{"id":51105,"date":"2026-07-17T04:29:18","date_gmt":"2026-07-17T04:29:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/gbp-jpy-yenin-guclenmesiyle-18-yilin-zirvesinden-geri-cekildi-odakta-21800-destegi-var\/"},"modified":"2026-07-17T04:29:18","modified_gmt":"2026-07-17T04:29:18","slug":"gbp-jpy-yenin-guclenmesiyle-18-yilin-zirvesinden-geri-cekildi-odakta-21800-destegi-var","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/gbp-jpy-yenin-guclenmesiyle-18-yilin-zirvesinden-geri-cekildi-odakta-21800-destegi-var\/","title":{"rendered":"GBP\/JPY, yenin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesiyle 18 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesinden geri \u00e7ekildi; odakta 218,00 deste\u011fi var"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>GBP\/JPY, 220,00 e\u015fi\u011fi \u00fczerindeki ivmesini koruyamay\u0131nca geri \u00e7ekildi. Parite, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc 219,62 ile 18 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,34 geriledi ve yenin bir miktar toparlanmas\u0131yla 218,80 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu. Genel e\u011filim yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken, G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) y\u00fckseli\u015f b\u00f6lgesinde kalsa da geri \u00e7ekildi; bu da yak\u0131n vadede konsolidasyon riskine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n\n<p>Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nde ilk diren\u00e7 219,00 seviyesinde; bunun ard\u0131ndan 220,00 yeniden test edilmeden \u00f6nce \u00f6nceki zirve olan 219,61 izleniyor. 220,50\u2019nin net \u015fekilde a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 221,00\u2019e do\u011fru yolu a\u00e7abilir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde ise 218,00 alt\u0131na sarkma, oda\u011f\u0131 216,60\u2019a \u00e7evirir; bask\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 halinde 216,00 ve ard\u0131ndan 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama (SMA) olan 214,72 g\u00fcndeme gelebilir.<\/p>\n\n<h3>T\u00fcrev \u0130\u015flem Stratejileri ve A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 Y\u00f6nl\u00fc Riskler<\/h3>\n\n<p>GBP\/JPY\u2019nin 219,62 seviyesindeki son 18 y\u0131ll\u0131k zirvesinden 218,80\u2019e do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilmesiyle, t\u00fcrev i\u015flemi yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n temkinli hareket etmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Parite kritik 218,00 destek seviyesinin alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa, bir sonraki destek b\u00f6lgesi olan 216,60\u2019\u0131 hedefleyen k\u0131sa vadeli put opsiyonlar\u0131 al\u0131m\u0131na odaklan\u0131labilir. Bu ge\u00e7ici geri \u00e7ekilme, mevcut uzun pozisyonlar\u0131n ani a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risklere kar\u015f\u0131 hedge edilmesi i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir f\u0131rsat sunuyor.<\/p>\n\n<p>Potansiyel a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risklerin \u00f6l\u00e7e\u011fini anlamak i\u00e7in ge\u00e7mi\u015f Japon h\u00fck\u00fcmeti m\u00fcdahalelerine bak\u0131labilir: Tarihsel olarak 5,97 trilyon yenlik b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli m\u00fcdahaleler, yen \u00e7aprazlar\u0131nda aniden %4 ila %5\u2019lik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri tetikledi. \u015eu anda GBP\/JPY i\u00e7in g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama ger\u00e7ek aral\u0131k (ATR) yakla\u015f\u0131k 170 pip seviyesinde seyrediyor; bu da \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda volatilitenin y\u00fcksek kalaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n bu sert dalgalanmalar\u0131 y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in do\u011frudan vadeli i\u015flemler yerine spread gibi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskli stratejileri kullanmas\u0131 gerekir.<\/p>\n\n<h3>Yukar\u0131 Y\u00f6nl\u00fc F\u0131rsatlar ve Piyasa Duyarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/h3>\n\n<p>\u00d6te yandan, genel trend g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in 218,00 taban\u0131n\u0131n korunmas\u0131 halinde yeni bir ralliye haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olunmal\u0131. Fiyat 219,00 diren\u00e7 seviyesini a\u015fmay\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131rsa, ana 220,00 seviyesini hedefleyen call opsiyonu al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Tarihsel olarak GBP\/JPY bu t\u00fcr \u00e7ok on y\u0131ll\u0131k zirvelere yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, perakende yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 duyarl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 trader\u2019lar\u0131n %70\u2019inden fazlas\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor; bu durum \u00e7o\u011fu zaman yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ani short squeeze hareketlerini besliyor.<\/p>\n\n<p>RSI\u2019\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine yak\u0131n seviyelerden geri \u00e7ekilmesi nedeniyle, bir sonraki b\u00fcy\u00fck hareket \u00f6ncesinde k\u0131sa bir konsolidasyon d\u00f6nemi bekliyoruz. Yatay bantta i\u015flem yapanlar i\u00e7in 216,00 ile 220,00 seviyeleri aras\u0131nda iron condor veya butterfly spread stratejilerinin uygulanmas\u0131, prim erimesi (time decay) yoluyla daha istikrarl\u0131 getiri sa\u011flayabilir. Son derece dikkatli olunmal\u0131; zira \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda s\u00fcrpriz faiz kararlar\u0131 bu konsolidasyonu kolayl\u0131kla bozabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/trade-now\">buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sterlin\/yen 220,00 \u00fcst\u00fcnde tutunamay\u0131nca 218,80\u2019e \u00e7ekildi; RSI geri soluklan\u0131yor. 219,00-220,50 diren\u00e7, 218,00 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 216,60-214,72 g\u00fcndemde. Volatilite y\u00fcksek: put hedge, spread; 219,00 \u00fcst\u00fc call, olas\u0131 short squeeze.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49995,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51105","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51105","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51105"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51105\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49995"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51105"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51105"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51105"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}