{"id":51035,"date":"2026-07-16T09:59:20","date_gmt":"2026-07-16T09:59:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/eur-usd-abd-enflasyonundaki-zayiflamanin-dolari-baskilamasi-ve-ecbnin-sahin-durusunu-korumasiyle-11500-kirilimini-hedefliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-07-16T09:59:20","modified_gmt":"2026-07-16T09:59:20","slug":"eur-usd-abd-enflasyonundaki-zayiflamanin-dolari-baskilamasi-ve-ecbnin-sahin-durusunu-korumasiyle-11500-kirilimini-hedefliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/eur-usd-abd-enflasyonundaki-zayiflamanin-dolari-baskilamasi-ve-ecbnin-sahin-durusunu-korumasiyle-11500-kirilimini-hedefliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD, ABD Enflasyonundaki Zay\u0131flaman\u0131n Dolar\u0131 Bask\u0131lamas\u0131 ve ECB\u2019nin \u015eahin Durusunu Korumasiyle 1,1500 K\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 Hedefliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD \u0130\u015flem Stratejisi: K\u0131r\u0131lma \u0130\u00e7in Kritik Diren\u00e7 \u0130zlenmeli<\/p>\n

EUR\/USD Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek ayl\u0131k band\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na yak\u0131n 1,1485 seviyesine y\u00f6neldi; parite son \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00fcnde yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,85 de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 1,1469\u2019dan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD Dolar\u0131, Haziran ABD \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (\u00dcFE\/PPI) verisinin beklentilerin aksine daralmas\u0131yla geriledi; bu durum bir g\u00fcn \u00f6nce gelen daha zay\u0131f T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE\/CPI) verisinin verdi\u011fi dezenflasyon mesaj\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Enflasyon verilerindeki bu de\u011fi\u015fim, piyasada yak\u0131n vadede bir Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatlamas\u0131n\u0131 azaltt\u0131. Avrupa taraf\u0131nda ise Haziran Sanayi \u00dcretimi\u2019nin beklenmedik \u015fekilde daralma g\u00f6stermesine ra\u011fmen Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) yetkilileri daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131ndan yana g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, d\u00f6rt saatlik G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (14) yakla\u015f\u0131k 63 seviyesinde ve Hareketli Ortalama Yak\u0131nsama Iraksama (MACD) g\u00f6stergesi pozitif b\u00f6lgede kal\u0131yor. Diren\u00e7 1,1485 ile 1,1500 civar\u0131ndaki %38,2 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltme b\u00f6lgesi aras\u0131nda k\u00fcmeleniyor; yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lma, 16-17 Haziran zirveleri olan 1,1620 civar\u0131na alan a\u00e7abilir. Destekler 14 Temmuz dip seviyesi 1,1378\u2019de; ard\u0131ndan y\u0131l i\u00e7i dip 1,1324 ve son olarak May\u0131s sonu 2025 dibi 1,1210 izleniyor.<\/p>\n

Politika Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 Ortam\u0131nda Y\u00fckseli\u015f K\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 F\u0131rsat\u0131<\/h3>\n

T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda olas\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015f k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in EUR\/USD\u2019de 1,1485 seviyesini yak\u0131ndan takip etmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Parite 1,1500 diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesini kal\u0131c\u0131 bi\u00e7imde a\u015farsa, uzun (long) al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131yla 1,1620\u2019ye do\u011fru bir ralli hedefiyle pozisyon al\u0131nmal\u0131. Bu y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimi, d\u00f6rt saatlik RSI\u2019\u0131n 63 civar\u0131nda seyretmesiyle teyit edilen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc momentuma dayan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Pozitif g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcm\u00fcz, son ABD enflasyon verileriyle destekleniyor: \u00dcFE beklentilerin aksine daral\u0131rken t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131ndaki so\u011fuma da devam etti. Tarihsel olarak, ABD\u2019de toptan ve t\u00fcketici enflasyonu beklenenden h\u0131zl\u0131 so\u011fudu\u011funda, faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentileri zay\u0131flad\u0131k\u00e7a ABD Dolar Endeksi takip eden ayda ortalama %1,5 gerileme e\u011filimi g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir. Bu so\u011fuma trendi, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 Fed\u2019in gelecekteki faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentileri a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekmeye zorlayarak dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flatt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Atlantik\u2019in di\u011fer taraf\u0131nda ise ECB yetkililerinden gelen \u015fahin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar, zay\u0131f sanayi \u00fcretimi verisine ra\u011fmen Euro\u2019yu diren\u00e7li tutuyor. Euro B\u00f6lgesi enflasyonu bu t\u00fcr ekonomik evrelerde tarihsel olarak yap\u0131\u015fkan kalma e\u011filiminde oldu\u011fundan, ECB\u2019nin faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde daha fazla gerek\u00e7esi bulunuyor. Fed ile ECB aras\u0131ndaki bu politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, EUR\/USD al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 cazip bir strateji haline getiriyor.<\/p>\n

A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 Y\u00f6nl\u00fc Riskler: Destek Alt\u0131nda Taktiksel Koruma<\/h3>\n

Bununla birlikte, parite 1,1500 tavan\u0131n\u0131 a\u015famazsa, 1,1378 deste\u011fini hedefleyen k\u0131sa vadeli sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 al\u0131m\u0131na haz\u0131rlan\u0131lmal\u0131. Daha sert bir geri \u00e7ekilme, y\u0131l i\u00e7i dip olan 1,1324\u2019\u00fc, hatta May\u0131s sonu 2025 dibi 1,1210\u2019u g\u00fcndeme getirebilir. Mevcut momentum g\u00f6stergeleri pozitif kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc koruma s\u0131k\u0131 tutulmal\u0131 ve odak \u00f6ncelikle k\u0131r\u0131lma potansiyeli \u00fczerinde olmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD\u2019de kritik e\u015fik: 1,1485\u20131,1500! ABD \u00dcFE\/T\u00dcFE\u2019de dezenflasyon dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flatt\u0131, ECB \u015fahin. K\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m gelirse 1,1620 hedefli long; k\u0131r\u0131lmazsa 1,1378\u2019e put, ard\u0131ndan 1,1324\/1,1210.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49977,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51035","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51035","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51035"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51035\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49977"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51035"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51035"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51035"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}