EUR\/USD, daha \u00f6nceki direncin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karak k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli 1,1405 geri \u00e7ekilmenin ard\u0131ndan y\u00fckseli\u015fini 1,1482\u2019ye kadar ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131; b\u00f6ylece 1,1390\u20131,1455 band\u0131nda yatay seyir beklentisi tersine d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Parite yak\u0131n vadede 1,1490\u2019\u0131 test edebilir; 1,1520 ise yukar\u0131da diren\u00e7 olarak kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde 1,1450\u2019de destek g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, 1,1435\u2019in alt\u0131na inilmesi k\u0131sa vadeli yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131n\u0131n zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eder.<\/p>\n
1\u20133 haftal\u0131k perspektifte parite, 14 Tem\u2019da spot 1,1385 iken i\u015faret edilen temkinli a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc tondan (1,1325\u2019in g\u00fcndeme gelmesi i\u00e7in 1,1360 alt\u0131nda kapan\u0131\u015f \u015fart\u0131 vard\u0131) yeniden y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimine ge\u00e7ti. 15 Tem\u2019da spot 1,1425 seviyesindeyken \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen bant 1,1390\u20131,1475 idi; ancak EUR\/USD bu tavan\u0131 h\u0131zla a\u015farak 1,1482\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. 1,1405 \u00fczerinde kal\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimi korunuyor; bununla birlikte 1,1520\u2019ye do\u011fru momentumun seyri h\u00e2l\u00e2 \u201cbelirsiz\u201d olarak niteleniyor.<\/p>\n
Kilit diren\u00e7lerin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131yla EUR\/USD paritesinde 1,1482\u2019ye uzanan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentum izleniyor. T\u00fcrev piyasas\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki bir ila \u00fc\u00e7 haftada bu y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimine paralel kalmal\u0131 ve ilk etapta 1,1490\u2019\u0131n testini hedeflemeli. 1,1405\u2019teki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek korunduk\u00e7a, k\u0131sa vadeli stratejilerde k\u0131sa pozisyonlara k\u0131yasla uzun pozisyonlar\u0131n \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131 daha uygun g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Bu senaryoyu i\u015flemeye y\u00f6nelik olarak, h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f momentumunu yakalamak amac\u0131yla 1,1500 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na odaklanan al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 kullan\u0131labilir. Alternatif olarak vadeli i\u015flem taraf\u0131nda, g\u00fcn i\u00e7i geri \u00e7ekilmelerde 1,1450 deste\u011fine do\u011fru al\u0131m denenebilir; 1,1435\u2019in hemen alt\u0131na s\u0131k\u0131 bir zarar-kes (stop-loss) seviyesi konumland\u0131r\u0131labilir. Spot kurun 1,1490\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerine kal\u0131c\u0131 \u015fekilde \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 h\u00e2linde, bir sonraki ana diren\u00e7 olan 1,1520\u2019nin h\u0131zl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde test edilmesi beklenebilir.<\/p>\n
Bu ani y\u00fckseli\u015f d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc, bu ay ABD\u2013Almanya 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil getirisi fark\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k 20 baz puan darald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren son verilerle uyumlu. Ayr\u0131ca tarihsel trend analizi, Euro\u2019nun y\u00fcksek hacimle \u00f6nemli diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgelerini a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde takip eden haftalarda genellikle %1,2\u2013%1,8 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda devam niteli\u011finde bir y\u00fckseli\u015f sergiledi\u011fini ortaya koyuyor. \u0130malat verilerinde k\u00fcresel \u00f6l\u00e7ekte g\u00f6zlenen istikrarla birle\u015fen bu makro arka plan, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde destekliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n