{"id":51029,"date":"2026-07-16T08:59:17","date_gmt":"2026-07-16T08:59:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/karisik-gelen-ingiltere-verileri-sonrasi-eur-gbp-hafif-yukseldi-boe-faiz-artirimi-beklentileri-sterlinde-temkinli-seyrin-surmesine-neden-oldu\/"},"modified":"2026-07-16T08:59:17","modified_gmt":"2026-07-16T08:59:17","slug":"karisik-gelen-ingiltere-verileri-sonrasi-eur-gbp-hafif-yukseldi-boe-faiz-artirimi-beklentileri-sterlinde-temkinli-seyrin-surmesine-neden-oldu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/karisik-gelen-ingiltere-verileri-sonrasi-eur-gbp-hafif-yukseldi-boe-faiz-artirimi-beklentileri-sterlinde-temkinli-seyrin-surmesine-neden-oldu\/","title":{"rendered":"Kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k gelen \u0130ngiltere verileri sonras\u0131 EUR\/GBP hafif y\u00fckseldi; BoE faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentileri sterlinde temkinli seyrin s\u00fcrmesine neden oldu"},"content":{"rendered":"

EUR\/GBP paritesi, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde yakla\u015f\u0131k 0,8475 seviyesine do\u011fru y\u00fckseldi. Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019tan gelen veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan sterlin zay\u0131flad\u0131. Ulusal \u0130statistik Ofisi\u2019ne (ONS) g\u00f6re, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k GSYH\u2019si May\u0131s\u2019ta ayl\u0131k bazda %0,1 artt\u0131; beklentilere paralel ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen veri, Nisan\u2019daki %0,1\u2019lik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc tersine \u00e7evirdi. Sanayi \u00dcretimi, \u00f6nceki d\u00f6nemdeki %0,2\u2019lik art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ayl\u0131k %0,5 gerileyerek -%0,1\u2019lik piyasa beklentisinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. \u0130malat \u00dcretimi ise \u00f6nceki %0,5\u2019lik art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ayl\u0131k %0,1 y\u00fckseldi ve -%0,2\u2019lik tahminin \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Faiz beklentileri g\u00fcndemde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Petrol ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 enflasyon kayg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 (BoE) \u015fahin \u00e7izgide tutabilecek bir fakt\u00f6r oldu\u011fu belirtilirken, Reuters\u2019\u0131n aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re para piyasalar\u0131 Kas\u0131m toplant\u0131s\u0131na kadar bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 tamamen fiyatl\u0131yor; ikinci ad\u0131m ise Nisan 2027\u2019ye kadar fiyatlamalara girmi\u015f durumda. Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Christine Lagarde veri odakl\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 yineledi; ECB\u2019nin politika tutanaklar\u0131 niteli\u011findeki hesap \u00f6zeti, Haziran\u2019daki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n mutlaka yeni art\u0131\u015flarla devam edece\u011finin garanti olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bunun tek seferlik bir ad\u0131m olmas\u0131n\u0131n da kesin olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Y\u00f6netim Konseyi \u00fcyesi Martin Kocher ise ECB\u2019nin gerekti\u011finde harekete ge\u00e7meye haz\u0131r oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

EUR\/GBP i\u00e7in Yatay Bant (Range-Bound) \u0130\u015flem Stratejileri<\/h3>\n

EUR\/GBP paritesinin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 0,8475 seviyesi \u00e7evresinde dengelenmesiyle, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yatay bant stratejilerine odaklanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. May\u0131s\u2019ta Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklentilere paralel %0,1 gelmesi sterlinin dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131k sergiledi\u011fine i\u015faret etse de, net bir k\u0131r\u0131lma i\u00e7in gerekli momentumu ortaya koymuyor. Bu konsolidasyondan faydalanmak i\u00e7in 0,8400 destek ve 0,8550 diren\u00e7 seviyeleri yak\u0131n\u0131nda k\u0131sa strangle opsiyon stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz.<\/p>\n

Ayr\u0131\u015fan Para Politikalar\u0131 Ortam\u0131nda Volatilite ve Spread \u0130\u015flemi F\u0131rsatlar\u0131<\/h3>\n

Analizimiz, artan enerji maliyetlerinin BoE\u2019yi \u015fahin patikada tuttu\u011funu ve k\u00fcresel ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n bu ay varil ba\u015f\u0131na 85 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Para piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n Kas\u0131m\u2019a kadar BoE faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yor olmas\u0131 nedeniyle, GBP kontratlar\u0131nda ima edilen volatilitenin y\u00fckselmesini bekliyoruz. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, sonbahardaki politika toplant\u0131lar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde sert fiyat hareketlerinden faydalanmak i\u00e7in straddle gibi uzun volatilite pozisyonlar\u0131 olu\u015fturarak bu ortam\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan, ECB\u2019nin s\u0131k\u0131 bi\u00e7imde veri odakl\u0131 duru\u015fu, Euro\u2019yu yak\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Euro B\u00f6lgesi enflasyon verilerine kar\u015f\u0131 olduk\u00e7a hassas k\u0131l\u0131yor; enflasyon son olarak %2,5 seviyesindeydi. \u015eahin bir Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k ile belirsiz bir Euro B\u00f6lgesi aras\u0131ndaki bu politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, spread i\u015flemleri i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc f\u0131rsatlar yarat\u0131yor. Ani merkez bankas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 korunmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken prim erimesini yakalamak amac\u0131yla k\u0131sa vadeli takvim spread\u2019lerinin (calendar spreads) kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

EUR\/GBP 0,8475\u2019e t\u0131rman\u0131rken sterlin, zay\u0131f sanayi \u00fcretimiyle bask\u0131land\u0131. BoE\u2019nin \u015fahin fiyatlamas\u0131 ve ECB\u2019nin veri odakl\u0131 duru\u015fu ayr\u0131\u015f\u0131yor; 0,8400-0,8550 band\u0131nda opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49973,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51029","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51029","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51029"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51029\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49973"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51029"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51029"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51029"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}