{"id":51618,"date":"2026-07-24T09:29:29","date_gmt":"2026-07-24T09:29:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/ecb-faizleri-sabit-tuttu-piyasalar-eylul-ayi-faiz-artisi-sinyalleri-icin-euro-bolgesi-oncu-gsyh-ve-enflasyon-verilerini-bekliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-07-24T09:29:29","modified_gmt":"2026-07-24T09:29:29","slug":"ecb-faizleri-sabit-tuttu-piyasalar-eylul-ayi-faiz-artisi-sinyalleri-icin-euro-bolgesi-oncu-gsyh-ve-enflasyon-verilerini-bekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/ecb-faizleri-sabit-tuttu-piyasalar-eylul-ayi-faiz-artisi-sinyalleri-icin-euro-bolgesi-oncu-gsyh-ve-enflasyon-verilerini-bekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"ECB Faizleri Sabit Tuttu; Piyasalar Eyl\u00fcl Ay\u0131 Faiz Art\u0131\u015f\u0131 Sinyalleri \u0130\u00e7in Euro B\u00f6lgesi \u00d6nc\u00fc GSYH ve Enflasyon Verilerini Bekliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

ECB, 23 Temmuz\u2019da faizleri de\u011fi\u015ftirmedi ve \u201cbekle-g\u00f6r\u201d duru\u015funu yineledi; olas\u0131 ilave ad\u0131mlar\u0131 petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek seyrinin s\u00fcresine ve enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne ba\u011flad\u0131. 2026\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda hedefin hafif alt\u0131na inen Euro B\u00f6lgesi enflasyonu, K\u00f6rfez petrol ablukas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Mart\u2019tan itibaren h\u0131zland\u0131; ard\u0131ndan \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l\u0131n ilk faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 takiben ge\u00e7en ay beklentilerin \u00fczerinde so\u011fuyarak %2,8\u2019e geriledi. Piyasalar \u015fimdi 30 Temmuz\u2019daki 2\u00c7 \u00f6nc\u00fc GSYH verisine (erken beklenti %0,1) ve 31 Temmuz\u2019daki \u00f6nc\u00fc enflasyona (ilk tahminler yakla\u015f\u0131k %3) odaklan\u0131yor; her iki veri de Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de %2,65\u2019e olas\u0131 bir hamlenin fiyatlamas\u0131n\u0131 \u015fekillendirecek.<\/p>\n

B\u00fcy\u00fcme zay\u0131f kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor; 2023\u2019ten bu yana \u00fc\u00e7 \u00e7eyrektir durgunluk ya da durgunlu\u011fa yak\u0131n seyir g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor ve bu durum ABD\u2019ye k\u0131yasla politika dengelerini karma\u015f\u0131kla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. EUR\/GBP\u2019de euro toplant\u0131 sonras\u0131 gev\u015fedi; 61,8% Fibonacci d\u00fczeltmesine yak\u0131n 84,7 peni civar\u0131 destek, 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 85,2 peni ise k\u0131sa vadede a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 gereken e\u015fik olarak izleniyor; diren\u00e7 38,2% Fibo\u2019ya yak\u0131n 86 peninin biraz \u00fczerinde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. EUR\/JPY, 23 Temmuz\u2019da yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n zirvesini yaparak \u00a5188\u2019in hemen alt\u0131n\u0131 test etti; a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m sinyalleri ortaya \u00e7\u0131karken, yak\u0131ndaki hareketli ortalamalar \u00a5185,30 civar\u0131nda k\u00fcmeleniyor ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 24 Haziran ve 2 Temmuz\u2019da destek olarak \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Volatilite Riskleri ve Euro B\u00f6lgesi Makro G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\n

T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara, ECB\u2019nin son faiz molas\u0131n\u0131 sindirdi\u011fimiz bu d\u00f6nemde \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda belirgin volatiliteye haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Euro a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ana kataliz\u00f6rler 30 Temmuz\u2019daki Euro B\u00f6lgesi 2\u00c7 \u00f6nc\u00fc GSYH ve 31 Temmuz\u2019daki \u00f6nc\u00fc enflasyon olacak. Bu veriler, piyasan\u0131n Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de faizin %2,65\u2019e art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 fiyatlamaya devam edip etmeyece\u011fini belirleyecek.<\/p>\n

Euro B\u00f6lgesi enflasyonu ge\u00e7en ay %2,8\u2019e gerilese de, devam eden enerji arz\u0131 endi\u015feleri nedeniyle mevcut tahminler %3,0\u2019e do\u011fru potansiyel bir toparlanmaya i\u015faret ediyor. Bu tabloya, birden fazla \u00e7eyrektir s\u0131f\u0131ra yak\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ard\u0131ndan 2\u00c7\u2019de sadece %0,1 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermesi beklenen durgun Euro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomisi e\u015flik ediyor. Stagflasyon riskinin bu denli belirginle\u015fmesinin, ECB\u2019yi ilave faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 konusunda son derece temkinli k\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n

EUR\/GBP ve EUR\/JPY i\u00e7in Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\n

EUR\/GBP taraf\u0131nda, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019\u0131n daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve istihdam verilerinin sterlini desteklemesiyle paritedeki son yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmenin zay\u0131flamas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. Teknik olarak kur, 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan \u00a30,852 seviyesinde dinamik bir diren\u00e7le kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya; \u00a30,847\u2019deki 61,8% Fibonacci seviyesi ise g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ana destek konumunu koruyor. Parite direnci a\u015famazsa, \u00f6zellikle gelecek hafta \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde, yeniden deste\u011fe do\u011fru kademeli bir geri \u00e7ekilme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n

EUR\/JPY\u2019de ise Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmaya isteksiz duru\u015funun etkisiyle \u00a5188\u2019in hemen alt\u0131nda \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n zirvesine yak\u0131n seyri izliyoruz. Ancak momentum g\u00f6stergeleri belirgin bi\u00e7imde a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesini i\u015faret etti\u011finden, k\u0131sa vadeli bir d\u00fczeltme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcksek g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Olas\u0131 bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc d\u00fczeltmenin, \u00a5185,30 civar\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f hareketli ortalamalar band\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u201cg\u00fcvenlik a\u011f\u0131\u201d deste\u011fi bulmas\u0131 muhtemel.<\/p>\n

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda, euro \u00e7aprazlar\u0131nda net risk limitleriyle i\u015flem yap\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 ve 30-31 Temmuz veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 etraf\u0131nda k\u0131r\u0131lma (breakout) stratejilerine odaklan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Tarihsel olarak b\u00fcy\u00fcme durgunlu\u011funun enflasyon s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131yla birle\u015fti\u011fi d\u00f6nemler, sert ve d\u00fczensiz kur dalgalanmalar\u0131n\u0131 tetikler. \u00c7evik kalmak, hem ECB hem de Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 kaynakl\u0131 para politikas\u0131 beklentilerindeki ani de\u011fi\u015fimlerden yararlanmay\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn k\u0131lacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ECB faizi pas ge\u00e7ti, bekle-g\u00f6r mesaj\u0131n\u0131 korudu: Petrol ve enflasyon belirleyici. Enflasyon %2,8\u2019e inse de %3 riski var. 30-31 Temmuz GSYH\/enflasyon verisi volatiliteyi, Eyl\u00fcl %2,65 fiyatlamas\u0131n\u0131 y\u00f6netecek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50069,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51618","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51618","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51618"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51618\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50069"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51618"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51618"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51618"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}