ABD dolar\u0131, s\u00fcregelen Orta Do\u011fu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri ve bir enerji \u015foku riskiyle istikrar kazand\u0131; bu unsurlar birlikte USD satma bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azaltt\u0131. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fmalar alt\u0131nc\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fcne girerken ABD sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 geni\u015fliyor ve \u0130ran, Kuveyt, \u00dcrd\u00fcn ve Bahreyn\u2019deki ABD \u00fcslerini hedef al\u0131yor. Yapay zek\u00e2 de\u011ferlemeleri sorgulanmaya ba\u015flad\u0131ktan sonra \u00e7ip ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 hisselerde pozisyonlar\u0131n azalt\u0131lmas\u0131yla piyasa ko\u015fullar\u0131 bozuldu; sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n daha b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 Asya hisseleri ta\u015f\u0131rken dolar diren\u00e7li kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD verileri de destek sa\u011flad\u0131: Philly Fed imalat endeksi 10,3\u2019ten 41,4\u2019e y\u00fckseldi ve kontrol grubunda perakende sat\u0131\u015flar, may\u0131sta yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edilen %0,8\u2019in ard\u0131ndan %0,5 artt\u0131. Buna ra\u011fmen Fed fiyatlamas\u0131 \u00e7ok az de\u011fi\u015fti; y\u0131l sonuna kadar bir tam faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 h\u00e2l\u00e2 fiyatlan\u0131rken bu haftaki ABD enflasyon verilerinden bu yana spreadler genel olarak dolar aleyhine hareket ediyor. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan tanker trafi\u011fi \u201cseyrek\u201d olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor ve IEA, arz\u0131n haftalar i\u00e7inde sorunlu h\u00e2le gelebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Bu durum, Brent\u2019te ilave bir y\u00fckseli\u015fi; Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmay\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7ekebilece\u011fi ve dolarda olas\u0131 yeni bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendini geciktirebilece\u011fi temel bir risk olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da jeopolitik riskler t\u0131rman\u0131rken, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa dolar stratejilerine ge\u00e7ici olarak ara verip savunmac\u0131 pozisyonlanmaya y\u00f6nelmesi gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Tarihsel olarak g\u00fcnl\u00fck yakla\u015f\u0131k 20 milyon varil petrol\u00fcn ge\u00e7ti\u011fi H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki seyrek trafik, enerji arz \u015foku a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan acil bir tehdit olu\u015fturuyor. Bu y\u00fcksek belirsizlik d\u00f6neminde dolar\u0131n \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d \u00f6zelli\u011finden faydalanmak i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli ABD Dolar\u0131 (USD) al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
\u00c7ekirdek perakende sat\u0131\u015flarda %0,5 art\u0131\u015f ve 41,4\u2019e s\u0131\u00e7rayan Philly Fed imalat endeksi dahil g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri, i\u00e7 ekonominin so\u011fumad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu ekonomik diren\u00e7, y\u00fckselen petrol fiyatlar\u0131yla birlikte, Fed\u2019i bir sonraki faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7ekmeye zorlayabilir. Buna g\u00f6re, getirilerin daha yukar\u0131 itilece\u011fi beklentisiyle Hazine (Treasury) vadeli i\u015flemlerinde k\u0131sa pozisyon almak veya likit tahvil ETF\u2019lerinde sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu almak uygun olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Brent petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n varil ba\u015f\u0131na 85-90 dolar civar\u0131ndaki kritik diren\u00e7 seviyelerini a\u015fma tehdidiyle, enerji t\u00fcrevleri odak noktas\u0131 olmal\u0131. Portf\u00f6yleri a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 prim erimesine maruz b\u0131rakmadan ani bir yukar\u0131 s\u0131\u00e7ramay\u0131 yakalamak i\u00e7in Brent\u2019te y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc call spread stratejilerinin uygulanmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz. Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131, enerji arz\u0131ndaki aksamalar\u0131n haftalar i\u00e7inde kritik h\u00e2le gelebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu\u011fundan, bu korunma y\u00fcksek \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde zaman hassas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yapay zek\u00e2 ve yar\u0131 iletken hisselerindeki y\u00fcksek de\u011ferlemeleri sorgulamay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesiyle, riskli varl\u0131klar \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f e\u011filiminin y\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fc daha fazla ta\u015f\u0131yan b\u00fcy\u00fck teknoloji endeksleri ve Asya hisse ETF\u2019lerinde savunmac\u0131 sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 almay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmeli. \u00c7oklu varl\u0131k s\u0131n\u0131f\u0131na yay\u0131lan bu t\u00fcrev korunmalar\u0131nda \u00e7evik kalmak, geciken USD d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendi ortam\u0131nda etkin bi\u00e7imde yol almay\u0131 sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Dolar, Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz kaynakl\u0131 enerji \u015foku riskiyle g\u00fc\u00e7 buldu. Brent 85-90 e\u015fi\u011finde; piyasada savunma: USD call, tahvil short, hisse\/ETF put.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49977,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51161","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t