ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n art\u0131k anla\u015fmalar\u0131 ihlal edemeyece\u011fini s\u00f6ylerken, elektrik santralleri ve k\u00f6pr\u00fcler gibi kritik altyap\u0131lara y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lardan ka\u00e7\u0131nmak istedi\u011fine i\u015faret etti. Fox News\u2019e konu\u015fan Trump, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n yeralt\u0131 n\u00fckleer tesislerinden Pickaxe Mountain\u2019\u0131 \u201cb\u00fcy\u00fck bir sorun de\u011fil\u201d diye nitelendirdi ve ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda art\u0131k \u201c\u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir konumda\u201d oldu\u011funu ifade etti. <\/p>\n\n
A\u00e7\u0131klamalar, Washington\u2019un Tahran \u00fczerindeki diplomatik bask\u0131y\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken olas\u0131 bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n kapsam\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamay\u0131 tercih etti\u011fine i\u015faret etmesiyle, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da yak\u0131n vadede ani bir t\u0131rman\u0131\u015fa dair piyasa endi\u015felerini azaltt\u0131. D\u00f6viz piyasalar\u0131nda r\u00f6portaj\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ABD Dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flad\u0131; ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) \u00f6nceki kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 geri vererek yaz\u0131m s\u0131ras\u0131nda 101,53 civar\u0131nda yatay seyre d\u00f6nd\u00fc. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) ham petrol\u00fc ise bask\u0131 an\u0131nda %1,24 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle yakla\u015f\u0131k 80,20 dolara geriledi.<\/p>\n\n
Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki jeopolitik tansiyonun d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle birlikte, enerji t\u00fcrevleri yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n petroldeki risk priminin daha da gerilemesine haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. WTI\u2019\u0131n 80,20 dolara inmesiyle, b\u00f6lgesel altyap\u0131ya y\u00f6nelik acil tehdidin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda put opsiyon al\u0131m\u0131 veya vadeli kontratlarda k\u0131sa pozisyon alma y\u00f6n\u00fcnde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir arg\u00fcman olu\u015fuyor. Tarihsel veriler, askeri t\u0131rman\u0131\u015f endi\u015feleri azald\u0131\u011f\u0131nda petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7o\u011fu zaman 5-10 dolarl\u0131k primi geri verdi\u011fini ve bunun WTI\u2019\u0131 \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 70\u2019li dolarlar\u0131n ortalar\u0131na do\u011fru \u00e7ekebilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n
Ayr\u0131ca enerji t\u00fcrevlerinde ima edilen volatilitedeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften faydalanmaya odaklan\u0131lmal\u0131. Endi\u015felerin hafiflemesi, CBOE Ham Petrol Volatilite Endeksi\u2019nin (OVX) son riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f kaynakl\u0131 s\u0131\u00e7raman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan tarihsel ortalamas\u0131na geri d\u00f6nme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, h\u0131zl\u0131 prim erimesinden gelir elde etmek i\u00e7in petrol \u00fczerinde iron condor sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 veya para d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (out-of-the-money) call spread sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 gibi k\u0131sa volatilite stratejileri uygulayabilir.<\/p>\n\n
D\u00f6viz piyasalar\u0131nda ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin (DXY) 101,53\u2019e zay\u0131flamas\u0131, yeniden \u201crisk alma\u201d (risk-on) ortam\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f sinyali veriyor. Dolar\u0131n kritik 101,00 destek seviyesini test etti\u011fi bir ortamda, Euro veya Japon Yeni gibi maj\u00f6r para birimlerinin dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda avantajl\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 t\u00fcrev i\u015flemler \u00f6neriyoruz. Tarihsel olarak, diplomatik tansiyonun d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle yatay veya zay\u0131flayan bir dolar, geli\u015fen piyasa varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 destekler; bu da y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc d\u00f6viz swaplar\u0131n\u0131 daha cazip hale getirir.<\/p>\n\n
Mevcut rahatlamaya ra\u011fmen, y\u00f6netimin \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n anla\u015fmalara uyumuna ili\u015fkin sert tutumunu s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc unutulmamal\u0131. Diplomatik s\u00f6ylemde ani bir de\u011fi\u015fim bu piyasa trendlerini h\u0131zla tersine \u00e7evirebilece\u011finden, k\u0131sa petrol pozisyonlar\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes (stop-loss) seviyeleri kritik \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. Beklenmedik jeopolitik y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015fimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 korunma amac\u0131yla, portf\u00f6y\u00fcn k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli limanlara y\u00f6nelik ucuz, uzun vadeli call opsiyonlar\u0131na ayr\u0131lmas\u0131 da de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Trump\u2019tan \u0130ran mesaj\u0131: \u201c\u0130hlal d\u00f6nemi bitti\u201d, altyap\u0131 hedeflerinden ka\u00e7\u0131nma sinyali risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131. Dolar zay\u0131flad\u0131, WTI 80,20\u2019ye indi; petrol primi, volatilite gerilemesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50171,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51855","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t