Sterlin, d\u00fc\u015fen petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131lamas\u0131yla Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,20 y\u00fckseldi. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n ABD-\u0130ran \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, piyasalar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 daha ileri bir t\u0131rmanma riskine i\u015faret etti. Yine de GBP\/USD, ek Fed faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentilerin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle geni\u015f tabanl\u0131 dolar deste\u011fini yans\u0131tarak haftay\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,70 kay\u0131pla kapatmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer tarafta sterlin, dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda \u00fc\u00e7 haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine yak\u0131n kald\u0131; y\u00fckseli\u015fler 1,3340 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rlan\u0131rken parite haftal\u0131k bazda %1 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe do\u011fru ilerledi. \u0130ngiltere\u2019de g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelen \u00f6nc\u00fc S&P Global PMI ve Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar verileri, riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f pozisyonlanmas\u0131 ve Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k maliyesine y\u00f6nelik endi\u015felerin yeniden \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n etkisini dengeleyemedi. Asya seans\u0131n\u0131n erken saatlerinde GBP\/USD, \u0130ngiltere Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar verisi \u00f6ncesinde Orta Do\u011fu gerilimlerinin kazan\u00e7lar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilece\u011fine dair uyar\u0131lar e\u015fli\u011finde 1,3325 civar\u0131na toparlanarak be\u015f g\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f serisini sonland\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u0130ngiltere perakende sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ve S&P PMI verilerine ra\u011fmen Britanya Sterlini\u2019nin ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda 1,3300 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde tutunmakta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. T\u00fcrev i\u015flemcileri olarak, k\u00fcresel riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u0131n sterlinin yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlamas\u0131 nedeniyle GBP\/USD paritesinde artan oynakl\u0131\u011fa haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmal\u0131y\u0131z. Tarihsel olarak yaz sonu i\u015flemleri daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck likidite getirir; bu da maj\u00f6r d\u00f6viz \u00e7iftlerinde daha keskin ve beklenmedik fiyat sal\u0131n\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 tetikleyebilir.<\/p>\n
Brent petrol\u00fcn varil ba\u015f\u0131na 74 dolar civar\u0131nda seyretmesiyle k\u00fcresel petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki son d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, ge\u00e7ici olarak dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flatm\u0131\u015f olsa da Orta Do\u011fu gerilimleri nedeniyle g\u00fcvenli liman talebi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmaya devam ediyor. Keskin hareketlerden, y\u00f6n tahmini yapmadan faydalanmak i\u00e7in long straddle gibi n\u00f6tr opsiyon stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Halihaz\u0131rda GBP\/USD bir ayl\u0131k z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131k %7,5\u2019e y\u00fckselmi\u015f durumda; bu da t\u00fcrev piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda daha geni\u015f dalgalanmalara haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
\u0130ngiltere i\u00e7 verileri olumlu g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de Londra\u2019daki mali endi\u015feler ve de\u011fi\u015fen faiz beklentileri, Sterlin\u2019i kolayl\u0131kla 1,3150 seviyesine do\u011fru \u00e7ekebilir. Uzun pozisyonlar\u0131 ani bir riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 korumak i\u00e7in bear put spread ile hedge etmenin ak\u0131ll\u0131ca bir y\u00f6ntem oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Halihaz\u0131rda yakla\u015f\u0131k 45 baz puan seviyesinde bulunan ABD-\u0130ngiltere 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faiz fark\u0131n\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izlemek, gelecekteki sermaye ak\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6l\u00e7memize yard\u0131mc\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Jeopolitik riskler piyasalar\u0131 tedirgin tutarken, sermaye riskini y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in sterlin vadeli i\u015flemlerinde s\u0131k\u0131 stop-loss uygulamak kritik \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. Bu dalgal\u0131 makro ortamda uzun vadeli risk ta\u015f\u0131maktan ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131rken h\u0131zl\u0131 fiyat tepkilerinden yararlanmak i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli opsiyon s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerine odaklanmal\u0131y\u0131z. Bu dengeli yakla\u015f\u0131m, ani piyasa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerine kar\u015f\u0131 korunmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli ralli denemelerinden getiri elde etmemizi sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Sterlin petrol d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyle g\u00fc\u00e7lense de Fed beklentileri ve Orta Do\u011fu riski dolar\u0131 destekliyor; GBP\/USD 1,3340 alt\u0131nda, haftal\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte. Artan oynakl\u0131kta straddle ve bear put spread ile korunma \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49995,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51665","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t