Alt\u0131n haftaya daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ba\u015flad\u0131; pazartesi yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bo\u015fluk (gap) ile a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131 ve Asya i\u015flemlerinde yakla\u015f\u0131k %1,5 y\u00fckseldi. ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n duraksamas\u0131n\u0131 takiben jeopolitik s\u00f6ylemdeki yumu\u015fama, enflasyon endi\u015felerini azalt\u0131rken \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentileri de t\u00f6rp\u00fcledi. Bu de\u011fi\u015fim ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131lad\u0131; b\u00f6ylece k\u00fcl\u00e7e alt\u0131n, 4.000 dolar destek b\u00f6lgesinin \u00fczerinde taban olu\u015fturmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 4.100 dolar b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru yeniden t\u0131rmand\u0131.<\/p>\n
Fiyat hareketi, k\u0131sa vadeli 3.950\/4.200 dolar band\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcst k\u0131sm\u0131na y\u00f6nelmi\u015f durumda. G\u00fcnl\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm iyile\u015fiyor ancak k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 koruyor; s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 pozitif e\u011filimin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilmesi i\u00e7in piyasan\u0131n 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama (20GHO) olan 4.072 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde tutunmas\u0131 gerekiyor. 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck momentum y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filiminde ve pozitif b\u00f6lgeye yakla\u015f\u0131yor. Bu yap\u0131 korunursa 4.200 dolar \u00fcst k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m seviyesi g\u00fcndemde kal\u0131r; diren\u00e7ler 4.116, 4.166, 4.182 ve 4.203 dolarda g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, destekler 4.072 ve 4.052 dolar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 4.021 ve 4.000 dolarda bulunuyor.<\/p>\n
Jeopolitik tansiyonun d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 endi\u015feleri zay\u0131flarken alt\u0131n\u0131n 4.100 dolar bariyerinin \u00fczerine son hamlesini yak\u0131ndan izlemeliyiz. Bu kayma ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flat\u0131rken, alt\u0131n\u0131n 4.000 dolar civar\u0131ndaki kritik destek b\u00f6lgesinden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u015fekilde toparlanmas\u0131na imk\u00e2n verdi. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu durum, mevcut band\u0131n \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na do\u011fru olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m i\u00e7in pozisyon alma ad\u0131na uygun bir pencere yarat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Fiyat\u0131n 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama olan 4.072 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131 ko\u015fuluyla, al\u0131m y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar\u0131n call opsiyonlar\u0131 veya vadeli i\u015flemlerle kurulmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu seviye kritik; \u00fczerinde kal\u0131nmas\u0131, 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck momentumun pozitif b\u00f6lgeye ilerledi\u011fi ortamda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 pozitif e\u011filimimizi korur. Bu noktan\u0131n \u00fczerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f, yak\u0131n vadede 4.116 ve 4.166 dolar diren\u00e7lerine giden yolu a\u00e7\u0131k tutar.<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n 4.200 dolar seviyesindeki ana tavan\u0131 a\u015farsa, daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcne ve sa\u011flam bir fiyat taban\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fmas\u0131na haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmal\u0131y\u0131z. Tarihsel olarak alt\u0131n \u00f6nemli psikolojik diren\u00e7leri k\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, kurumsal oyunculardan gelen momentum al\u0131mlar\u0131 h\u0131zla ivmelenme e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterir. 4.200 dolar\u0131n hemen \u00fczerinde stop-buy (al\u0131\u015f stop) emirleri kullanarak 4.203 dolar hedefi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki ilk hareket yakalanabilir.<\/p>\n
Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, piyasan\u0131n tersine d\u00f6nmesi ihtimaline kar\u015f\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes seviyeleri belirleyerek veya koruyucu put opsiyonlar\u0131 alarak sermayeyi korumal\u0131y\u0131z. 10 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama olan 4.052 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkma, zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011fa i\u015faret eder ve 4.000 dolar civar\u0131ndaki bant taban\u0131n\u0131n yeniden test edilmesi riskini art\u0131r\u0131r. Bununla birlikte, k\u00fcresel merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n son y\u0131llarda rezervlerine y\u0131ll\u0131k 1.000 tonun \u00fczerinde alt\u0131n eklemi\u015f olmas\u0131 nedeniyle, bu alt destek seviyelerine yak\u0131n geri \u00e7ekilmelerde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc yap\u0131sal al\u0131m ilgisinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri s\u0131n\u0131rlamas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Alt\u0131n haftaya gap\u2019li y\u00fckseli\u015fle ba\u015flad\u0131: jeopolitik yumu\u015fama Fed faiz beklentilerini t\u00f6rp\u00fcledi, dolar zay\u0131flad\u0131. 4.072 \u00fcst\u00fc kald\u0131k\u00e7a 4.116-4.166 diren\u00e7leri; 4.200 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa ivme artar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50132,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51740","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t