{"id":51218,"date":"2026-07-20T03:59:16","date_gmt":"2026-07-20T03:59:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/nzd-usd-cinin-faizleri-sabit-tutmasi-yeni-zelandanin-ticaret-fazlasinin-daralmasi-ve-iran-gerilimiyle-dolara-gelen-alimlarla-05840a-geriliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-07-20T03:59:16","modified_gmt":"2026-07-20T03:59:16","slug":"nzd-usd-cinin-faizleri-sabit-tutmasi-yeni-zelandanin-ticaret-fazlasinin-daralmasi-ve-iran-gerilimiyle-dolara-gelen-alimlarla-05840a-geriliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/nzd-usd-cinin-faizleri-sabit-tutmasi-yeni-zelandanin-ticaret-fazlasinin-daralmasi-ve-iran-gerilimiyle-dolara-gelen-alimlarla-05840a-geriliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"NZD\/USD, \u00c7in\u2019in faizleri sabit tutmas\u0131, Yeni Zelanda\u2019n\u0131n ticaret fazlas\u0131n\u0131n daralmas\u0131 ve \u0130ran gerilimiyle dolara gelen al\u0131mlarla 0,5840\u2019a geriliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

NZD\/USD, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinde 0,5840 civar\u0131nda el de\u011fi\u015ftirerek \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc seansta da zay\u0131f seyrini korudu. Yeni Zelanda dolar\u0131, \u00c7in Halk Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (PBoC) Kredi Ana Faiz Oranlar\u0131n\u0131 (LPR) de\u011fi\u015ftirmeyerek bir y\u0131ll\u0131k LPR\u2019yi %3,00\u2019da ve be\u015f y\u0131ll\u0131k LPR\u2019yi %3,50\u2019de tutmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Yeni Zelanda\u2019n\u0131n ticaret fazlas\u0131 da Haziran\u2019da bir y\u0131l \u00f6nceki 0,16 milyar NZD\u2019den 0,02 milyar NZD\u2019ye geriledi ve 0,25 milyar NZD beklentisinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131; zira ithalattaki art\u0131\u015f, ihracattaki kazan\u00e7lar\u0131 geride b\u0131rakt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u0130hracat, May\u0131s\u2019taki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edilmi\u015f %15,1\u2019lik art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %24,8 y\u00fckselerek 8,09 milyar NZD\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u0130thalat ise \u00f6nceki %25,9\u2019luk art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan %27,8 s\u0131\u00e7rayarak 8,07 milyar NZD\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi. Parite ayr\u0131ca, ABD-\u0130ran geriliminin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 ve Orta Do\u011fu petrol ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131na ili\u015fkin endi\u015felerin tetikledi\u011fi g\u00fcvenli liman talebinin ABD dolar\u0131na destek vermesiyle de bask\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD, \u0130ran hedeflerine y\u00f6nelik \u00fcst \u00fcste dokuzuncu gece sald\u0131r\u0131 d\u00fczenlerken, \u0130ranl\u0131 yetkililer ate\u015fkesin fiilen terk edildi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

NZD\/USD i\u00e7in Ay\u0131 Teknik ve Temel Sinyaller<\/h3>\n

T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na, NZD\/USD paritesi 0,5840 seviyesi civar\u0131nda seyrederken \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda k\u0131sa pozisyon aramalar\u0131n\u0131 veya sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu sat\u0131n almalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Kiwi dolar\u0131nda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 belirgin; 20 Temmuz 2026 itibar\u0131yla bug\u00fcn \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc kay\u0131p g\u00fcn\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor. Tarihsel olarak NZD\/USD, kritik 0,5900 deste\u011finin alt\u0131na indi\u011finde \u00e7o\u011fu zaman 0,5750 civar\u0131ndaki daha derin dipleri test ediyor; bu deseni son olarak k\u00fcresel ticarette benzer yava\u015flama d\u00f6nemlerinde g\u00f6zlemlemi\u015ftik.<\/p>\n

Ay\u0131 senaryomuzu, \u00c7in Halk Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kilit faizleri sabit tutma karar\u0131 da g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor; bu durum k\u0131sa vadede ekonomik te\u015fvike y\u00f6nelik beklentileri zay\u0131flat\u0131yor. \u00c7in, Yeni Zelanda\u2019n\u0131n toplam ihracat\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %30\u2019unu absorbe etti\u011finden, \u00c7in ekonomisindeki durgunluk kiwi \u00fczerinde do\u011frudan olumsuz etki yarat\u0131yor. \u00c7in\u2019in bir y\u0131ll\u0131k LPR\u2019si %3,00\u2019da tak\u0131l\u0131 kal\u0131rken, ihracata ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 Yeni Zelanda ekonomisinin r\u00fczg\u00e2rla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesini bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n

Zay\u0131f D\u0131\u015f Denge ve Jeopolitik Riskler ABD Dolar\u0131n\u0131 Destekliyor<\/h3>\n

Yeni Zelanda\u2019n\u0131n i\u00e7 ticaret verileri de k\u0131sa pozisyonlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 destekliyor; \u00f6zellikle \u00fclkenin Haziran\u2019da ticaret fazlas\u0131n\u0131n sadece 0,02 milyar NZD\u2019ye kadar erimesi sonras\u0131nda. 0,25 milyar NZD\u2019lik tahmin edilen fazla beklentisine k\u0131yasla bu sert sapma, %27,8 art\u0131\u015fla s\u0131\u00e7rayan pahal\u0131 ithalat\u0131n d\u0131\u015f dengeyi a\u015f\u0131nd\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu zay\u0131flayan ticaret pozisyonunun, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u201cgreenback\u201d kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda yerel para birimini bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda tutaca\u011f\u0131 kanaatindeyiz.<\/p>\n

Ayn\u0131 zamanda, ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki askeri gerilimin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131 nedeniyle g\u00fcvenli liman \u00f6zelli\u011fiyle ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesini bekliyoruz. ABD\u2019nin \u00fcst \u00fcste dokuzuncu gece hava sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 ba\u015flatmas\u0131yla k\u00fcresel enerji arz\u0131 risk alt\u0131na girerken, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar dolar\u0131n g\u00fcvenli\u011fine y\u00f6neliyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar bu oynakl\u0131ktan, 0,5700 civar\u0131n\u0131 hedefleyen kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 NZD\/USD sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 alarak ve artan jeopolitik endi\u015feden yararlanarak faydalanabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kiwi\u2019de alarm: NZD\/USD 0,5840\u2019ta \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc kay\u0131p g\u00fcn\u00fcnde. PBoC faizleri sabit, NZ ticaret fazlas\u0131 0,02 milyara indi. ABD-\u0130ran gerilimi dolar\u0131 destekliyor; hedef 0,5750-0,5700.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50135,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51218","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51218","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51218"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51218\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50135"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51218"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51218"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51218"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}