Sterlin, New York sabah\u0131nda 1,3300 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve 1,3250\u2019nin biraz \u00fczeri ile 1,3300\u2019\u00fcn \u00e7ok az \u00fczeri aras\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 30 piplik bir seans\u0131n ard\u0131ndan fiilen yatay seyretti; bu, Federal Rezerv karar\u0131 ve yeni bir Para Politikas\u0131 Raporu ile yap\u0131lacak \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BOE) toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde haftalar\u0131n en dar g\u00fcnl\u00fck band\u0131 oldu. Fiyat, 1,3400\u2019\u00fcn hemen alt\u0131nda yak\u0131nsam\u0131\u015f olan hem 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hem de 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda kalmaya devam ederken, sterlin temmuz ortas\u0131nda 1,3550 civar\u0131ndaki zirvesinden yakla\u015f\u0131k 2,5 sent geriledi ve daha \u00f6nce \u00fc\u00e7 hafta boyunca korudu\u011fu 1,3300 b\u00f6lgesinin alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Ton dolardan geldi: Dolar Endeksi 101,50 civar\u0131nda bir ay\u0131n zirvesindeyken USD\/JPY 164,00 seviyesinin hemen alt\u0131nda seyretti. Riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f hareketi Asya hisselerini vurdu; Kore hisseleri yakla\u015f\u0131k %11 gerilerken Nikkei 225 yakla\u015f\u0131k %4 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe yakla\u015ft\u0131. Fed fon vadeli i\u015flemleri faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k %36 ile fiyatl\u0131yor; bu oran, K\u00f6rfez\u2019de gerilimin durulmas\u0131na ve petrolde %7\u2019lik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ra\u011fmen ge\u00e7en hafta ortas\u0131ndan beri de\u011fi\u015fmedi. Eyl\u00fcl\u2019e kadar en az bir art\u0131\u015f ihtimali ise yakla\u015f\u0131k %80 oran\u0131nda fiyatlanm\u0131\u015f durumda. Daha yumu\u015fak ABD verileri, d\u00f6rt haftal\u0131k \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ortalamas\u0131n\u0131 16,25 bin yerine 15 bin olarak g\u00f6sterirken, t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni 92 beklentisine kar\u015f\u0131 90,8 geldi. BOE cephesinde arka plan; haziran perakende sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n %1 artmas\u0131, enflasyonun y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,6 (hizmetler %3,6) olmas\u0131 ve 7-2 \u201csabit tutma\u201d beklentisiyle iki \u00fcyenin %4,00\u2019i tercih etmesi olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Takvim, \u00e7ar\u015famba Fed i\u00e7in 18:00 GMT ve 18:30 GMT\u2019de; per\u015fembe BOE i\u00e7in 11:00 GMT ve 11:30 GMT\u2019de yo\u011funla\u015f\u0131yor. ABD taraf\u0131nda \u00e7ekirdek PCE ayl\u0131k %0,2 ve y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,3; GSYH y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f %2,1; i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131 187 bine kar\u015f\u0131 200 bin; cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ise istihdam maliyeti endeksi %0,8 ve temmuz nihai g\u00fcven endeksi izlenecek. Teknik g\u00f6stergeler, 1,3300 ve 1,3400\u2019\u00fcn hemen alt\u0131n\u0131 diren\u00e7; 1,3250\u2019yi, ard\u0131ndan 1,3200 ve 1,3150\u2019nin hemen alt\u0131n\u0131 destek olarak i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda \u0130ngiliz sterlininin ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesine y\u00f6nelik pozisyonlanmalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Yurt i\u00e7i olumlu ekonomik verilere ra\u011fmen paritenin 1,3300 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kamamas\u0131, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir temel negatif (ay\u0131) piyasa duyarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. 1,3300\u2019e do\u011fru olas\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015flerde GBP\/USD\u2019de sat\u0131\u015f arayarak, 1,3250 ve 1,3200 destek seviyelerini hedeflemek uygun olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Bu kurda belirleyici unsur, daha yumu\u015fak i\u00e7 verilere ra\u011fmen olduk\u00e7a diren\u00e7li kalan ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fc olmaya devam ediyor. Tarihsel olarak k\u00fcresel piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde dolar, ba\u015fl\u0131ca \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d i\u015flevi g\u00f6r\u00fcr; b\u00fcy\u00fck Asya endekslerinde sert sat\u0131\u015flar g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde bunun \u00f6rnekleri izlenmi\u015ftir. Son veriler, ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin (DXY) 101,50 civar\u0131nda g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc korudu\u011funu ve Federal Rezerv\u2019in faizleri y\u00fcksek seviyelerde tutaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisiyle desteklendi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
Buna ek olarak, teknik g\u00f6stergeler sterlin a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan belirgin bi\u00e7imde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimi destekliyor. Hem 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hem de 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalamalar 1,3400\u2019\u00fcn hemen alt\u0131nda yak\u0131nsayarak, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumu s\u0131n\u0131rlayan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir tavan olu\u015fturuyor. Parite bu kritik e\u015fi\u011fin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece, negatif e\u011filimin korunmas\u0131n\u0131 ve daha fazla a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riske kar\u015f\u0131 opsiyonlar veya vadeli i\u015flemler yoluyla korunma (hedge) yap\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Fed ve BOE \u00f6ncesi GBP\/USD 1,3300\u2019de s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131: Dolar endeksi 101,50 ile g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f sert. Teknikte 1,3400 alt\u0131 ay\u0131; sat\u0131\u015fta 1,3250-1,3200 hedef.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50047,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51869","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t