USD\/SGD dar bantlarda i\u015flem g\u00f6rmeye devam ediyor; g\u00fcn i\u00e7i hareketler s\u00f6n\u00fck, momentum g\u00f6stergeleri ise b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yatay. Parite ge\u00e7en Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 1,2920 seviyesinde, %0,09 art\u0131\u015fla kapanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 1,2898-1,2923 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda hareket etti ve g\u00fcn\u00fc 1,2913\u2019te, %0,05 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle tamamlad\u0131. K\u0131sa vadeli fiyatlama h\u00e2l\u00e2 bant i\u015flemlerine i\u015faret ediyor; \u00f6nceki 1,2900-1,2930 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan en olas\u0131 koridor 1,2895-1,2925 band\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Bir ila \u00fc\u00e7 haftal\u0131k ufukta, odak 16 Temmuz\u2019da spot 1,2885 seviyesindeyken referans verilen 1,2860 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 e\u015fik seviyesinde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentum zay\u0131flamaya ba\u015flasa da, 1,2930 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7 olarak korunduk\u00e7a 1,2860\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131lma ve bu seviyenin alt\u0131nda kapan\u0131\u015f riski devam ediyor. Daha derin bir geri \u00e7ekilme geli\u015fmesi halinde, 1,2805 civar\u0131nda destek bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
USD\/SGD\u2019nin 1,2895-1,2925 aras\u0131ndaki sakin bantta s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131n vadede bant stratejilerine odaklanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Piyasada belirgin bir y\u00f6n momentumu bulunmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli iron condor veya strangle sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 burada olduk\u00e7a etkili olabilir. Tarihsel veriler, bu paritenin bu denli dar (30 pip) bantlarda konsolide oldu\u011fu d\u00f6nemlerde prim toplama stratejilerinin en istikrarl\u0131 getirileri sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
Daha geni\u015f makro \u00e7er\u00e7evede, Singapur Para Otoritesi (MAS) yerel para birimi i\u00e7in de\u011ferlenme e\u011filimini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) mevcut para politikas\u0131 patikas\u0131yla birle\u015fince dolar\u0131n kritik diren\u00e7 seviyelerinin alt\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Bu makro zemin, USD\/SGD\u2019nin 1,2930 \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmakta neden zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klarken, ima edilen volatilite seviyelerini de istisnai derecede d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tutuyor.<\/p>\n
1,2860 ana destek seviyesinin alt\u0131nda g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi halinde, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde pozisyonlanmay\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirip a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc put opsiyonlar\u0131 almas\u0131 gerekir. Bu taban\u0131n teyitli k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, bir sonraki maj\u00f6r destek b\u00f6lgesi olan 1,2805\u2019e do\u011fru daha derin bir d\u00fczeltmeyi tetikleme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131r. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, 1,2930 \u00fczerindeki olas\u0131 bir atak, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair sinyal olarak de\u011ferlendirilmelidir; bu durumda bant stratejilerinden derhal \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n