USD\/CHF, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc 0,8108 ile be\u015f g\u00fcnl\u00fck zirveyi test ettikten sonra geri \u00e7ekildi ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc gemilere sald\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n ate\u015fkese ili\u015fkin a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131n risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flatmas\u0131yla yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,02 geriledi. Parite 0,8078 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, 0,8100 \u00fczerindeki ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z k\u0131r\u0131lma giri\u015fiminin ard\u0131ndan geri ad\u0131m att\u0131. Hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda sabah y\u0131ld\u0131z\u0131 formasyonu olu\u015furken, RSI y\u00fckseli\u015f b\u00f6lgesinde kalsa da momentum kaybetmeye ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc seviyeler aras\u0131nda 0,8108\u2019in yeniden test edilmesi ve ard\u0131ndan 1 Temmuz zirvesi olan 0,8120 yer al\u0131yor; bunun \u00f6tesinde odak 0,8200\u2019e, ard\u0131ndan 0,8250\u2019ye (4 Haziran 2025 g\u00fcnl\u00fck zirvesi) ve \u00fcst b\u00f6lgede 0,8300\u2019e kay\u0131yor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 0,8000\u2019in alt\u0131na olas\u0131 bir sarkma, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 0,7934\u2019e ve ard\u0131ndan 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 0,7915\u2019e do\u011fru hareketin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7abilir; daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da 0,7900 bulunuyor. CHF yo\u011fun i\u015flem g\u00f6ren bir para birimi olmaya devam ediyor; 2011-2015 aras\u0131nda EUR\u2019ya sabitlenmi\u015f, bu ba\u011f\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 %20\u2019nin \u00fczerinde de\u011ferlenmeyi tetiklemi\u015fti. Euro ile korelasyonu %90\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerinde modellenirken; SNB politikas\u0131 %2\u2019nin alt\u0131nda enflasyonu hedefliyor ve banka y\u0131lda d\u00f6rt kez toplan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
USD\/CHF paritesi, 0,8100 seviyesinin \u00fczerindeki kazan\u0131mlar\u0131 koruyamamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geri \u00e7ekiliyor; bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm klasik bir \u201crisk-off\u201d atmosferine i\u015faret ediyor. 0,8108\u2019deki son zirveden d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u0130svi\u00e7re Frang\u0131\u2019nda g\u00fcvenli liman aray\u0131\u015f\u0131na girdi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. K\u00fcresel ekonomik belirsizli\u011fin s\u00fcrmesi ve b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomilerden gelen kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k sinyaller, g\u00fcvenli varl\u0131klara talebi art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Parite bu hafta s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015f momentumu sergilese de, G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) yorgunluk sinyalleri veriyor. Bu, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmenin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na ve paritenin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir harekete daha a\u00e7\u0131k h\u00e2le geldi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu a\u015famada izlenecek kritik seviye, psikolojik destek olan 0,8000.<\/p>\n
Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyeli de\u011ferlendiren yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in, paritenin 0,8108\u2019in \u00fczerine kararl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 h\u00e2linde al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. B\u00f6yle bir hareket, dolar\u0131n yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7 kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eder ve 0,8120 ile 0,8200 diren\u00e7lerinin test edilmesine zemin haz\u0131rlayabilir. Ancak bunun ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi muhtemelen ABD\u2019den beklentilerin \u00fczerinde gelecek daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ekonomik verilere ba\u011fl\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, parite 0,8000\u2019in alt\u0131na sarkarsa a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc korunma veya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir senaryo sunuyor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f, \u0130svi\u00e7re\u2019de inat\u00e7\u0131 bi\u00e7imde y\u00fcksek seyreden enflasyonla da destekleniyor; enflasyon son olarak y\u0131ll\u0131k %2,3 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131 ve bu durum, \u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131 (SNB) \u00fczerinde \u015fahin duru\u015funu s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme bask\u0131s\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. 0,8000\u2019in alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131lma, 0,7934 civar\u0131ndaki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamaya do\u011fru bir gerilemeyi tetikleyebilir.<\/p>\n
SNB, %2 hedefinin \u00fczerindeki enflasyona tolerans g\u00f6stermeyece\u011fini net bi\u00e7imde ortaya koydu; bu duru\u015f Frank i\u00e7in temel bir destek sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Bu, ABD ile tezat olu\u015fturuyor; zira son Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisi 195 bin ile tahminlerin bir miktar alt\u0131nda kalarak ekonominin kademeli bi\u00e7imde so\u011fudu\u011fu anlat\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Merkez bankas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcndeki bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, k\u0131sa vadede Frank\u0131 ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda avantajl\u0131 k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\u0130svi\u00e7re ekonomisinin Euro B\u00f6lgesi ile y\u00fcksek korelasyonu nedeniyle, Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da yak\u0131ndan izlemek gerekiyor. \u00d6nemli bir ticaret orta\u011f\u0131 olan Almanya\u2019dan gelen son imalat PMI verisi 44,2 ile sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde daralman\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret etti. Avrupa\u2019da ilave zay\u0131fl\u0131k, b\u00f6lgesel g\u00fcvenli liman olarak Frank\u0131n cazibesini art\u0131rabilir ve USD\/CHF\u2019yi daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" USD\/CHF 0,8100\u2019\u00fc a\u015famad\u0131, risk-off dalgas\u0131 franka talebi art\u0131rd\u0131: 0,8108\u20130,8120 diren\u00e7, 0,8000 kritik destek. Alt\u0131 0,7934\/0,7915\u2019e, \u00fcst\u00fc 0,8200\u20130,8300\u2019a kap\u0131 aralar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49977,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50888","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t