senaryo de\u011fi\u015fir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50005,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51936","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t