{"id":51242,"date":"2026-07-20T08:00:38","date_gmt":"2026-07-20T08:00:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/sterlin-abd-iran-gerilimi-ve-ingiltere-istihdam-verilerinin-dolar-talebini-yonlendirmesiyle-13450-seviyesine-yakin-tutunuyor\/"},"modified":"2026-07-20T08:00:38","modified_gmt":"2026-07-20T08:00:38","slug":"sterlin-abd-iran-gerilimi-ve-ingiltere-istihdam-verilerinin-dolar-talebini-yonlendirmesiyle-13450-seviyesine-yakin-tutunuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/sterlin-abd-iran-gerilimi-ve-ingiltere-istihdam-verilerinin-dolar-talebini-yonlendirmesiyle-13450-seviyesine-yakin-tutunuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Sterlin, ABD-\u0130ran Gerilimi ve \u0130ngiltere \u0130stihdam Verilerinin Dolar Talebini Y\u00f6nlendirmesiyle 1,3450 Seviyesine Yak\u0131n Tutunuyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sterlin, ABD-\u0130ran gerilimindeki son t\u0131rman\u0131\u015f\u0131 izleyen piyasalar e\u015fli\u011finde Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Asya i\u015flemlerinde dolara kar\u015f\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yatay seyretti; GBP\/USD 1,3450 civar\u0131nda dengelendi. ABD, son iki g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc Amerikan askerinin \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131; oda\u011f\u0131n bir di\u011fer aya\u011f\u0131 ise Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k istihdam raporu.<\/p>\n\n

ABD\u2019li yetkililere g\u00f6re, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclen bir \u0130ran dronunun kontroll\u00fc imhas\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda Irak\u2019\u0131n kuzeyinde bir Amerikan askeri hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybetti. Bloomberg\u2019in aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re, ABD Merkez Komutanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (CENTCOM) Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, iki ABD askerinin \u00f6ld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve bir askerin \u201ckay\u0131p\u201d say\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 ayr\u0131 bir \u0130ran sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan \u00dcrd\u00fcn\u2019de kimli\u011fi belirlenemeyen kal\u0131nt\u0131lara ula\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi.<\/p>\n\n

ABD-\u0130ran gerilimi ve g\u00fcvenli liman ak\u0131mlar\u0131<\/h3>\n\n

Son askeri kay\u0131plar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ABD-\u0130ran gerilimi h\u0131zla t\u0131rman\u0131rken, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 destekleyecek klasik bir \u201cg\u00fcvenli limana ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f\u201d (flight to safety) hareketi bekliyoruz. Tarihsel olarak, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki sert jeopolitik \u015foklar, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n likit g\u00fcvenli limanlara y\u00f6nelmesiyle ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019ni (DXY) g\u00fcnler i\u00e7inde %1,5 ile %2 aras\u0131nda yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekti. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na, mevcut GBP\/USD uzun pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 hedge etmelerini veya 1,3450 seviyesinin alt\u0131na ani bir sarkmaya kar\u015f\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli USD al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmelerini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n

Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k istihdam verisi ve volatilite stratejileri<\/h3>\n\n

Ayn\u0131 zamanda, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k istihdam raporunu yak\u0131ndan izlemek gerekiyor; veri Sterlin\u2019de anl\u0131k ve sert volatiliteyi tetikleyebilir. Ortalama kazan\u00e7 art\u0131\u015f\u0131, son \u00e7eyreklerde g\u00f6r\u00fclen %4,5-%5,0 band\u0131na benzer \u015fekilde y\u00fcksek kal\u0131rsa, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) faizleri y\u00fcksek seviyelerde tutmak zorunda kalacakt\u0131r. Opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, Orta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma riski ile yurti\u00e7i makro verinin olu\u015fturdu\u011fu bu ikili bask\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fck fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131n\u0131 yakalamak i\u00e7in uzun straddle stratejisini daha cazip hale getiriyor.<\/p>\n\n

Halihaz\u0131rda GBP\/USD z\u0131mni volatilitesi yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket ediyor; bu da piyasan\u0131n bu iki ba\u015fl\u0131 risk g\u00fcndemine ili\u015fkin artan kayg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte, haftal\u0131k z\u0131mni volatilite 30 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n %15\u2019ten fazla \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, k\u0131r\u0131lma (breakout) stratejileri daha istikrarl\u0131 getiriler \u00fcretme e\u011filiminde oldu. Spot pozisyonlarda s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes (stop-loss) kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 ve prim erimesini s\u0131n\u0131rlarken keskin bir piyasa hareketine haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 kalmak ad\u0131na k\u0131sa vadeli opsiyon spread\u2019lerine odaklan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jeopolitik alarm: ABD-\u0130ran gerilimi t\u0131rman\u0131rken Sterlin Asya\u2019da dolara kar\u015f\u0131 1,3450\u2019de yatay. G\u00fcvenli liman ak\u0131mlar\u0131 USD\u2019yi destekleyebilir. G\u00f6zler Sal\u0131 UK istihdam\u0131nda; volatilite i\u00e7in hedge\/straddle \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49989,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51242","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51242","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51242"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51242\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49989"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51242"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51242"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51242"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}