NYMEX\u2019te i\u015flem g\u00f6ren West Texas Intermediate (WTI), Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa seans\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 79,00 dolar seviyesinde %0,9 gerilerken, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fclen ayl\u0131k zirve olan 80,61 dolara yak\u0131n seyrini korudu. Fiyatlamada, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ge\u00e7en ham petrol ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik riskler ile Washington\u2019un Tahran\u2019a d\u00f6n\u00fck tutumu oda\u011f\u0131n\u0131 korudu.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran deniz limanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ablukas\u0131n\u0131n enerji arz\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilirken, \u0130ran g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin, izin almadan H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019den ge\u00e7meye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan y\u00fckleri hedef ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bildirildi. \u0130ran devlet medyas\u0131 IRNA, bir ordu s\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn ABD\u2019nin \u00e7e\u015fitli b\u00f6lgeleri vurmaya devam etti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi\u011fini ve sava\u015f\u0131n yeni alanlara yay\u0131labilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu\u011funu aktard\u0131. Ayr\u0131 olarak, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump Fox News\u2019e verdi\u011fi m\u00fclakatta, m\u00fczakereler yeniden ba\u015flamazsa \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n k\u00f6pr\u00fcleri ve elektrik santrallerine y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lara onay verece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi; ayr\u0131ca Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yeni bir konu\u015fma yapmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) 79 dolar civar\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc duru\u015funu korurken ve 80,61 dolardaki ayl\u0131k zirvesini hedeflerken, t\u00fcrev piyasas\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda artan oynakl\u0131\u011fa haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. ABD-\u0130ran geriliminin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131, \u00f6zellikle de \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta \u0130ran altyap\u0131s\u0131na y\u00f6nelik olas\u0131 ABD askeri sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 tehdidi, klasik bir jeopolitik risk primi olu\u015fturuyor. Trump\u2019\u0131n Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yapaca\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fma \u00f6ncesinde ve sonras\u0131nda gelebilecek sert geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015flere kar\u015f\u0131 korunurken, ani yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc fiyat s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131na pozisyon almay\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan g\u00fcnde yakla\u015f\u0131k 20 milyon varil petrol ge\u00e7mesi\u2014bu da k\u00fcresel s\u0131v\u0131 petrol t\u00fcketiminin neredeyse %20\u2019sine denk geliyor\u2014nedeniyle, kal\u0131c\u0131 bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma k\u00fcresel enerji arz\u0131n\u0131 ciddi bi\u00e7imde daraltacakt\u0131r. Tarihsel olarak, bu kritik koridorda ani askeri t\u0131rmanmalar ham petrolde an\u0131nda %10 ila %15\u2019lik s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131 tetiklemi\u015f, bu da opsiyon primlerini h\u0131zla \u015fi\u015firmi\u015ftir. S\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle bu patlay\u0131c\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyelden faydalanmak i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli, kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 paran\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda (OTM) al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 veya bo\u011fa al\u0131m spread\u2019lerinin (bull call spread) kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca, hafta sonu \u00f6ncesinde y\u00fckselmesi beklenen WTI opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 (IV) yak\u0131ndan izlemek gerekir. Beklenen bu prim geni\u015flemesinden yararlanmak i\u00e7in yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, piyasan\u0131n Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc konu\u015fmay\u0131 sindirmesinin ard\u0131ndan her iki y\u00f6nde de b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131mdan kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayabilecek uzun straddle stratejilerine y\u00f6nelebilir. Piyasalar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta olas\u0131 ABD hava sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 ihtimalini fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ortamda, pozisyonlar\u0131n olabildi\u011fince esnek ve riskin net bi\u00e7imde tan\u0131ml\u0131 tutulmas\u0131 \u043a\u0440\u0438\u0442iktir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" WTI 79 dolara \u00e7ekilse de 80,61 zirvesine yak\u0131n; H\u00fcrm\u00fcz riskleri ve ABD-\u0130ran gerilimi prim yarat\u0131yor. Trump\u2019\u0131n altyap\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 tehdidiyle oynakl\u0131k artabilir; opsiyonla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskli y\u00fckseli\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50158,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51050","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t