{"id":51274,"date":"2026-07-20T16:05:09","date_gmt":"2026-07-20T16:05:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/dolar-guclenirken-ve-ecb-karari-yaklasirken-eur-usdde-asagi-yonlu-riskler-artiyor\/"},"modified":"2026-07-20T16:05:09","modified_gmt":"2026-07-20T16:05:09","slug":"dolar-guclenirken-ve-ecb-karari-yaklasirken-eur-usdde-asagi-yonlu-riskler-artiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/dolar-guclenirken-ve-ecb-karari-yaklasirken-eur-usdde-asagi-yonlu-riskler-artiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Dolar G\u00fc\u00e7lenirken ve ECB Karar\u0131 Yakla\u015f\u0131rken EUR\/USD\u2019de A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 Y\u00f6nl\u00fc Riskler Art\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD\u2019de D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f Senaryosu, Dolar G\u00fcc\u00fc ve ECB Belirsizli\u011fiyle Sertle\u015fiyor<\/p>\n—\n\n\n

Piyasa Dinamiklerindeki De\u011fi\u015fim ABD Dolar\u0131n\u0131 \u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131kar\u0131yor<\/h3>\n\n

T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n, parite 1,1432 civar\u0131nda seyrederken EUR\/USD\u2019de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir harekete haz\u0131rl\u0131k yapmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. ABD Dolar Endeksi, k\u00fcresel petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki gerilemeye ra\u011fmen diren\u00e7li bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sergileyerek 100,77 seviyesine yeniden y\u00fckseldi. Bu toparlanma, genel piyasa alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n yeniden \u201cGreenback\u201d lehine d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ederken, Euro\u2019da uzun pozisyonlar\u0131 daha riskli hale getiriyor.<\/p>\n\n

Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan g\u00fcnl\u00fck grafiklerde belirgin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bayra\u011f\u0131 (bear flag) formasyonu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; bu yap\u0131 genellikle \u00f6nceki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinin devam\u0131na i\u015faret eder. Parite, 1,1441\u2019de bulunan 20 periyotluk \u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n (EMA) hemen alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 47 seviyesinde yatay-hafif zay\u0131f bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sunuyor. Fiyat\u0131n 1,1393\u2019teki ilk destek seviyesinin alt\u0131na sarkmas\u0131 halinde 1,1300 band\u0131na do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir geri \u00e7ekilme bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n\n

ECB Faiz Karar\u0131 ve Teknik Riskler A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 Y\u00f6nl\u00fc Riskin S\u00fcrebilece\u011fine \u0130\u015faret Ediyor<\/h3>\n\n

Bu Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lacak Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) toplant\u0131s\u0131 da \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6neme ili\u015fkin \u00f6nemli bir ba\u015fl\u0131k. Piyasa genelinde politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n faizi sabit b\u0131rakmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Bu \u201cbekle-g\u00f6r\u201d ad\u0131m\u0131, yetkililerin toplant\u0131 bazl\u0131 ve son derece temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131ma ge\u00e7i\u015f yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131, Haziran\u2019daki 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geliyor. Tarihsel olarak, enflasyon yap\u0131\u015fkan seyrini korurken merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n faiz art\u0131r\u0131m d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcnden sonra duraklamaya ge\u00e7mesi, ilgili para biriminde yeniden sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 tetikleyebiliyor.<\/p>\n\n

Son veriler, Euro B\u00f6lgesi \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonunun h\u00e2l\u00e2 yakla\u015f\u0131k %2,9 seviyesinde seyretti\u011fini ve bunun ECB\u2019nin %2 hedefinin belirgin \u015fekilde \u00fczerinde oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Ayr\u0131ca ge\u00e7mi\u015f performans verileri, maj\u00f6r paritelerdeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bayra\u011f\u0131 formasyonlar\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %64 olas\u0131l\u0131kla a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lmayla sonu\u00e7land\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmden yararlanmak i\u00e7in t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara, 1,1300 hedefiyle k\u0131sa vadeli vadeli i\u015flem (futures) k\u0131sa pozisyonu a\u00e7malar\u0131n\u0131 veya vade d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (out-of-the-money) sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 almay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmelerini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD\u2019de alarm zilleri: Dolar Endeksi 100,77\u2019ye toparlan\u0131rken paritede bear flag bask\u0131s\u0131 art\u0131yor. 1,1393 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 1,1300 hedefte. ECB\u2019nin \u201cbekle-g\u00f6r\u201d duru\u015fu Euro\u2019yu zay\u0131flatabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49971,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51274","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51274","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51274"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51274\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49971"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51274"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51274"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51274"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}