Sterlin, s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fan ABD verilerinin riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f (risk-off) tonunda ABD dolar\u0131na talebi art\u0131rmas\u0131yla \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015finin bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 geri verdi. GBP\/USD, daha \u00f6nce yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3545 seviyesine dokunduktan sonra 1,3375\u2019e gerileyerek %0,48\u2019in \u00fczerinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kaydetti. Ayr\u0131 olarak, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya seans\u0131n\u0131n erken saatlerinde parite, ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik yeni sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki kesinti risklerinin enerji kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon bask\u0131lar\u0131na ili\u015fkin endi\u015feleri art\u0131rmas\u0131yla 1,3530 civar\u0131na gev\u015fedi.<\/p>\n
\u0130ngiltere\u2019de sterlin, Ulusal \u0130statistik Ofisi\u2019nin (ONS) May\u0131s ay\u0131nda ayl\u0131k GSYH\u2019nin beklentilere paralel %0,1 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fim g\u00f6sterdi. Bu veri, Nisan ay\u0131nda benzer \u015fekilde %0,1\u2019lik daralman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi. Piyasalar ayr\u0131ca Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ilerleyen saatlerde a\u00e7\u0131klanacak \u0130ngiltere ayl\u0131k GSYH detaylar\u0131 ile ABD perakende sat\u0131\u015f verilerine odakland\u0131.<\/p>\n
G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD ekonomik verilerinin etkisiyle \u0130ngiliz sterlininin 1,3545 civar\u0131ndaki son zirvesinden 1,3375 seviyesine do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekildi\u011fini izliyoruz. Yakla\u015f\u0131k yar\u0131m puanl\u0131k bu ani d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman cazibesini ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 yeniden kazanabildi\u011fini hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. D\u00f6viz piyasalar\u0131na oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n geri d\u00f6nmesiyle t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 hareket etmesi gerekiyor.<\/p>\n
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki jeopolitik gerilimler ve ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011fa y\u00f6nelik tehditler, enerji kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon korkular\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor; benzer kriz d\u00f6nemlerinde k\u00fcresel petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n tarihsel olarak %4 ila %6 y\u00fckseldi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. K\u00fcresel enerji maliyetleri artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, sermaye g\u00fcvenli liman varl\u0131klara ka\u00e7t\u0131k\u00e7a ABD dolar\u0131 neredeyse her zaman g\u00fc\u00e7lenir. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 hafta boyunca beklenen a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131dan faydalanmak i\u00e7in GBP\/USD paritesinde k\u0131sa vadeli sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Bu arada \u0130ngiltere ekonomisi zay\u0131f seyrini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor; son ayl\u0131k GSYH verisi beklendi\u011fi gibi yaln\u0131zca %0,1 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Ge\u00e7mi\u015f veriler, \u0130ngiltere\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin bu \u015fekilde duraklad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde sterlinin maj\u00f6r para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda kayda de\u011fer bir y\u00fckseli\u015f \u00fcretmekte zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivme eksikli\u011finden yararlanmak i\u00e7in demir kondor (iron condor) gibi bant i\u00e7i (range-bound) opsiyon stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yakla\u015fan ABD Perakende Sat\u0131\u015f verisini de izlemesi gerekiyor; g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131 ABD faizlerinin daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131n\u0131 muhtemelen destekleyecektir. Tarihsel olarak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD perakende sat\u0131\u015f verileri, a\u00e7\u0131klamay\u0131 izleyen saatler i\u00e7inde GBP\/USD\u2019de 50 ila 100 piplik ani d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fleri tetikledi. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda sermayenizi korumak i\u00e7in t\u00fcm uzun pozisyonlarda s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes (stop-loss) emirleri kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Sterlin sert r\u00fczg\u00e2rda: G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz gerilimiyle dolar talebi artt\u0131, GBP\/USD 1,3545\u2019ten 1,3375\u2019e indi. \u0130ngiltere GSYH %0,1; g\u00f6zler ABD perakende sat\u0131\u015f\u0131nda. Opsiyonlar, stop-loss \u015fart.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49973,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51090","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t