{"id":51508,"date":"2026-07-23T05:30:05","date_gmt":"2026-07-23T05:30:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/aud-jpy-avustralya-istihdam-verisinin-beklentileri-asmasinin-ardindan-11430-yakininda-dengelendi-yen-gucu-yukselisi-sinirliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-07-23T05:30:05","modified_gmt":"2026-07-23T05:30:05","slug":"aud-jpy-avustralya-istihdam-verisinin-beklentileri-asmasinin-ardindan-11430-yakininda-dengelendi-yen-gucu-yukselisi-sinirliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/aud-jpy-avustralya-istihdam-verisinin-beklentileri-asmasinin-ardindan-11430-yakininda-dengelendi-yen-gucu-yukselisi-sinirliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"AUD\/JPY, Avustralya \u0130stihdam Verisinin Beklentileri A\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n Ard\u0131ndan 114,30 Yak\u0131n\u0131nda Dengelendi; Yen G\u00fcc\u00fc Y\u00fckseli\u015fi S\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"

AUD\/JPY, per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinde \u00f6nceki kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 telafi ederek 114,30 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Parite, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdam verilerinin ard\u0131ndan Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131yla destek buldu. Avustralya \u0130statistik B\u00fcrosu, haziranda i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n %4,4\u2019te kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve %4,4\u2019l\u00fck piyasa beklentisine paralel ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini bildirirken, istihdam 76,3 bin artt\u0131. Bu art\u0131\u015f, may\u0131staki 44 binlik y\u00fckseli\u015fle (40,3 binden revize) k\u0131yasland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrederken, 15 binlik piyasa tahminini de a\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u00c7apraz, Japon Yeni\u2019nin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. Artan enerji maliyetleri enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131rabilece\u011fi beklentilerini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Ayr\u0131 raporlara g\u00f6re BoJ yetkilileri, piyasalar\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden daha h\u0131zl\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya a\u00e7\u0131k. \u00d6te yandan, Maliye Bakan\u0131 Satsuki Katayama\u2019n\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 kur zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 kararl\u0131 ad\u0131mlar atmaya haz\u0131r olduklar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemesinin ard\u0131ndan m\u00fcdahale riski de g\u00fcndemde kalmaya devam etti. Odak, cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Japonya\u2019n\u0131n haziran t\u00fcketici enflasyonu verilerine \u00e7evrildi.<\/p>\n

Avustralya \u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc Piyasas\u0131ndaki G\u00fc\u00e7 ve AUD\/JPY\u2019ye Etkisi<\/h3>\n

Avustralya i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131nda dikkat \u00e7ekici bir g\u00fc\u00e7 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz: Haziranda 76,3 binlik istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131, 15 binlik s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 beklentiye k\u0131yasla olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek. Bu g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc veri, Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) politika faizini y\u00fcksek seviyelerde tutaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor; bu da tarihsel olarak Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekliyor. T\u00fcrev piyasas\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filiminden faydalanmak i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli AUD\/JPY al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 alarak bu hareketi de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n

Yen Riski ve Oynakl\u0131kta Yol Haritas\u0131<\/h3>\n

Bununla birlikte, Japonya\u2019da \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun BoJ\u2019un %2 hedefinin belirgin \u00fczerinde seyretmesi nedeniyle Yen\u2019de ani g\u00fc\u00e7lenme riskine haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmak gerekiyor. Maliye Bakan\u0131 Katayama\u2019n\u0131n Yen\u2019deki zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 durdurmak i\u00e7in do\u011frudan m\u00fcdahale uyar\u0131s\u0131, sert bir geri \u00e7ekilme ihtimalini art\u0131r\u0131yor. Portf\u00f6y\u00fc a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ani bir s\u0131\u00e7ramaya kar\u015f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetle korumak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 spotun d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda (out-of-the-money) AUD\/JPY sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 al\u0131nmas\u0131 \u00f6neriliyor.<\/p>\n

G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc Avustralya ekonomisi ile s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya y\u00f6nelen Japon merkez bankas\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7eki\u015fme nedeniyle oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n artmas\u0131 muhtemel. Her iki y\u00f6nde sert fiyat hareketlerinden yararlanmak i\u00e7in uzun straddle veya strangle opsiyon stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 tavsiye ediliyor. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte BoJ politika duru\u015fundaki b\u00fcy\u00fck de\u011fi\u015fim d\u00f6nemlerinde bu parite, birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 300 pipin \u00fczerinde hareket edebilmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

AUD\/JPY 114,30\u2019da toparland\u0131: Avustralya\u2019da istihdam 76,3 bin artarak AUD\u2019u destekledi. Ancak BoJ\u2019un h\u0131zlanan s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma sinyali ve m\u00fcdahale riski y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor; CPI odakta, oynakl\u0131k artabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50026,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51508","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51508","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51508"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51508\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50026"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51508"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51508"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51508"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}