{"id":51686,"date":"2026-07-25T03:29:05","date_gmt":"2026-07-25T03:29:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/abd-iran-savasi-endiseleri-ve-boj-mudahale-riskiyle-yen-talebi-guclenirken-eur-jpy-yatay-seyrediyor\/"},"modified":"2026-07-25T03:29:05","modified_gmt":"2026-07-25T03:29:05","slug":"abd-iran-savasi-endiseleri-ve-boj-mudahale-riskiyle-yen-talebi-guclenirken-eur-jpy-yatay-seyrediyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abd-iran-savasi-endiseleri-ve-boj-mudahale-riskiyle-yen-talebi-guclenirken-eur-jpy-yatay-seyrediyor\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD-\u0130ran Sava\u015f\u0131 Endi\u015feleri ve BoJ M\u00fcdahale Riskiyle Yen Talebi G\u00fc\u00e7lenirken EUR\/JPY Yatay Seyrediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

EUR\/JPY, 186,00\u2013187,00 band\u0131nda dar bir aral\u0131kta i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Parite %0,06 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle, ABD-\u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n t\u0131rmanmas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 zay\u0131flayan risk i\u015ftah\u0131 nedeniyle Japon Yeni\u2019ne talebin artmas\u0131yla y\u00fckseli\u015flerini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmekte zorlan\u0131yor. \u00c7apraz kur, y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana g\u00f6r\u00fclen 187,95 zirvesini test ettikten sonra yatay seyre ge\u00e7ti; daha \u00f6nce ise Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) son m\u00fcdahalesinin ard\u0131ndan 183,00 b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan, G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) y\u00fckseli\u015f b\u00f6lgesinde kalsa da m\u00fcdahale riski s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc i\u00e7in fiyat hareketi 187,00 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda bask\u0131lanmaya devam ediyor. 187,00 \u00fczerindeki bir k\u0131r\u0131lma 187,95\u2019i yeniden g\u00fcndeme getirir; ard\u0131ndan 189,00 direnci ve 190,00 psikolojik seviyesi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 20 Temmuz dip seviyesi olan 185,35\u2019in alt\u0131na bir hareket, oda\u011f\u0131 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalama (SMA) olan 185,20\u2019ye; sonra 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 185,05\u2019e ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 183,29\u2019a \u00e7evirir.<\/p>\n

Mevcut \u0130\u015flem Aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Opsiyon Stratejileri<\/h3>\n

T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 186,00\u2013187,00 aras\u0131ndaki s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131k konsolidasyon b\u00f6lgesini yak\u0131ndan izlemesini \u00f6neriyoruz. RSI\u2019\u0131n i\u015faret etti\u011fi y\u00fckseli\u015f momentumu 188,00\u2019e do\u011fru olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lmaya i\u015faret etse de, Japon h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin olas\u0131 m\u00fcdahale tehdidi piyasan\u0131n \u00fczerinde a\u011f\u0131r bir bask\u0131 unsuru olmaya devam ediyor. Bu senaryoyu de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumu yakalarken ani d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flere kar\u015f\u0131 riski s\u0131k\u0131 bi\u00e7imde s\u0131n\u0131rlamak ad\u0131na bo\u011fa al\u0131m spreadleri (bull call spread) kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n

M\u00fcdahale Riskinin Y\u00f6netimi ve K\u0131r\u0131lma Senaryolar\u0131<\/h3>\n

Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n agresif kur hamleleri ge\u00e7mi\u015fi unutulmamal\u0131; 2024 ortas\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen 9,8 trilyon yenlik devasa m\u00fcdahale, yen \u00e7aprazlar\u0131nda sert dalgalanmalar yaratm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Benzer \u015fekilde, yak\u0131n zamanda gelen ani bir m\u00fcdahale EUR\/JPY\u2019yi 183,00 b\u00f6lgesine kadar s\u00fcr\u00fckleyerek, otoriteler devreye girdi\u011finde piyasan\u0131n ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015ftirebildi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Bu nedenle, euro uzun pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 ani d\u00fczenleyici \u015foklara kar\u015f\u0131 korumak i\u00e7in d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli \u201csigorta\u201d niteli\u011finde, kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 spotun alt\u0131nda olan sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n portf\u00f6yde tutulmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz.<\/p>\n

\u00c7apraz kurun kritik 185,35 destek seviyesinin alt\u0131na sarkmas\u0131 halinde, 185,00 civar\u0131ndaki kilit hareketli ortalamalara do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bekliyoruz. Di\u011fer yandan 187,00 \u00fczerinde net bir g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f, y\u0131l i\u00e7i zirve olan 187,95\u2019in hedeflenmesinin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7acakt\u0131r. Ayr\u0131ca, temmuz sonundaki bu sakin s\u0131k\u0131\u015fman\u0131n a\u011fustosta keskin ve k\u00e2rl\u0131 dalgalanmalara yerini b\u0131rakma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fundan, straddle stratejileriyle volatilite sat\u0131n almak da de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

EUR\/JPY 186\u2013187\u2019de s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131: \u0130ran\u2011ABD gerilimi risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 t\u00f6rp\u00fclerken yen talebi art\u0131yor. 187 \u00fcst\u00fc 187,95\u2011190\u2019\u0131 hedefler; 185,35 alt\u0131 185\u2011183\u2019e iter. Opsiyonda spread\/put\/straddle \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49975,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51686","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51686","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51686"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51686\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49975"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51686"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51686"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51686"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}