EUR\/JPY, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckselerek bir \u00f6nceki g\u00fcnk\u00fc k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck kay\u0131plar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 186,50 civar\u0131nda el de\u011fi\u015ftirdi. \u00c7apraz, dokuz periyotluk ve 50 periyotluk \u00dcssel Hareketli Ortalamalar\u0131n (EMA) \u00fczerinde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimini koruyor; k\u0131sa vadeli EMA, uzun vadeli EMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde konumlanm\u0131\u015f durumda. Momentum g\u00f6stergeleri de pozitif tarafa i\u015faret ediyor. 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi\u2019nin (RSI) 60\u2019a yak\u0131n seyretmesi, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine i\u015faret etmeden ko\u015fullar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n\n
Buna kar\u015f\u0131n grafik formasyonlar\u0131 \u00e7eli\u015fkili bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm \u00e7iziyor. EUR\/JPY, y\u00fckselen takoz (rising wedge) i\u00e7inde t\u0131rman\u0131yor; bu formasyon, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn habercisi olabiliyor. Diren\u00e7, takozun \u00fcst band\u0131 olan 186,90 civar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, bunun \u00fczerinde odak noktas\u0131 17 Nisan\u2019da g\u00f6r\u00fclen 187,95\u2019lik t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n zirvesi. Destek, 186,04\u2019teki dokuz g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA ile ba\u015fl\u0131yor; ard\u0131ndan, takozun alt band\u0131yla da \u00e7ak\u0131\u015fan 185,31\u2019deki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA izleniyor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131mda 16 Mart\u2019taki be\u015f ay\u0131n dibi 181,87 ile birlikte yedi ay\u0131n dibi 180,81 g\u00fcndeme gelebilir.<\/p>\n\n
EUR\/JPY\u2019nin 186,50 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken hem 9 periyotluk hem de 50 periyotluk EMA\u2019lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde g\u00fcvenli \u015fekilde kalmas\u0131, k\u0131sa vadede yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun korundu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Bununla birlikte, g\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte y\u00fckselen takoz formasyonu i\u00e7inde hareket etmesi nedeniyle t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda temkinli olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu teknik yap\u0131, tarihsel olarak keskin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f riski ta\u015f\u0131r ve y\u00fcksek kald\u0131ra\u00e7l\u0131 al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 haz\u0131rl\u0131ks\u0131z yakalayabilir.<\/p>\n\n
K\u0131sa vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinden faydalanmak isteyenler i\u00e7in, 186,90 civar\u0131ndaki takoz \u00fcst band\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131ndan izlenmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Paritenin bu direncin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 halinde 187,95\u2019teki tarihi zirvenin h\u0131zl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde test edilmesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olabilir. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, olas\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 yakalamak ve sermaye riskini s\u0131k\u0131 bi\u00e7imde s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 kullanabilir.<\/p>\n\n
Di\u011fer yandan, \u00f6zellikle merkez bankalar\u0131 getirileri aras\u0131ndaki farklar de\u011fi\u015fmeye ba\u015flarken, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na haz\u0131rlanmak i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gerek\u00e7eler g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Tarihsel olarak EUR\/JPY\u2019nin y\u00fckselen takoz formasyonlar\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkmas\u0131 durumunda sat\u0131\u015flar h\u0131zl\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fiyor; ge\u00e7mi\u015fte Japon yeni piyasas\u0131na m\u00fcdahalelere benzer \u015fekilde \u00e7o\u011fu zaman %3 ila %5\u2019lik h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler tetiklenebiliyor. Fiyat\u0131n 185,31\u2019deki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131na inmesi halinde, 181,87\u2019deki be\u015f ay\u0131n dibini hedefleyen sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011ferlendirilebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI\u2019nin 60 civar\u0131nda seyretmesi, momentumun g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ancak hen\u00fcz a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131mda olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131; dolay\u0131s\u0131yla piyasan\u0131n bir s\u00fcre daha bu takoz i\u00e7inde yatay-s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131k seyir izleyebilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. A\u00e7\u0131k uzun (long) pozisyonlar i\u00e7in 186,04\u2019teki 9 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n hemen alt\u0131na s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes (stop-loss) seviyeleri belirlenmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu dengeli yakla\u015f\u0131m, k\u0131sa vadeli getirilerden faydalanmay\u0131 sa\u011flarken, olas\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck bir trend d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 da haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 kal\u0131nmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 olur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" EUR\/JPY Asya\u2019da 186,50\u2019de tutunurken 9\/50 EMA \u00fcst\u00fcnde pozitif momentum veriyor. Ancak y\u00fckselen takoz alarm\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131yor: 186,90 a\u015f\u0131l\u0131rsa 187,95 hedef; k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131mda 185,31-181,87 riski.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50035,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51722","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t