{"id":50385,"date":"2026-07-01T06:23:47","date_gmt":"2026-07-01T06:23:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/sterlin-bailey-ve-warshin-konusmalari-oncesinde-gbp-usdnin-13300-seviyesinde-zorlanmasiyla-dolar-karsisinda-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-07-01T06:23:47","modified_gmt":"2026-07-01T06:23:47","slug":"sterlin-bailey-ve-warshin-konusmalari-oncesinde-gbp-usdnin-13300-seviyesinde-zorlanmasiyla-dolar-karsisinda-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/sterlin-bailey-ve-warshin-konusmalari-oncesinde-gbp-usdnin-13300-seviyesinde-zorlanmasiyla-dolar-karsisinda-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Sterlin, Bailey ve Warsh\u2019\u0131n Konu\u015fmalar\u0131 \u00d6ncesinde GBP\/USD\u2019nin 1,3300 Seviyesinde Zorlanmas\u0131yla Dolar Kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda Geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sterlin, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc Asya seans\u0131nda dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda gerileyerek bir g\u00fcn \u00f6nce 1,3275 civar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen yakla\u015f\u0131k iki haftan\u0131n zirvesinden geri \u00e7ekildi. GBP\/USD paritesi 1,3235 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %0,20 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kaydetti. Piyasalar, y\u00f6n tayini i\u00e7in \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Andrew Bailey ile ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kevin Warsh\u2019un konu\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n

Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan parite, May\u0131s\u2013Haziran d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn %23,6 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltmesini a\u015fmakta zorlan\u0131yor ve 1,3300 seviyesinin alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131ktan sonra d\u00f6rt saatlik grafikte 200 periyotluk basit hareketli ortalama (SMA) yak\u0131n\u0131ndan da defalarca geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Momentum sinyalleri kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k: G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 52 civar\u0131nda seyrederken, Hareketli Ortalama Yak\u0131nsama Iraksama (MACD) g\u00f6stergesi pozitif e\u011filimin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Destek 1,3139\u2019da izleniyor; bu seviyenin net \u015fekilde k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 daha geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendini uzatabilir. Diren\u00e7ler ise 1,3260\u2019ta k\u00fcmelenirken, devam\u0131nda 1,3335, 1,3360 ve 1,3396 seviyeleri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Yaln\u0131zca bu seviyelerin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir hareket, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimini s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.<\/p>\n

Teknik Diren\u00e7 ve Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k Verilerinin K\u0131sa Vadeli G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme Etkisi<\/h3>\n

GBP\/USD paritesinin, belirgin teknik diren\u00e7le kar\u015f\u0131la\u015f\u0131rken 1,3275 b\u00f6lgesinden geri \u00e7ekildi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu hareket, ge\u00e7en hafta Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k enflasyon verisinin %3,1\u2019e hafif gerilemesi sonras\u0131nda geldi; bu durum BoE\u2019nin gelecek faiz kararlar\u0131na ili\u015fkin belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131r\u0131yor. \u015eimdi t\u00fcm dikkat, bir sonraki ana kataliz\u00f6r\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla sa\u011flayacak merkez bankas\u0131 yetkililerinin yakla\u015fan konu\u015fmalar\u0131na \u00e7evrildi.<\/p>\n

Kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k Sinyaller ve Politika Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 Ortam\u0131nda \u0130\u015flem Stratejileri<\/h3>\n

%23,6 Fibonacci seviyesinin i\u015faret etti\u011fi direncin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n tekrar tekrar ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olmas\u0131 nedeniyle, k\u0131sa vadede e\u011filimimiz a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc. Olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lmaya pozisyon almak i\u00e7in, kritik 1,3139 deste\u011finin hemen alt\u0131ndaki bir kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131yla sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Son ABD tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam (NFP) raporunda istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 150 bin seviyesine yava\u015flamas\u0131, Fed\u2019in \u015fahin duru\u015funu de\u011fi\u015ftirecek kadar zay\u0131f g\u00f6r\u00fclmedi; bu da sterlin \u00fczerinde alttan alta bask\u0131y\u0131 canl\u0131 tutuyor.<\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte, momentum g\u00f6stergelerinden gelen karma sinyalleri de dikkate almak gerekiyor; bu da sert bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn garanti olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Merkez bankas\u0131 konu\u015fmalar\u0131 sonras\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir hareket bekleyen ancak y\u00f6n konusunda emin olmayan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in, volatilite art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan faydalanmak amac\u0131yla uzun straddle opsiyon stratejisi etkili olabilir. Tarihsel olarak, merkez bankas\u0131 politikalar\u0131ndaki ayr\u0131\u015fma, tam da bu t\u00fcr keskin ve \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemez fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131na s\u0131k\u00e7a yol a\u00e7ar.<\/p>\n

200 periyotluk hareketli ortalaman\u0131n da destekledi\u011fi 1,3300 civar\u0131ndaki diren\u00e7, \u015fimdilik g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir tavan g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc veriyor. Bu bant hareketinden yararlanmak i\u00e7in ayr\u0131ca bear call spread stratejisini de g\u00fcndeme al\u0131yoruz. Bu strateji, 1,3350 gibi ula\u015f\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz bir kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan al\u0131m (call) opsiyonu satmay\u0131 i\u00e7erir; parite bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 m\u00fcddet\u00e7e zaman de\u011fer kayb\u0131ndan (time decay) getiri elde edilmesini hedefler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sterlin, GBP\/USD\u2019de 1,3275 zirvesinden 1,3235\u2019e \u00e7ekildi: 1,3300 ve %23,6 Fibonacci diren\u00e7. RSI 52, MACD zay\u0131f. Kritik destek 1,3139. BoE-Fed konu\u015fmalar\u0131 volatiliteyi art\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49995,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50385","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50385","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50385"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50385\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49995"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50385"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50385"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50385"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}