{"id":51724,"date":"2026-07-27T08:29:38","date_gmt":"2026-07-27T08:29:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/iran-geriliminin-azalmasiyla-altin-4-100-dolarin-uzerinde-dengelendi-yatirimcilar-fed-kararini-ve-4-200-dolar-direncini-bekliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-07-27T08:29:38","modified_gmt":"2026-07-27T08:29:38","slug":"iran-geriliminin-azalmasiyla-altin-4-100-dolarin-uzerinde-dengelendi-yatirimcilar-fed-kararini-ve-4-200-dolar-direncini-bekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/iran-geriliminin-azalmasiyla-altin-4-100-dolarin-uzerinde-dengelendi-yatirimcilar-fed-kararini-ve-4-200-dolar-direncini-bekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ran geriliminin azalmas\u0131yla alt\u0131n 4.100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde dengelendi; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar Fed karar\u0131n\u0131 ve 4.200 dolar direncini bekliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD), Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde 4.100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerindeki s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc fiyat bo\u015flu\u011funu (gap) geni\u015fletmekte zorland\u0131; piyasalar \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc Federal A\u00e7\u0131k Piyasa Komitesi (FOMC) toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde temkinli. ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na 13 gece \u00fcst \u00fcste s\u00fcrmesinin ard\u0131ndan ara vermesi ve Tahran\u2019\u0131n da ABD\u2019nin ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde davranmas\u0131 halinde sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 durduraca\u011f\u0131na dair haberler, ham petrol\u00fc a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekerek enflasyon endi\u015felerini hafifletti. Sonu\u00e7 olarak faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentileri t\u00f6rp\u00fclendi, ABD Hazine tahvil getirileri geriledi ve ABD Dolar\u0131 (USD) ge\u00e7en haftaki ayl\u0131k zirve yeniden testinden geri \u00e7ekilerek getirisi olmayan metale s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 destek verdi.<\/p>\n

Ate\u015fkes temas\u0131n\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair \u015f\u00fcpheler s\u00fcrerken, \u0130ran destekli Yemenli Husilerin K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz k\u0131y\u0131s\u0131ndaki Suudi petrol tesislerine sald\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 26 Temmuz\u2019da Bab el-Mendeb \u00fczerinden yap\u0131lan sevkiyat azald\u0131. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ge\u00e7i\u015flerin k\u0131s\u0131tlanmas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olas\u0131 kesinti endi\u015feleri ham petrol\u00fc destekleyerek, buna paralel USD\u2019deki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131 ve alt\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fi bask\u0131lad\u0131. Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan, 19 Haziran\u2019dan bu yana fiyat hareketi 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalaman\u0131n (SMA) alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan bir dikd\u00f6rtgen formasyonuna benziyor ve daha geni\u015f \u00f6l\u00e7ekli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor; G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 50\u2019nin hemen alt\u0131nda, Hareketli Ortalama Yak\u0131nsama Iraksama (MACD) ise pozitif b\u00f6lgede. 4.200 dolar civar\u0131nda diren\u00e7 izlenirken, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 4.493,65 dolar\u0131 hedeflemek i\u00e7in bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

FOMC Toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00d6ncesi Stratejik Yakla\u015f\u0131m<\/h3>\n

ABD-\u0130ran geriliminde ge\u00e7ici duraklaman\u0131n seyrini izlerken, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc kritik FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde temkinli kalmalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Alt\u0131n 4.100 dolar seviyesinin hemen \u00fczerinde konsolide olurken, piyasa Fed politikas\u0131nda olas\u0131 bir de\u011fi\u015fime haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Fed net bir y\u00f6n g\u00f6stermeden k\u0131r\u0131lma hareketlerini kovalamak yerine, k\u0131sa vadeli yatay bant (range) stratejilerine odaklan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz.<\/p>\n

Diplomasi beklentileri ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 ge\u00e7ici olarak so\u011futmu\u015f olsa da, Bab el-Mendeb bo\u011faz\u0131ndan ge\u00e7en deniz trafi\u011fi d\u00fcn yeni Husi sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan sert bi\u00e7imde geriledi. Tarihsel olarak K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz\u2019deki sevkiyat aksamalar\u0131 transit hacimleri %40\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrerek enerji maliyetlerini ve enflasyon beklentilerini h\u0131zla yeniden yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131m\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu kal\u0131c\u0131 jeopolitik risk nedeniyle, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir taban bulaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bunun alt\u0131ndaki belirgin bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 hareketi s\u0131n\u0131rlayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n

Volatilite \u0130\u015flemleri ve Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\n

Bu haftaki faiz karar\u0131 etraf\u0131nda i\u015flem yapmak i\u00e7in, beklenen volatiliteden faydalanmak ad\u0131na opsiyonlarda strangle stratejisinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Alt\u0131n opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen volatilite, \u00f6nemli merkez bankas\u0131 olaylar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde genellikle s\u0131\u00e7rar; bu da toplant\u0131 \u00f6ncesi pozisyonlanmay\u0131 ani faiz patikas\u0131 projeksiyonlar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 olduk\u00e7a hassas hale getirir. Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na resm\u00ee bir ara sinyali vermesi halinde, alt\u0131n\u0131n mevcut i\u015flem band\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir hareket g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n

Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan alt\u0131n, g\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte 4.200 dolar civar\u0131nda kritik diren\u00e7le birlikte dikd\u00f6rtgen formasyonu i\u00e7inde s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. Vadeli i\u015flem yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in, 4.200 dolar \u00fczerinde teyit edilmi\u015f bir g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclmeden, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama olan 4.493,65 dolar\u0131 hedefleyen uzun pozisyonlar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmamas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu k\u0131r\u0131lma ger\u00e7ekle\u015fene kadar, son fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 daha geni\u015f bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendi i\u00e7inde k\u0131sa vadeli d\u00fczeltmeler olarak de\u011ferlendirmek gerekir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n 4.100 \u00fcst\u00fcnde tutunmakta zorlan\u0131yor; g\u00f6zler \u00c7ar\u015famba FOMC\u2019de. \u0130ran-ABD ate\u015fkes sinyali petrol\u00fc so\u011futurken, Husi sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 riskleri canl\u0131 tutuyor. 4.200 k\u0131r\u0131lmadan y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50128,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51724","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t