{"id":51840,"date":"2026-07-28T12:29:26","date_gmt":"2026-07-28T12:29:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/fed-faiz-artirimi-ihtimali-yukselirken-ve-petrol-fiyatlarindaki-dusus-enflasyona-karsi-korunma-cazibesini-azaltirken-altin-4-047-dolara-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-07-28T12:29:26","modified_gmt":"2026-07-28T12:29:26","slug":"fed-faiz-artirimi-ihtimali-yukselirken-ve-petrol-fiyatlarindaki-dusus-enflasyona-karsi-korunma-cazibesini-azaltirken-altin-4-047-dolara-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/fed-faiz-artirimi-ihtimali-yukselirken-ve-petrol-fiyatlarindaki-dusus-enflasyona-karsi-korunma-cazibesini-azaltirken-altin-4-047-dolara-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ihtimali y\u00fckselirken ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f enflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 korunma cazibesini azalt\u0131rken alt\u0131n 4.047 dolara geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc ons ba\u015f\u0131na 4.047 dolara gerileyerek bir \u00f6nceki seanstaki y\u00fckseli\u015fini geri verdi; faiz beklentileri metal \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu. Piyasalar, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Federal Rezerv\u2019in faiz art\u0131rma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %33\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde fiyatl\u0131yor; karar \u00f6ncesinde bu kadar y\u00fcksek belirsizlik ola\u011fand\u0131\u015f\u0131. Toplant\u0131 bug\u00fcn ba\u015fl\u0131yor ve \u00c7ar\u015famba ak\u015fam\u0131 faiz karar\u0131 ve a\u00e7\u0131klamalarla sona erecek. Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019la \u201ciyi m\u00fczakereler\u201d y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00f6ylemesiyle petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f de bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131; bu durum enflasyon endi\u015felerini hafifletirken, Trump g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olmas\u0131 halinde sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n yeniden ba\u015flayabilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda da bulundu.<\/p>\n

H4 XAU\/USD grafi\u011finde fiyat 4.110 dolar civar\u0131nda konsolide olduktan sonra a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131larak 4.036 dolara indi; burada yeni bir yatay bant olu\u015fuyor. Bir sonraki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hedef 3.940 dolar. MACD, sinyal \u00e7izgisi orta \u00e7izginin \u00fczerinde kalmakla birlikte a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nerken d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f momentumunun s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor. H1\u2019de alt\u0131n 4.090 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131 ve 4.036 dolara geriledi; Stokastik\u2019in 20 \u00fczeri b\u00f6lgeden 50\u2019ye do\u011fru y\u00fckselmesiyle 4.070 dolara do\u011fru bir d\u00fczeltme bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Fed \u00d6ncesi T\u00fcrev \u0130\u015flem Stratejileri<\/h3>\n

T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n yar\u0131nki kritik Federal Rezerv karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde sert piyasa dalgalanmalar\u0131na haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Alt\u0131n\u0131n 4.047 dolara gerilemesi ve s\u00fcrpriz bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na %33 olas\u0131l\u0131k verilmesi, opsiyon volatilitesinin h\u0131zla y\u00fckselmesine yol a\u00e7abilir. Fed\u2019in karar y\u00f6n\u00fcnden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z olarak bu keskin hareketlerden faydalanmak i\u00e7in, para ba\u015f\u0131na yak\u0131n (near-the-money) straddle stratejilerinin de\u011ferlendirilmesini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n

Tarihsel Volatilite Analizi Ve Teknik Seviyeler<\/h3>\n

Tarihsel veriler, faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u015f\u00fcpheleri %30 civar\u0131nda seyretti\u011finde alt\u0131n\u0131n ima edilen volatilite endeksinin karar g\u00fcn\u00fcnde genellikle %12\u2019nin \u00fczerinde y\u00fckseldi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Ayr\u0131ca olas\u0131 ABD-\u0130ran yak\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131 beklentileriyle petrol fiyatlar\u0131 bu hafta yakla\u015f\u0131k %4 geriledi ve alt\u0131n\u0131n enflasyona kar\u015f\u0131 cazibesini zay\u0131flatt\u0131. Bu geli\u015fmelerin birle\u015fimi, metalin son y\u00fckseli\u015f ko\u015fusunun ara verdi\u011fine g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n s\u00fcrmesi halinde alt\u0131n\u0131n 3.940 dolar destek seviyesini hedeflemesini bekliyoruz. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, 4.070 dolara kadar olas\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli tepki y\u00fckseli\u015flerini ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131 put spread\u2019leri kurmak veya k\u0131sa vadeli vadeli i\u015flem (futures) sat\u0131\u015f pozisyonlar\u0131 a\u00e7mak i\u00e7in de\u011ferlendirebilir. 4.036 dolardaki ilk deste\u011fin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde, otomatik sat\u0131\u015f emirlerinin tetiklenmesiyle h\u0131zl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131nda tansiyon y\u00fckseldi: Ons 4.047 dolara inerken Fed\u2019de %33 faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ihtimali bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131. Teknikte 4.036 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 3.940 hedef. Straddle ve put spread \u00f6neriliyor. Petrol d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc de bask\u0131lay\u0131c\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50174,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51840","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t