{"id":50632,"date":"2026-07-04T01:00:23","date_gmt":"2026-07-04T01:00:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/sterlin-zayif-abd-istihdam-verilerinin-fedin-faiz-artirimi-beklentilerini-zayiflatmasiyla-13350-seviyesine-yakin-seyrediyor\/"},"modified":"2026-07-04T01:00:23","modified_gmt":"2026-07-04T01:00:23","slug":"sterlin-zayif-abd-istihdam-verilerinin-fedin-faiz-artirimi-beklentilerini-zayiflatmasiyla-13350-seviyesine-yakin-seyrediyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/sterlin-zayif-abd-istihdam-verilerinin-fedin-faiz-artirimi-beklentilerini-zayiflatmasiyla-13350-seviyesine-yakin-seyrediyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Sterlin, Zay\u0131f ABD \u0130stihdam Verilerinin Fed\u2019in Faiz Art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 Beklentilerini Zay\u0131flatmas\u0131yla 1,3350 Seviyesine Yak\u0131n Seyrediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sterlin, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda yatay seyretti; 1.3350 ile 1.3370 civar\u0131nda tutunurken haftay\u0131 art\u0131da kapatma yolunda ilerledi. GBP\/USD paritesi 1.3350 etraf\u0131nda konsolide oluyor \u015feklinde de\u011ferlendirilirken, genel dolardaki zay\u0131fl\u0131k ortam\u0131nda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc denemelerin 1.3370 civar\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n

Piyasa fiyatlamas\u0131, ABD tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam (Nonfarm Payrolls) verisinin beklentinin alt\u0131nda gelmesiyle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 olarak, Fed\u2019in eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131nda faiz art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131na dair \u015f\u00fcphelerin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti. Bu arka planda GBP\/USD\u2019nin haftal\u0131k kazanc\u0131 %1\u2019in \u00fczerine yerle\u015firken, ba\u015fka bir \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm haftal\u0131k hareketi %1,3 olarak g\u00f6sterdi; bu, son \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc haftal\u0131k performans\u0131 oldu. ABD piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k G\u00fcn\u00fc nedeniyle Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc kapal\u0131 olmas\u0131 bekleniyordu.<\/p>\n

ABD \u0130stihdam Verileri ve Politika Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131<\/h3>\n

ABD dolar\u0131ndaki geni\u015f tabanl\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131k dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, son tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam raporunu \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik bir geli\u015fme olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Haziran ay\u0131nda yaln\u0131zca 95 bin istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 bildirilmesi ve bunun 180 binlik piyasa beklentisinin belirgin \u015fekilde alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131, Fed\u2019in eyl\u00fclde faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 yapmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki arg\u00fcman\u0131 ciddi bi\u00e7imde zay\u0131flat\u0131yor. Bu, yak\u0131ndan izledi\u011fimiz bir e\u011filimi de g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor; zira son ABD T\u00dcFE verisi, enflasyonun %2,8\u2019e gerileyerek \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131la\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Bu durum, Sterlin\u2019i destekleyen net bir politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) ise son olarak y\u0131ll\u0131k %4,5 seviyesinde a\u00e7\u0131klanan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u00fccret art\u0131\u015flar\u0131yla m\u00fccadele etmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu merkez bankas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc fark\u0131n\u0131n GBP\/USD kurunun ana belirleyicisi olaca\u011f\u0131 kanaatindeyiz. Piyasa h\u0131zl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde Fed s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 fiyatlamadan \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131rken, BoE\u2019nin \u015fahin kalmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki bask\u0131 devam ediyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015flem Stratejisi ve G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\n

T\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, Fed\u2019in patikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin belirsizlikteki bu keskin art\u0131\u015f, ima edilen volatilitede (implied volatility) y\u00fckseli\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor. S\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon almak i\u00e7in GBP\/USD al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call) sat\u0131n almak gibi, fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015ftan fayda sa\u011flayan stratejilerde de\u011fer g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Tarihsel olarak Fed\u2019in bir sonraki ad\u0131mlar\u0131na dair belirsizlik bu kadar artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, beklenmedik veri ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan sert piyasa d\u00fczeltmeleri veya ralliler g\u00f6r\u00fclebiliyor.<\/p>\n

Bu nedenle, pozisyonlanmam\u0131z\u0131 dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda Sterlin\u2019de ilave g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeyi destekleyecek \u015fekilde ayarl\u0131yoruz. Vadeli i\u015flemler (futures) taraf\u0131nda, bir sonraki y\u00fckseli\u015f aya\u011f\u0131n\u0131n teyidi i\u00e7in 1.3400 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m arayaca\u011f\u0131z. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00e7evik kalmas\u0131 gerekiyor; 4 Temmuz tatilinin ard\u0131ndan ilk a\u015famada piyasa likiditesi zay\u0131f olacak.<\/p>\n

Bundan sonra g\u00f6zler, bu so\u011fuma e\u011filiminin teyidi i\u00e7in a\u00e7\u0131klanacak bir sonraki ABD enflasyon verilerine \u00e7evrilecek. Beklentilerin alt\u0131nda bir T\u00dcFE okumasi, piyasan\u0131n Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn sona erdi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc muhtemelen peki\u015ftirecektir. O zamana kadar dolar\u0131n savunmada kalmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sterlin, zay\u0131flayan dolar\u0131n r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u0131yla parlad\u0131: GBP\/USD 1.3350\u2019de yatay, haftal\u0131k %1+ kazan\u00e7ta. Zay\u0131f ABD istihdam\u0131 Fed eyl\u00fcl faizini sorgulat\u0131yor; BoE \u015fahin. 1.3400 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa y\u00fckseli\u015f teyidi; opsiyonlarda volatilite f\u0131rsat\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50104,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50632","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50632","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50632"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50632\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50104"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50632"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50632"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50632"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}