{"id":50571,"date":"2026-07-03T08:29:30","date_gmt":"2026-07-03T08:29:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/zayif-abd-istihdam-verileri-fedin-faiz-artirimi-ihtimalini-azaltirken-sterlin-yukselise-gecti\/"},"modified":"2026-07-03T08:29:30","modified_gmt":"2026-07-03T08:29:30","slug":"zayif-abd-istihdam-verileri-fedin-faiz-artirimi-ihtimalini-azaltirken-sterlin-yukselise-gecti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/zayif-abd-istihdam-verileri-fedin-faiz-artirimi-ihtimalini-azaltirken-sterlin-yukselise-gecti\/","title":{"rendered":"Zay\u0131f ABD \u0130stihdam Verileri Fed\u2019in Faiz Art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 \u0130htimalini Azalt\u0131rken Sterlin Y\u00fckseli\u015fe Ge\u00e7ti"},"content":{"rendered":"

GBP\/USD, zay\u0131f gelen ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (NFP) verisinin ard\u0131ndan ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n de\u011fer kaybetmesiyle Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc erken i\u015flemlerde daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyretti. Parite, Asya\u2019da 1,3350 civar\u0131nda kaydedilen s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015flerin ard\u0131ndan Avrupa\u2019da 1,3360 \u00e7evresinde dengelendi. ABD piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k G\u00fcn\u00fc nedeniyle kapal\u0131 olmas\u0131yla dikkat, de\u011fi\u015fen faiz beklentilerinde kald\u0131: CME FedWatch arac\u0131na g\u00f6re fiyatlamalar, Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131na kadar Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131rma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n istihdam verisi \u00f6ncesindeki %66 seviyesinden yakla\u015f\u0131k %52\u2019ye geriledi\u011fine i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n

ABD \u00c7al\u0131\u015fma \u0130statistikleri B\u00fcrosu, Haziran NFP art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n 57 bin oldu\u011funu ve 110 binlik beklentinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. \u0130\u015fsizlik Oran\u0131 ise May\u0131s\u2019taki %4,3 seviyesinden %4,2\u2019ye geriledi. Bu hareket, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan ve ABD\u2019de \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n Haziran\u2019da beklentilerin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren verinin ard\u0131ndan geldi. Teknik tarafta sterlin, yedi ay\u0131n diplerine yak\u0131n uzun vadeli bir destek b\u00f6lgesinden tepki vererek yeniden \u00fcst taraftaki hareketli ortalamalara y\u00f6neldi.<\/p>\n

NFP Hayal K\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Sonras\u0131 Dolar Zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 GBP\/USD\u2019yi Yukar\u0131 Ta\u015f\u0131yor<\/h3>\n

Bug\u00fcn\u00fcn 3 Temmuz 2026 olmas\u0131yla birlikte piyasa, d\u00fcnk\u00fc g\u00fcncel ABD istihdam raporuna tepki veriyor. ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisi, Haziran\u2019da yaln\u0131zca 57 binlik art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stererek beklenen 110 binin belirgin \u015fekilde alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Uzun hafta sonuna girerken kur hareketlerinin ana belirleyicisi, ABD i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131ndaki bu zay\u0131fl\u0131k oldu.<\/p>\n

Bu zay\u0131f veri, Fed politikas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentileri h\u0131zla de\u011fi\u015ftirdi. CME FedWatch arac\u0131na g\u00f6re Eyl\u00fcl\u2019e kadar faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %45\u2019in alt\u0131na gerileyerek, hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda fiyatlanan yakla\u015f\u0131k %70 seviyesinden sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kaydetti. Bu yeniden fiyatlama ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 do\u011frudan bask\u0131larken, dolar\u0131n di\u011fer maj\u00f6r para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda zay\u0131flamas\u0131na yol a\u00e7\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

K\u0131sa vadede bunun GBP\/USD i\u00e7in destekleyici bir zemin olu\u015fturdu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, dolar zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n besledi\u011fi yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumu de\u011ferlendirmek ad\u0131na paritede k\u0131sa vadeli al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n cazip olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Parite uzun vadeli destekten g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u015fekilde toparland\u0131 ve zay\u0131f ABD verisi, yukar\u0131 hareketin s\u00fcrmesi i\u00e7in yak\u0131t sa\u011fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

GBP\/USD \u0130\u015flemcileri \u0130\u00e7in Strateji Notlar\u0131 ve Riskler<\/h3>\n

Bununla birlikte, hik\u00e2yenin sterlin g\u00fcc\u00fcnden ziyade dolar odakl\u0131 oldu\u011funu kabul etmek gerekiyor. Sterlin, \u201cye\u015fil banknot\u201dtaki sendelemeden faydalan\u0131yor; \u0130ngiltere\u2019de ise Bank of England\u2019\u0131n manevra alan\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlayan kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon endi\u015feleri nedeniyle ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm h\u00e2l\u00e2 net de\u011fil. Bu nedenle sterlinin temel dinamikleri konusunda a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 iyimser olunmamal\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalan\u0131rken ani bir tersine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 koruma sa\u011flayan i\u015flem yap\u0131lar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. \u00d6rne\u011fin bir \u201ccollar\u201d stratejisi\u2014GBP\/USD al\u0131m (call) opsiyonu al\u0131rken ayn\u0131 anda daha y\u00fcksek kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 bir call satmak ve koruyucu bir sat\u0131m (put) almak\u2014mant\u0131kl\u0131 olabilir. B\u00f6ylece zay\u0131f dolar kaynakl\u0131 yukar\u0131 potansiyele kat\u0131l\u0131m sa\u011flan\u0131rken, tatil sonras\u0131nda odak yeniden \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin i\u00e7 risklerine d\u00f6nerse risk s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olur.<\/p>\n

Tarihsel olarak, Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k G\u00fcn\u00fc tatili \u00f6ncesindeki Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fcne denk gelen NFP sonras\u0131 hareketler d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck likidite nedeniyle abart\u0131l\u0131 olabiliyor. Bu nedenle, gelecek hafta i\u015flemciler piyasaya d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde dolar zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n yeniden de\u011ferlendirilebilece\u011fi ihtimaline haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmak gerekir. \u015eimdilik GBP\/USD i\u00e7in en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck diren\u00e7li yol yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de, pozisyon y\u00f6netiminde temkinli kal\u0131nmal\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ABD NFP\u2019nin 57 binle beklentiyi ka\u00e7\u0131rmas\u0131 dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flatt\u0131, GBP\/USD 1,3360\u2019a yerle\u015fti. Fed\u2019in Eyl\u00fcl faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %70\u2019ten %45 alt\u0131na indi; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck likidite tersine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f riski yarat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50018,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50571","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50571","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50571"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50571\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50018"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50571"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50571"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50571"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}