{"id":51857,"date":"2026-07-28T16:24:31","date_gmt":"2026-07-28T16:24:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/scotiabank-faiz-farklari-ve-zayiflayan-petrol-loonieyi-baskilarken-usd-cad-adil-degere-yakin-gorunuyor\/"},"modified":"2026-07-28T16:24:31","modified_gmt":"2026-07-28T16:24:31","slug":"scotiabank-faiz-farklari-ve-zayiflayan-petrol-loonieyi-baskilarken-usd-cad-adil-degere-yakin-gorunuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/scotiabank-faiz-farklari-ve-zayiflayan-petrol-loonieyi-baskilarken-usd-cad-adil-degere-yakin-gorunuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Scotiabank: Faiz farklar\u0131 ve zay\u0131flayan petrol loonie\u2019yi bask\u0131larken USD\/CAD adil de\u011fere yak\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Scotiabank stratejistleri, USD\/CAD\u2019in spotun 1,4115 civar\u0131nda seyretti\u011fi ve denge (equilibrium) tahmininin 1,4086 oldu\u011fu bir ortamda, pariteyi temel adil de\u011fere yak\u0131n konumluyor. Kanada Dolar\u0131, ABD Dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7 kazan\u0131rken genel olarak yatay kald\u0131; ancak ABD\u2019ye k\u0131yasla k\u0131sa vadeli faiz farklar\u0131n\u0131n geni\u015f kalmas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Daha yumu\u015fak seyreden ham petrol \u201c\u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 bir ters r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u201d olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131rken, Fed\u2019in faizleri sabit tutmas\u0131 CAD\u2019de s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir iyile\u015fmeye alan a\u00e7abilir. Bununla birlikte, Scotiabank, faiz farklar\u0131 daralmadan yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131; bu daralman\u0131n da bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilerleyen d\u00f6nemine kadar beklenmedi\u011fini ve as\u0131l anlaml\u0131 iyile\u015fmenin 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilerleyen d\u00f6nemlerinde g\u00f6r\u00fclebilece\u011fini belirtiyor. Teknik tarafta USD\/CAD 1,4115\/25 band\u0131ndaki ilk direnci test ediyor; yukar\u0131da 1,4160 ve 1,4250 seviyeleri ek diren\u00e7 olarak izlenirken, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da 1,4060 destek olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Getiri Farklar\u0131, Petrol Fiyatlar\u0131 ve USD\/CAD Aral\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/h3>\n

Kanada Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda yatay i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken ve USD\/CAD\u2019in 1,4115 seviyesi etraf\u0131nda dalgalan\u0131rken g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. \u201cLoonie\u201d \u00fczerindeki temel bask\u0131, Fed\u2019in Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019na (BoC) k\u0131yasla faizleri daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutmas\u0131yla geni\u015f kalan faiz makas\u0131 olmaya devam ediyor. ABD ve Kanada 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil getirileri aras\u0131ndaki mevcut fark yakla\u015f\u0131k 80 baz puan gibi belirgin bir seviyede bulunurken, k\u0131sa vadede olas\u0131 CAD g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesinin ciddi bi\u00e7imde s\u0131n\u0131rlanmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Varil ba\u015f\u0131na 72 dolara do\u011fru gerileyen WTI ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki zay\u0131flama, emtia ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 para birimine fazla destek sunmuyor. T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapanlar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda USD\/CAD\u2019in 1,4060 deste\u011fi ile 1,4115\/25 band\u0131ndaki ilk diren\u00e7 aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015farak yatay bantta kalmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. Paritenin yukar\u0131 k\u0131rmas\u0131 halinde 1,4160\u2019\u0131n test edilmesini; ana direncin ise 1,4250\u2019de g\u00fc\u00e7 kazanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n

Yatay Bantta USD\/CAD \u0130\u00e7in \u0130\u015flem Stratejileri<\/h3>\n

Faiz farklar\u0131nda anlaml\u0131 bir daralmay\u0131 2026 sonundan \u00f6nce beklemedi\u011fimiz i\u00e7in, yatay bant ortam\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendiren opsiyon stratejilerini \u00f6neriyoruz. USD\/CAD\u2019de straddle sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 veya 1,4060\u20131,4250 band\u0131 i\u00e7inde iron condor kurulumu, d\u00fczenli zaman de\u011feri erimesinden (theta) faydalanarak prim getirisi sa\u011flayabilir. Alternatif olarak, 1,4060 destek seviyesine yak\u0131n b\u00f6lgelerde k\u0131sa vadeli USD geri \u00e7ekilmelerinde al\u0131m yap\u0131larak, adil de\u011fere yak\u0131n 1,4115 seviyesine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f hedeflenebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USD\/CAD\u2019de s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma sinyali: Scotiabank, pariteyi adil de\u011fere yak\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; geni\u015f faiz fark\u0131 ve zay\u0131f petrol CAD\u2019\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor. 1,4060\u20131,4250 band\u0131; 2026\u2019ya dek kal\u0131c\u0131 iyile\u015fme zor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49961,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51857","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t