GBP\/USD, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde 1,3430 civar\u0131nda seyrederken \u00fcst \u00fcste d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fcnde de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Fiyat hareketi g\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte y\u00fckselen kanal i\u00e7inde kalmaya devam ediyor; bu da daha geni\u015f teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn bullish kald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Parite h\u00e2l\u00e2 9 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ve 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalamalar\u0131n (EMA) \u00fczerinde. Her iki ortalaman\u0131n da fiyat\u0131n alt\u0131nda konumlanmas\u0131, altta yatan y\u00fckseli\u015f trendiyle uyumlu. Momentum g\u00f6stergeleri destekleyici ancak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fc: 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 55 civar\u0131nda seyrederken, parite 1,3400 yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki 9 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA deste\u011fini test ediyor.<\/p>\n
GBP\/USD\u2019nin 1,3400 civar\u0131ndaki kritik 9 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA deste\u011fini test etti\u011fi bu b\u00f6lgede, t\u00fcrev piyasa i\u015flemcilerine geri \u00e7ekilmelerde al\u0131m f\u0131rsatlar\u0131n\u0131 takip etmelerini \u00f6neriyoruz. Parite y\u00fckselen kanal i\u00e7inde ve 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece, ana y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde korunuyor. 1,3400 civar\u0131nda k\u0131sa vadeli al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 almak, s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyelden faydalanmam\u0131z\u0131 sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n
14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI\u2019\u0131n 55 gibi istikrarl\u0131 bir d\u00fczeyde olmas\u0131, piyasan\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinden uzak oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor ve yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n i\u00e7in alan b\u0131rak\u0131yor. Tarihsel veriler, RSI\u2019\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi s\u0131ras\u0131nda bu n\u00f6tr-bullish b\u00f6lgede seyretmesinin, ani bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ften ziyade kademeli bir y\u00fckseli\u015f baca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131kl\u0131kla \u00f6nceledi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Yak\u0131n zirveler olan 1,3500 b\u00f6lgesine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc hedeflerken prim maliyetini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in bull call spread stratejileri kullan\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n
Bu bullish momentum, ABD ve Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019taki de\u011fi\u015fen para politikalar\u0131yla g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde destekleniyor. \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) kal\u0131c\u0131 hizmet enflasyonuyla m\u00fccadele kapsam\u0131nda politika faizini %4,5\u2019te sabit tutarken, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) faiz indirim d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc %3,75\u2019e do\u011fru s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc i\u00e7in faiz fark\u0131 Sterlin\u2019i destekliyor. Bu makroekonomik arka plan\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda GBP\/USD\u2019de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 tutmas\u0131 beklenmeli.<\/p>\n
\u0130\u015flemin yakla\u015fan merkez bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131lar\u0131 d\u00f6neminde geli\u015fmesi i\u00e7in zaman tan\u0131mak ad\u0131na A\u011fustos 2026 vadeli ayl\u0131k kontratlar\u0131n de\u011ferlendirilmesi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclebilir. Y\u00fckselen kanal\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda sermayeyi korumak i\u00e7in spot pozisyonlarda zarar-kes seviyelerinin, h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda 1,3250 civar\u0131nda bulunan 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n hemen alt\u0131na yerle\u015ftirilmesi uygun olacakt\u0131r. Bu dengeli yakla\u015f\u0131m, mevcut y\u00fckseli\u015f dalgas\u0131ndan faydalan\u0131rken ani volatilite riskine kar\u015f\u0131 risk y\u00f6netimi sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n