Sterlin dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc; GBP\/USD 1,3397\u2019ye t\u0131rmand\u0131 ve seans\u0131 %0,29 art\u0131\u015fla 1,3391\u2019den tamamlad\u0131. Parite, 1,3345 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine 1,3329\u2019a geriledi ancak ard\u0131ndan sert \u015fekilde toparland\u0131. K\u0131sa vadeli fiyat hareketi 1,3410\u2019un test edilebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ederken, 1,3445 daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir diren\u00e7 konumunda. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmenin korunmas\u0131 i\u00e7in 1,3370\u2019te destek izlenirken, paritenin 1,3350\u2019nin \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n
1\u20133 haftal\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde pozitif e\u011filim 30 Haziran\u2019a (spot 1,3255) uzan\u0131yor; o tarihte odak sterlinin 1,3355\u2019e ula\u015f\u0131p ula\u015famayaca\u011f\u0131ndayd\u0131. 1,3355\u2019in a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m ko\u015fullar\u0131na ra\u011fmen 3 Temmuz\u2019da (spot 1,3345) piyasa oda\u011f\u0131 1,3410\u2019a kayd\u0131. 1,3410\u2019un \u00fczerine ge\u00e7ilmesi 1,3445\u2019in \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7arken, daha \u00f6nce 1,3280\u2019de \u201cg\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek\u201d vurgusu yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015fken, yaln\u0131zca 1,3300 alt\u0131na olas\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00fckseli\u015fi zay\u0131flatacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n
GBP\/USD\u2019deki sert y\u00fckseli\u015f dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki seanslarda 1,3410 direncine do\u011fru ilave g\u00fc\u00e7lenme bekliyoruz. Bu yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131, May\u0131s 2026\u2019ya ili\u015fkin son Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k enflasyon verileriyle de destekleniyor: t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131 %2,3\u2019te g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrini korudu ve bu durum \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) olas\u0131 faiz indirimlerini erteleyebilece\u011fi beklentisini besliyor. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc momentum, k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck geri \u00e7ekilmelerde al\u0131m stratejisini uygulanabilir k\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapanlar i\u00e7in, 1,3410 seviyesinin hemen \u00fczerinde kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na sahip k\u0131sa vadeli al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in elveri\u015fli bir d\u00f6nem olabilir. Bu direncin kararl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 bir yukar\u0131 hareketi tetikleyebilir ve s\u00f6z konusu pozisyonlar\u0131 k\u00e2rl\u0131 hale getirebilir. CBOE\u2019nin GBP Volatilite Endeksi (BPVIX) de 7,8\u2019e hafif y\u00fckselerek piyasada daha fazla hareket beklentisinin fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor; bu da opsiyon stratejilerinin kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 destekliyor.<\/p>\n\n
Parite 1,3410\u2019un \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kar ve bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k sa\u011flarsa, oda\u011f\u0131m\u0131z bir sonraki \u00f6nemli diren\u00e7 olan 1,3445\u2019e kayacak. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f, ge\u00e7en Cuma yay\u0131mlanan son ABD tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam raporuyla da destekleniyor: istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 165 bine yava\u015flayarak beklentilerin bir miktar alt\u0131nda kald\u0131 ve bu durum ABD dolar\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir. Tarihsel olarak 1,3450 b\u00f6lgesi bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f alan\u0131 olageldi\u011finden, olas\u0131 bir yorulma i\u015fareti i\u00e7in bu seviye \u00e7evresindeki fiyatlamay\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izleyece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n\n
Sterlin i\u00e7in pozitif g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcm\u00fcz, yaln\u0131zca fiyat\u0131n 1,3300 destek seviyesinin alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmesi halinde ge\u00e7ersiz olacakt\u0131r. Bu noktan\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc net \u015fekilde k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, y\u00fckseli\u015f ivmesinin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eder ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara uzun (long) pozisyonlar\u0131 azaltmalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neririz. Bu seviye, y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc i\u015flemlerde risk y\u00f6netimi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik bir \u00e7izgi olarak ele al\u0131nmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n