Sterlin, piyasa duyarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015fa d\u00f6nmesiyle ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n seans genelinde b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yatay kalmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen %0,13 geriledi. Hareketin, \u00c7in\u2019de devlet destekli bir \u015firketin \u00e7ip \u00fcretim makineleri \u00fcretti\u011fine dair haberlerin ard\u0131ndan geldi\u011fi; bu geli\u015fmenin k\u00fcresel risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve dolar\u0131n (greenback) tutunmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n\n
\u0130\u015flemlerde GBP\/USD, daha \u00f6nce 1,3363 seviyesine dokunduktan sonra 1,3305\u2019teydi. Duyarl\u0131l\u0131ktaki de\u011fi\u015fim, yar\u0131 iletken ekipmanlar\u0131 pazar\u0131nda artan rekabet endi\u015feleriyle Hollandal\u0131 \u00e7ip \u00fcretim ekipman\u0131 grubu ASML\u2019de g\u00f6r\u00fclen sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131yla ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neme denk geldi.<\/p>\n\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda k\u00fcresel riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f e\u011filimi g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapanlara GBP\/USD paritesinde artan volatiliteye haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. 1,3363\u2019teki yak\u0131n zirveden 1,3305\u2019e sert geri \u00e7ekilme, sterlinin yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumunun zay\u0131flamaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Mevcut uzun pozisyonlar\u0131 korumak veya ilave a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketi de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
Bu negatif g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm teknik g\u00f6stergelerle de destekleniyor: GBP\/USD i\u00e7in 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI), 72 civar\u0131ndaki a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinden 51\u2019e keskin bi\u00e7imde geriledi. Benzer piyasa paniklerinden elde edilen tarihsel veriler, ABD dolar\u0131na g\u00fcvenli liman ak\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n genellikle takip eden ayda sterlini ortalama %1,5 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. 1,3250 kritik destek seviyesinin izlenmesi gerekiyor; bu seviyenin alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n\n
ASML\u2019deki sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131n\u0131n tetikledi\u011fi yar\u0131 iletken sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki \u015fok, daha geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131 dalgalanmalar\u0131n\u0131 besliyor. Sterlinde 1 ayl\u0131k ima edilen volatilite \u015fu anda g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olan %7,2 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden, koruyucu opsiyon almak nispeten ucuz. Piyasan\u0131n jeopolitik \u201c\u00e7ip sava\u015f\u0131\u201d haberlerini fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7te iki y\u00f6nl\u00fc sert hareketlerden faydalanmak i\u00e7in uzun straddle stratejisinin de\u011ferlendirilmesini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
2024\u2019teki teknoloji ihracat k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 gibi ge\u00e7mi\u015f piyasa \u015foklar\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, g\u00fcvenli liman ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) \u00fc\u00e7 hafta i\u00e7inde %2\u2019nin \u00fczerinde y\u00fckselmi\u015fti. Benzer bir \u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcn\u00fcn \u015fimdi de ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131; bunun da sterlini dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda tutmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. Riski y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in, elde tutulacak t\u00fcm uzun GBP\/USD pozisyonlar\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes (stop-loss) emirleri olu\u015fturulmal\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u00c7ip sava\u015f\u0131 endi\u015fesi piyasay\u0131 sarst\u0131: riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015fla sterlin %0,13 geriledi, GBP\/USD 1,3363\u2019ten 1,3305\u2019e indi. RSI 51\u2019e d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; 1,3250 kritik. Put\/straddle ve s\u0131k\u0131 stop \u00f6neriliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49995,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51779","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t