EUR\/USD s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 gerilerken, euro ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda %0,1 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 1,13\u2019lerin ortas\u0131nda bir ayl\u0131k dip seviyelere do\u011fru kayd\u0131 ve May\u0131s 2025\u2019te g\u00f6r\u00fclen seviyelere yakla\u015ft\u0131. Fiyatlamay\u0131 daha geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 USD tonu belirlerken, getiri farklar\u0131 da ge\u00e7en Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc politika karar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) daha yumu\u015fak faiz beklentilerine uyum s\u00fcrecinde altta yatan deste\u011fin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
ECB\u2019nin Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na y\u00f6nlendirmeye devam etmesine kar\u015f\u0131n, vadeli piyasa fiyatlamas\u0131 bir sonraki toplant\u0131 sonras\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fck olarak a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 revize edildi; bu durum yak\u0131n vadeli temel dinamiklerin Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak \u00f6nc\u00fc T\u00dcFE verisine odaklanmas\u0131na neden oluyor. Grafik taraf\u0131nda momentum g\u00f6stergeleri bozuldu; RSI ay\u0131 b\u00f6lgesinde ve 1,13\u2019lerin alt\u0131 ile Haziran sonu dip seviyesi \u00f6ncesinde destekler s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131. Bu b\u00f6lgenin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, May\u0131s 2025 seviyelerine do\u011fru a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riski yeniden g\u00fcndeme getirirken pariteden (1,00) bir geri \u00e7ekilme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da art\u0131r\u0131r. K\u0131sa vadeli i\u015flemler 1,1300\u20131,1400 band\u0131 i\u00e7inde \u015fekilleniyor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara, euro ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda 1,13\u2019lerin ortas\u0131na do\u011fru s\u00fcz\u00fcl\u00fcrken daha zay\u0131f euro senaryosuna pozisyonlanmalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) gibi k\u0131sa vadeli teknik g\u00f6stergelerin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ay\u0131 sinyalleri \u00fcretmesiyle, 1,1300 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 EUR\/USD sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu almak son derece uygulanabilir bir stratejidir. Bu kurgu, sermayemizi korurken devam eden a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumdan kazan\u00e7 elde etmemize imk\u00e2n tan\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Ay\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ECB faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentilerini agresif bi\u00e7imde azaltmas\u0131yla daralan tahvil getiri farklar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan destekleniyor. \u00d6rne\u011fin Euro B\u00f6lgesi \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonu son d\u00f6nemde %2,7\u2019ye gerilerken, Almanya 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k Bund getirisi %2,15\u2019e indi. Getirilerdeki bu daralma, ABD Hazine tahvili getirileri g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrini korurken, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 uluslararas\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan daha cazip hale getiriyor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda paritenin 1,1300\u20131,1400 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131k seyretmesini bekliyoruz. Opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, prim toplamak amac\u0131yla para d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (out-of-the-money) al\u0131m (call) ve sat\u0131m (put) spread\u2019leri satarak bu konsolidasyondan faydalanabilir. Ancak kritik 1,1300 taban\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde, May\u0131s 2025\u2019te g\u00f6r\u00fclen dip seviyelere do\u011fru \u00e7ok daha derin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 derhal haz\u0131rl\u0131k yap\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" EUR\/USD 1,13 ortas\u0131nda bir ayl\u0131k dibe yak\u0131n: Dolar tonu ve daralan getiri farklar\u0131 euroyu bask\u0131l\u0131yor. RSI ay\u0131; 1,1300 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa May\u0131s 2025 dipleri masada. Put opsiyonu \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49977,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51861","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t