NZD\/USD Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc 0,5790 civar\u0131nda seyretti ve ABD Dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flamas\u0131na ra\u011fmen toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcremedi. Yeni Zelanda Dolar\u0131, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften bir miktar destek buldu; daha ucuz enerji, ithal yak\u0131ta ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 bir ekonomi i\u00e7in g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc iyile\u015ftiriyor. ABD taraf\u0131nda Dayan\u0131kl\u0131 Mal Sipari\u015fleri haziranda ayl\u0131k bazda %0,3 artarak %1,6\u2019l\u0131k beklentinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131; may\u0131s ay\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ise %4,0\u2019a revize edildi. Ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k hari\u00e7 sipari\u015fler %0,6 artarken, savunma hari\u00e7 sipari\u015fler %0,3 y\u00fckseldi; Fed karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde pozisyonlanman\u0131n temkinli kalmas\u0131yla, zay\u0131f man\u015fet verinin piyasa etkisi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Odak, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD ADP \u0130stihdam De\u011fi\u015fimi d\u00f6rt haftal\u0131k ortalamas\u0131na (son: 16,5 bin), may\u0131sta ayl\u0131k %0,1 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan %0,2 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermesi beklenen Konut Fiyat Endeksi\u2019ne ve temmuz T\u00fcketici G\u00fcveni verisine kay\u0131yor. D\u00f6rt saatlik grafikte parite 0,5779\u2019dan i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, 20 periyotluk SMA 0,5790 ve 100 periyotluk SMA 0,5782 seviyeleri yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc diren\u00e7 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; 0,5786 ve 0,5794 seviyeleri de bu b\u00f6lgeyi g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. RSI 39 civar\u0131nda seyrederken, destek 0,5771\u2019de g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; 0,5800 \u00fczerinde diren\u00e7ler 0,5907, 0,5930 ve 0,5965 olarak i\u015faretlendi. Teknik b\u00f6l\u00fcm, bir yapay zek\u00e2 arac\u0131n\u0131n deste\u011fiyle haz\u0131rlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n, NZD\/USD paritesinin kritik 0,5790 seviyesi etraf\u0131nda dalgalanmas\u0131 nedeniyle artan oynakl\u0131\u011fa haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm belirgin bi\u00e7imde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc kalmaya devam ediyor; parite, 0,5790\u2019daki 20 periyotluk SMA gibi kilit hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Fiyat\u0131n 0,5771\u2019deki yak\u0131n yatay deste\u011fin alt\u0131na sarkmas\u0131 halinde, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketin h\u0131zlanmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n
ABD Dayan\u0131kl\u0131 Mal Sipari\u015fleri haziranda zay\u0131f say\u0131labilecek %0,3 art\u0131\u015f kaydetti; ancak ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k hari\u00e7 %0,6\u2019l\u0131k g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f, temel talebin diren\u00e7li kald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Fed\u2019in bu \u00c7ar\u015famba politika faizini %5,00-%5,25 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sabit tutmas\u0131 beklenirken, faiz fark\u0131 ABD Dolar\u0131 lehine kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Faiz karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde k\u0131sa vadeli NZD sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131, olas\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketten faydalanmak ad\u0131na uygun bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olarak de\u011ferlendiriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Bu arada Yeni Zelanda Dolar\u0131, k\u00fcresel petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 destek buluyor; Brent petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn Temmuz 2026\u2019n\u0131n sonlar\u0131nda varil ba\u015f\u0131na 74 dolar seviyesine do\u011fru gerilemesi dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Daha ucuz yak\u0131t ithalat\u0131 Yeni Zelanda\u2019n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesine yard\u0131mc\u0131 olsa da, bu unsurun daha geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendini tersine \u00e7evirmesi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131k. 0,5800 tavan\u0131na do\u011fru g\u00f6r\u00fclebilecek ge\u00e7ici y\u00fckseli\u015flerin sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirilmesini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n, ABD i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7mek i\u00e7in ADP istihdam raporu ile t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni verilerini yak\u0131ndan izlemesini tavsiye ediyoruz. Tarihsel olarak, NZD\/USD\u2019nin temmuz sonlar\u0131nda kritik destek seviyelerini k\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde parite, takip eden haftalarda ortalama 150 pip gerileme e\u011filimi g\u00f6steriyor. Riski y\u00f6netmek a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, 0,5800 diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesinin hemen \u00fczerinde s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes (stop-loss) seviyeleri belirlemek kritik olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" NZD\/USD 0,5790 \u00e7evresinde tutunam\u0131yor; dolar zay\u0131fken bile toparlanma s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131. Petrol d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc NZD\u2019ye destek verse de trend a\u015fa\u011f\u0131. Fed \u00f6ncesi 0,5771 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa sat\u0131\u015flar h\u0131zlanabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50531,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51800","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t