Sterlin, \u00c7in devlet destekli bir grubun \u00e7ip \u00fcretim makineleri geli\u015ftirdi\u011fine dair haberlerin ASML\u2019de sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131n\u0131 tetikleyerek risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 savunmac\u0131 bir tona \u00e7evirmesi sonras\u0131, yatay seyreden ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda %0,13 geriledi. GBP\/USD 1,3363 seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra 1,3305\u2019e indi. Genel hava, ABD\u2019nin hafta sonu \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na ara vermesinin ard\u0131ndan petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen geri \u00e7ekilmeden de etkilendi. Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump, Washington ile Tahran aras\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olmas\u0131 halinde ilave askeri ad\u0131mlar\u0131n gelece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi ve olas\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 \u201c\u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc\u201d olarak niteledi.<\/p>\n\n
ABD verileri, Haziran ay\u0131 Dayan\u0131kl\u0131 Mal Sipari\u015fleri\u2019nin ayl\u0131k bazda -%4\u2019ten %0,3\u2019e d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterdi; ancak veri %1,6\u2019l\u0131k art\u0131\u015f beklentisinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Odak, faizlerin sabit tutulmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131nda; Prime Terminal\u2019e g\u00f6re de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmama olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %60, 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ise yakla\u015f\u0131k %40. \u0130ngiltere taraf\u0131nda veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 yoktu. Piyasalar ayr\u0131ca, Temmuz\u2019daki petrol fiyat\u0131 s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131na ra\u011fmen politikan\u0131n %3,75\u2019te kalaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019na (BoE) da haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. GBP\/USD, 1,3367 civar\u0131ndaki hareketli ortalama band\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rken, 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI 43 civar\u0131nda; destek 1,3159 yak\u0131n\u0131nda izleniyor.<\/p>\n\n
Teknik g\u00f6stergeler kal\u0131c\u0131 bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentuma i\u015faret etti\u011finden, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n GBP\/USD\u2019de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmesine haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Parite 1,3304 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken 1,3367\u2019deki kritik basit hareketli ortalama k\u00fcmesinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece, en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck diren\u00e7li yol a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Tarihsel olarak RSI\u2019n\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine girmeden 40\u2019lar\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerinde oyalanmas\u0131, 1,3159 destek seviyesine do\u011fru ek bir geri \u00e7ekilme alan\u0131 oldu\u011funa i\u015faret eder.<\/p>\n\n
Yakla\u015fan Fed ve BoE politika kararlar\u0131 nedeniyle k\u0131sa vadeli ima edilen volatilitede sert bir s\u0131\u00e7rama bekliyoruz. Mevcut piyasa fiyatlamas\u0131 Fed\u2019den s\u00fcrpriz bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %40 g\u00f6sterirken, BoE\u2019nin faizini %3,75\u2019te sabit tutmas\u0131 geni\u015f \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde bekleniyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar bu politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 ve olas\u0131 yanl\u0131\u015f fiyatlamay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirerek, ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 yakalamak i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli straddle al\u0131mlar\u0131yla pozisyon alabilir.<\/p>\n\n
Yar\u0131 iletken tedarik zincirine ili\u015fkin endi\u015feler ve Washington\u2013Tahran hatt\u0131ndaki gergin m\u00fczakerelerin tetikledi\u011fi genel riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f e\u011filimi, g\u00fcvenli liman ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 belirgin bi\u00e7imde destekliyor. 2024\u2019\u00fcn \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde k\u00fcresel \u00e7ip sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki d\u00fczeltme gibi benzer teknoloji kaynakl\u0131 sat\u0131\u015flarda dolar\u0131n Avrupa para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Bu makro bask\u0131lara kar\u015f\u0131 korunma amac\u0131yla, prim maliyetini s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 tutarken a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riski y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in 1,3160 civar\u0131nda hedef kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na sahip ay\u0131 (bear) put spread stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u00c7ip endi\u015fesiyle riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f sterlini vurdu: GBP\/USD 1,3363\u2019ten 1,3305\u2019e indi. Fed\u2019de sabit faiz bekleniyor, %40 art\u0131\u015f riski var. BoE sabit. Teknikte 1,3159 destek \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49989,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51775","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t