{"id":51883,"date":"2026-07-29T00:22:26","date_gmt":"2026-07-29T00:22:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/fed-karari-yaklasirken-altin-4-038-dolar-civarinda-dengeleniyor-orta-dogudaki-sakinlik-guvenli-liman-talebini-torpuluyor\/"},"modified":"2026-07-29T00:22:26","modified_gmt":"2026-07-29T00:22:26","slug":"fed-karari-yaklasirken-altin-4-038-dolar-civarinda-dengeleniyor-orta-dogudaki-sakinlik-guvenli-liman-talebini-torpuluyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/fed-karari-yaklasirken-altin-4-038-dolar-civarinda-dengeleniyor-orta-dogudaki-sakinlik-guvenli-liman-talebini-torpuluyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed karar\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131rken alt\u0131n 4.038 dolar civar\u0131nda dengeleniyor, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki sakinlik g\u00fcvenli liman talebini t\u00f6rp\u00fcl\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD), Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc 4.116 dolardaki zirveden gelen geri \u00e7ekilmenin ard\u0131ndan 4.000 dolar yak\u0131n\u0131ndan toparlanarak 4.038 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Hafta, y\u00fckseli\u015f bo\u015flu\u011fu (bullish gap) ile a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131ktan sonra g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 4.116 dolara uzanan bir hareket ve 4.116 dolar civar\u0131nda bir tepe ile dikkat \u00e7ekmi\u015fti. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ve ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki (USD) hareketler, ABD-\u0130ran geriliminde verilen aran\u0131n etkisiyle \u015fekillenirken, piyasa \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) karar\u0131n\u0131 bekledi; faizlerin %3,50 – %3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tutulaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Haziran ABD enflasyonu beklentiden daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckselse de Fed\u2019in %2 hedefinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131; bu dinamik, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 ve bunun ard\u0131ndan petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n gerilemesiyle ili\u015fkilendirildi. Daha sonra, Temmuz ortas\u0131nda sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n yeniden h\u0131z kazanmas\u0131, Mutabakat Zapt\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (MoU) geri \u00e7ekilmesiyle ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neme denk geldi.<\/p>\n

Zay\u0131f verilerin ard\u0131ndan USD later d\u00f6nemde geriledi: NER Pulse raporu, 11 Temmuz\u2019a kadarki d\u00f6rt haftada \u015firketlerin haftal\u0131k ortalama 15 bin istihdam ekledi\u011fini g\u00f6sterirken, CB T\u00fcketici G\u00fcveni Temmuz\u2019da 90,8\u2019e d\u00fc\u015ferek Haziran\u2019daki 92,2 seviyesinden geriledi. Teknik tarafta XAU\/USD, d\u00f6rt saatlik grafikte kilit SMA\u2019lar\u0131n alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor\u201420 periyot 4.061,52 dolar ve 100 periyot 4.066,90 dolar\u2014ayr\u0131ca 200 periyot 4.106,37 dolar seviyesinin de alt\u0131nda; RSI 43 civar\u0131nda. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte ise 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 4.073,07 dolar seviyesinin alt\u0131nda seyrederken, 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019lar s\u0131ras\u0131yla 4.458,32 dolar ve 4.492,52 dolar seviyelerinde; RSI 44 civar\u0131nda. Diren\u00e7 seviyeleri 4.061,52, 4.066,90, 4.106,37 ve 4.116 dolar olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, destek 4.000 dolar ve ard\u0131ndan 3.941 dolar seviyesinde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

Federal Reserve Policy Outlook And Gold\u2019s Sensitivity<\/h3>\n

Bug\u00fcn Fed\u2019in faiz karar\u0131n\u0131 izlerken, alt\u0131n\u0131n mevcut 4.038 dolar seviyesi \u00e7evresinde sert fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131 g\u00f6sterebilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n faizleri %3,50 ile %3,75 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tutmas\u0131 muhtemel; ancak Fed\u2019den \u015fahin bir ton gelmesi, fiyatlar\u0131 ge\u00e7ici olarak kritik 4.000 dolar deste\u011fine do\u011fru itebilir. Tarihsel olarak alt\u0131n, Fed politika de\u011fi\u015fimlerine y\u00fcksek hassasiyet g\u00f6stermi\u015f; faizlere ara verildi\u011finin a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde \u00e7o\u011fu kez ge\u00e7ici geri \u00e7ekilme ya\u015fad\u0131ktan sonra y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimine yeniden d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr.<\/p>\n

Geopolitical Risks, Resistance Levels, And Trading Strategies<\/h3>\n

Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki k\u0131r\u0131lgan tabloyu da yak\u0131ndan izlemek gerekiyor; zira \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalara verilen mevcut ara, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 ve alt\u0131na y\u00f6nelik talebi ge\u00e7ici olarak a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti. Tarih, jeopolitik gerilimlerin k\u0131ymetli metaller i\u00e7in birincil itici g\u00fc\u00e7 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor; nitekim 2024\u2019te g\u00fcvenli liman al\u0131mlar\u0131 alt\u0131n\u0131 haftalar i\u00e7inde %15\u2019ten fazla y\u00fckseltmi\u015fti. Altta yatan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmedi\u011fi ve m\u00fczakereler k\u0131r\u0131lgan kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in, ani bir t\u0131rmanman\u0131n fiyat\u0131 h\u0131zla yeniden 4.116 dolar seviyesine ta\u015f\u0131yabilecek bir ralli tetikleyebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda t\u00fcrev i\u015flemler yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in, 4.061 ile 4.073 dolar aras\u0131ndaki yak\u0131n diren\u00e7 band\u0131n\u0131n izlenmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) gibi teknik g\u00f6stergeler 44 civar\u0131nda seyretti\u011finden, k\u0131sa vadeli momentum h\u00e2l\u00e2 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde sat\u0131c\u0131lardan yana. Potansiyel g\u00fcvenli liman s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131n\u0131 yakalarken a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riski s\u0131n\u0131rlamak amac\u0131yla, maj\u00f6r 4.000 dolar psikolojik e\u015fi\u011fi yak\u0131n\u0131nda al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n (call) kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n 3.941 dolardaki kritik ayl\u0131k dip seviyesinin alt\u0131na sarkarsa, daha derin bir d\u00fczeltme evresine haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olunmal\u0131. 2024 sonundaki piyasa d\u00fczeltmesinde alt\u0131n, zirvesinden yakla\u015f\u0131k %6 geri \u00e7ekildikten sonra g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc al\u0131m ilgisi yeniden devreye girmi\u015f ve piyasay\u0131 yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu nedenle, daha uzun vadeli hareketli ortalamalara do\u011fru olas\u0131 daha sert bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 i\u015flem sermayesini korumak i\u00e7in, y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlarda zarar-kes (stop-loss) seviyelerinin s\u0131k\u0131 tutulmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131nda g\u00f6zler Fed\u2019de: XAU\/USD 4.116 zirvesinden d\u00f6n\u00fcp 4.038\u2019de; 4.000 kritik destek. Jeopolitik ara ve zay\u0131f USD dalgaland\u0131r\u0131yor. Teknikte RSI 44, diren\u00e7 4.061-4.116.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50093,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51883","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t