Sterlin, New York sabah i\u015flemlerinde 1,3300 seviyesine yak\u0131n seyretti ve g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde de\u011fi\u015fim g\u00f6stermedi. Fiyat hareketi sakin kald\u0131; seans aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 yaln\u0131zca yakla\u015f\u0131k 30 pip ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Hareket, dipte yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3250\u2019nin \u00fczerinde tutunurken, zirvede 1,3300\u2019\u00fcn \u00e7ok az \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu, haftalardaki en dar g\u00fcnl\u00fck bant oldu; ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) karar\u0131ndan yakla\u015f\u0131k bir g\u00fcn \u00f6nce ve yeni Para Politikas\u0131 Raporu ile birlikte a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131 beklenen \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) karar\u0131ndan iki g\u00fcn \u00f6nce geldi.<\/p>\n
Sterlinin 1,3300 seviyesine son derece dar bir 30 piplik bant i\u00e7inde tutunmas\u0131yla, f\u0131rt\u0131na \u00f6ncesi sakinli\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Fed bug\u00fcn politika karar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klarken, BoE\u2019nin Para Politikas\u0131 Raporu da hemen k\u00f6\u015fede. Bu t\u00fcr bir volatilite s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 klasik bir kurulumdur. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n bu al\u0131\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131k derecede dar banttan yak\u0131n zamanda bir k\u0131r\u0131lmaya haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n
Tarihsel olarak, GBP\/USD ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen volatilitesi iki merkez bankas\u0131 karar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ncesinde bu seviyelere geriledi\u011finde, k\u0131sa vadeli opsiyonlar \u00e7o\u011fu zaman fiili hareketi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyatlar. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte riskin y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu benzer haftalarda, karar \u00f6ncesi bu t\u00fcr dar bantlar k\u0131r\u0131larak \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde spot kurda ortalama %1,2 ila %1,5\u2019lik hareketleri tetikledi. Piyasa hangi y\u00f6ne k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa k\u0131r\u0131ls\u0131n bu volatilite d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyatlamas\u0131ndan faydalanmak i\u00e7in uzun straddle stratejilerinin de\u011ferlendirilebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n
Piyasa, Fed\u2019in mevcut duru\u015funu; Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019ta inat\u00e7\u0131 seyrini koruyan hizmet enflasyonuyla m\u00fccadele eden BoE\u2019nin zorluklar\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131rken risk i\u015ftah\u0131 y\u00fckseliyor. BoE, yurti\u00e7i fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in \u015fahin tonunu korursa, 1,3350 diren\u00e7 seviyesinin h\u0131zla a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Bu potansiyel yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc yakalarken a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riski s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in zararda (out-of-the-money) al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Sterlin 1,3300 civar\u0131nda haftalar\u0131n en dar 30 pip band\u0131na s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131; Fed ve BoE kararlar\u0131 \u00f6ncesi \u201cf\u0131rt\u0131na \u00f6ncesi sessizlik\u201d sinyali. Opsiyonlarda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck volatilite, k\u0131r\u0131lma ve straddle f\u0131rsat\u0131 do\u011furuyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50104,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51882","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t