{"id":51053,"date":"2026-07-16T14:00:20","date_gmt":"2026-07-16T14:00:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/usd-jpy-yatay-seyirle-hafif-gerilerken-21-gunluk-ema-uzerinde-yukari-yonlu-egilim-korunuyor\/"},"modified":"2026-07-16T14:00:20","modified_gmt":"2026-07-16T14:00:20","slug":"usd-jpy-yatay-seyirle-hafif-gerilerken-21-gunluk-ema-uzerinde-yukari-yonlu-egilim-korunuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usd-jpy-yatay-seyirle-hafif-gerilerken-21-gunluk-ema-uzerinde-yukari-yonlu-egilim-korunuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY yatay seyirle hafif gerilerken; 21 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA \u00fczerinde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filim korunuyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/JPY \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc 161,62 ile 162,47 aras\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,12 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 162,23\u2019ten kapatt\u0131. Daha \u00f6nce 161,75\u2013162,50 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; bunu daha dar bir 161,87\u2013162,42 hareketi izledi ve parite 162,18\u2019de, %0,03 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapand\u0131. Momentum hafif a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6ne e\u011filmi\u015f olsa da, yak\u0131n vadeli e\u011filim kal\u0131c\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften ziyade 161,70\u2013162,30 civar\u0131nda bant hareketine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki bir ila \u00fc\u00e7 haftada g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor; USD\/JPY\u2019nin 160,60 ile 163,00 aras\u0131nda dalgalanmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f, spotun 162,10 oldu\u011fu 07 Temmuz\u2019dan bu yana korunuyor. Bir ila \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k perspektifte ise, parite 21 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n 161,00 civar\u0131ndaki seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyelini koruyor.<\/p>\n

K\u0131sa Vadeli \u0130\u015flem Stratejileri ve Bant G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\n

USD\/JPY bug\u00fcn 162,20 seviyesi civar\u0131nda seyrederken, paritenin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 hafta boyunca 160,60\u2013163,00 band\u0131nda kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k ve yatay bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde kalmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. K\u0131sa vadeli t\u00fcrev i\u015flemleri yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n, bu konsolidasyondan faydalanmak i\u00e7in iron condor sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 veya k\u0131sa vadeli straddle i\u015flemleri gibi bant odakl\u0131 stratejilere y\u00f6nelmesi uygun olabilir. S\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015fleri bask\u0131lamas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz; bu da g\u00fcnl\u00fck fiyat hareketini b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla 161,70\u2013162,30 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131 bi\u00e7imde tutacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Temel Dinamikler ve Daha Uzun Vadeli Pozisyonlanma<\/h3>\n

Bu yatay g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, ABD enflasyonunun %3,0 civar\u0131nda istikrar kazanmas\u0131 dahil son ekonomik verilerle destekleniyor; bu durum Fed\u2019in faiz indirimleri konusunda daha sab\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131na neden oluyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n politika faizi %0,25 gibi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyede kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor ve yakla\u015f\u0131k 500 baz puana varan b\u00fcy\u00fck bir faiz fark\u0131n\u0131 koruyor. Bu geni\u015f makas, ABD Dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir temel taban olu\u015fturmaya devam ederek keskin ya da ani d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7iyor.<\/p>\n

Daha uzun vadeli t\u00fcrev pozisyonlar\u0131 i\u00e7in, parite 161,00 civar\u0131ndaki 21 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fcstel hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (EMA) \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece, al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call) veya bo\u011fa call spread\u2019leri \u00fczerinden y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filiminin korunmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Tarihsel olarak USD\/JPY bu kritik teknik ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, \u00e7ok ayl\u0131 istikrarl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015flerin \u00f6n\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda riskten korunma (hedge) veya pozisyon ayarlama a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan tetik seviye olarak 161,00 d\u00fczeyini yak\u0131ndan izlemesi gerekir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USD\/JPY\u2019de s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma s\u00fcr\u00fcyor: 161,70\u2013162,30 band\u0131nda yatay seyir, 1-3 haftada 160,60\u2013163,00 dalgalanma bekleniyor. 161,00 \u00fczeri kald\u0131k\u00e7a y\u00fckseli\u015f potansiyeli korunurken, bant stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50148,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51053","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51053","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51053"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51053\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50148"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51053"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51053"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51053"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}