Alt\u0131n, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa seans\u0131nda bir haftay\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcrenin en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesinden toparlanarak yeniden 4.050 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD Dolar\u0131, piyasalar\u0131n iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n sonucunu beklemesiyle ikinci g\u00fcn\u00fcnde de zay\u0131flad\u0131. Jeopolitik geli\u015fmeler tabloyu karma\u015f\u0131kla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131: \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 (IRGC), Sal\u0131 gecesi ABD g\u00fc\u00e7lerine balistik f\u00fcze sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 d\u00fczenledi. CENTCOM f\u00fczelerin \u00f6nlendi\u011fini belirtirken, daha sonra do\u011fu Irak\u2019taki lojistik ve silah noktalar\u0131na ABD ve Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n d\u00fczenledi\u011fi sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 bildirdi. Bu sald\u0131r\u0131lar, \u0130ran\u2019la ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 gruplar\u0131n son \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00fcnde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi 30\u2019dan fazla \u0130HA sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi. Bu durum risk primini canl\u0131 tutarak USD\u2019de daha derin kay\u0131plar\u0131n alan\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Petrol de Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fclen iki haftay\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcrenin en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesinden toparland\u0131. Toparlanma, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinden ABD-\u0130ran gerilimine ba\u011fl\u0131 enerji arz\u0131 kesintisi endi\u015felerinin ve Husilerin bir Suudi petrol tankerini hedef alan f\u00fczelerinin g\u00fcndeme gelmesiyle h\u0131z kazand\u0131. Bu hareket enflasyon endi\u015felerini yeniden canland\u0131r\u0131rken, ABD\u2019de en az bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentilerini destekledi; bu da alt\u0131n\u0131n toparlanmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen k\u0131ymetli metal \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131. Teknik olarak XAU\/USD, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019s\u0131 olan 4.493,65 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor; RSI 43 civar\u0131nda seyrederken MACD yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hafif ivmelendi. Diren\u00e7ler 4.050 ve 4.200 dolar b\u00f6lgelerinde, destekler ise 4.000 ve 3.965 dolar civar\u0131nda izleniyor.<\/p>\n
FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131 sonucunun a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD) kritik 4.050 dolar diren\u00e7 seviyesine yak\u0131n seyrederken, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda temkinli olmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019nda ge\u00e7ici bir zay\u0131flama g\u00f6r\u00fclse de, 2026 ortas\u0131 itibar\u0131yla yakla\u015f\u0131k %2,6 seviyesinde kalmaya devam eden yap\u0131\u015fkan \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n \u015fahin politika uygulama ihtimalini a\u00e7\u0131k tutuyor. Bu nedenle alt\u0131n opsiyonlar\u0131nda volatilitenin artmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemeliyiz; bu da k\u0131sa vadeli yatay bant (range-bound) stratejilerini olduk\u00e7a uygulanabilir k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemdeki f\u00fcze sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131yla belirginle\u015fen Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki t\u0131rmanan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma, enerji maliyetlerini yukar\u0131 iterken daha geni\u015f kapsaml\u0131 enflasyon endi\u015felerini de yeniden g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131yor. K\u00fcresel ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131 yeniden varil ba\u015f\u0131na 85 dolara do\u011fru t\u0131rman\u0131rken, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n tarihsel olarak ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekleyen y\u00fckselen jeopolitik risk primini fiyatlamas\u0131 gerekiyor. Ani a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f riskini azaltmak i\u00e7in uzun alt\u0131n pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n USD al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131yla (call) korunmas\u0131n\u0131 veya y\u00fckseli\u015flerde alt\u0131n vadeli kontratlar\u0131nda k\u0131sa pozisyon al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz.<\/p>\n
Teknik tarafta, alt\u0131n\u0131n 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n (yakla\u015f\u0131k 4.493 dolar) \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmay\u0131 ba\u015faramamas\u0131, daha geni\u015f \u00f6l\u00e7ekteki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinin korundu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. 43 seviyesindeki G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) momentumun h\u00e2l\u00e2 zay\u0131f oldu\u011funu do\u011fruluyor; bu da 4.200 dolara do\u011fru olas\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015flerin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor. T\u00fcrev piyasas\u0131 oyuncular\u0131na, kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 4.200 dolar civar\u0131nda olacak \u015fekilde XAU\/USD \u00fczerinde ay\u0131 call spread\u2019lerini hedeflemelerini; 4.000 dolar ana destek seviyesini ise yak\u0131ndan izlemelerini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Piyasalar nefesini tuttu: Alt\u0131n 4.050\u2019ye toparlansa da FOMC bekleyi\u015fi, Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi ve y\u00fckselen petrol enflasyon korkular\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor; 200G SMA alt\u0131nda bask\u0131 s\u00fcrerken 4.000 destek kritik.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50132,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51910","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t