{"id":51436,"date":"2026-07-22T09:29:21","date_gmt":"2026-07-22T09:29:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/ingilterede-tufe-26ya-gerilerken-yapiskan-cekirdek-enflasyon-boeyi-sahin-beklemede-tutuyor\/"},"modified":"2026-07-22T09:29:21","modified_gmt":"2026-07-22T09:29:21","slug":"ingilterede-tufe-26ya-gerilerken-yapiskan-cekirdek-enflasyon-boeyi-sahin-beklemede-tutuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/ingilterede-tufe-26ya-gerilerken-yapiskan-cekirdek-enflasyon-boeyi-sahin-beklemede-tutuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ngiltere\u2019de T\u00dcFE %2,6\u2019ya gerilerken, yap\u0131\u015fkan \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon BoE\u2019yi \u015fahin beklemede tutuyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u0130ngiltere\u2019de man\u015fet T\u00dcFE, Ulusal \u0130statistik Ofisi\u2019ne (ONS) g\u00f6re haziranda y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %2,6 artt\u0131; may\u0131staki %2,8\u2019e g\u00f6re geriledi ve %2,7\u2019lik piyasa beklentisinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Veri, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) %2\u2019lik hedefinin \u00fczerinde kalmaya devam etti. \u00c7ekirdek T\u00dcFE y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %2,6 ile may\u0131sla ayn\u0131 seviyede ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti ancak %2,5\u2019lik tahminin \u00fczerinde geldi; ayl\u0131k T\u00dcFE ise %0,2\u2019den %0,1\u2019e yava\u015flayarak beklentiye paralel seyretti.<\/p>\n

FX piyasalar\u0131nda, veri sonras\u0131 sterlin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 gerilerken GBP\/USD g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %0,03 art\u0131da 1,3380 seviyesindeydi. Bu arada BoE, 18 Haziran\u2019da politika faizini %3,75\u2019te sabit tutmu\u015f; karar 7\u20132 oyla al\u0131n\u0131rken Megan Greene ve Huw Pill 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015ftan yana oy kullanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u0130ma edilen faiz patikas\u0131 y\u0131l sonuna kadar yakla\u015f\u0131k 43 baz puanl\u0131k bir s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya i\u015faret ediyor; GBP\/USD i\u00e7in \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan seviyeler 1,3550\u20131,3560 band\u0131nda diren\u00e7, ard\u0131ndan 1,3653 ve 1,3868; destek taraf\u0131nda ise 1,3140 ve 1,3010 seviyeleri. RSI 54\u2019\u00fcn hemen alt\u0131nda, ADX ise 18 civar\u0131nda.<\/p>\n

Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k Enflasyon Verilerinin T\u00fcrev Piyasalar\u0131na Etkileri<\/h3>\n

Son Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k enflasyon verilerinin, man\u015fet T\u00dcFE %2,6\u2019ya yava\u015flarken \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun %2,6\u2019da yap\u0131\u015fkan kalmas\u0131 nedeniyle t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan karma\u015f\u0131k bir tablo sundu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n bir sonraki kritik faiz karar\u0131 30 Temmuz\u2019da; bu kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k veri seti, bir faiz indirimini olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 hale getiriyor. Piyasan\u0131n \u201c\u015fahin bir pas\u201d ihtimaline pozisyon ayarlamas\u0131yla, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki iki haftada sterlin t\u00fcrevlerinde volatilitenin artmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n

Tarihsel olarak GBP\/USD z\u0131mni volatilitesi, BoE politika kararlar\u0131 \u00f6ncesindeki be\u015f g\u00fcnde ortalama %15 ila %20 y\u00fckselme e\u011filiminde. Ortalama Y\u00f6n Endeksi\u2019nin (ADX) \u015fu anda olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir seviye olan 18\u2019de bulunmas\u0131, opsiyon piyasas\u0131n\u0131n olas\u0131 fiyat sal\u0131n\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Bu nedenle opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na, merkez bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde g\u00f6rece ucuz z\u0131mni volatiliteden faydalanmak i\u00e7in uzun straddle veya strangle stratejilerini de\u011ferlendirmelerini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n

GBP\/USD i\u00e7in Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm ve \u0130\u015flem Stratejileri<\/h3>\n

Teknik seviyelere bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, GBP\/USD paritesinde 1,3550 ana diren\u00e7 konumunda; g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek ise y\u0131l i\u00e7i dipler b\u00f6lgesi olan 1,3140 civar\u0131nda. Vadeli i\u015flem yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in, ani k\u0131r\u0131lmalara kar\u015f\u0131 bu bantlar\u0131n \u00e7evresinde s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes (stop-loss) seviyeleri belirlenmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Merkez bankas\u0131ndan gelebilecek \u015fahin bir ton, \u00f6zellikle daha fazla politika yap\u0131c\u0131n\u0131n faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde oy kullanmas\u0131 halinde, sterlini yeniden 1,3550 seviyesine do\u011fru itebilir.<\/p>\n

Swap piyasas\u0131ndan gelen son veriler, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yak\u0131n vadeli faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndaki yakla\u015f\u0131k %50 d\u00fczeyinden %30\u2019un alt\u0131na indirdi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu kayma, orta vadede daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir sterlini desteklerken, GBP\/USD \u00fczerinde al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 risk-getiri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan cazip bir se\u00e7enek haline getiriyor. K\u0131sa vadeli y\u00f6nsel e\u011filimi teyit etmek i\u00e7in \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde mevcut 1,3380 pivot seviyesinin yak\u0131ndan izlenmesini tavsiye ediyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0130ngiltere\u2019de T\u00dcFE %2,6\u2019ya gerilerken \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon yap\u0131\u015fkan kald\u0131: BoE\u2019nin 30 Temmuz karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesi faiz indirimi zay\u0131fl\u0131yor. Sterlin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 geri \u00e7ekildi. Opsiyonda volatilite ucuz; 1,3550 diren\u00e7, 1,3140 destek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49989,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51436","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51436","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51436"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51436\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49989"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51436"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51436"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51436"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}