{"id":50367,"date":"2026-07-01T01:52:35","date_gmt":"2026-07-01T01:52:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/altin-4-000-dolarin-uzerine-toparlandi-ancak-dolar-ve-tahvil-getirileri-guclu-seyrederken-aylik-bazda-sert-dususe-hazirlaniyor\/"},"modified":"2026-07-01T01:52:35","modified_gmt":"2026-07-01T01:52:35","slug":"altin-4-000-dolarin-uzerine-toparlandi-ancak-dolar-ve-tahvil-getirileri-guclu-seyrederken-aylik-bazda-sert-dususe-hazirlaniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/altin-4-000-dolarin-uzerine-toparlandi-ancak-dolar-ve-tahvil-getirileri-guclu-seyrederken-aylik-bazda-sert-dususe-hazirlaniyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n 4.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine toparland\u0131 ancak dolar ve tahvil getirileri g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrederken ayl\u0131k bazda sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,35 y\u00fckselerek 4.026 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve 3.942 dolarla sekiz ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra toparland\u0131; ancak ayl\u0131k bazda %11\u2019in \u00fczerinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Metal, Haziran ay\u0131nda 4.500 dolar civar\u0131ndaki zirvelerden 4.000 dolar b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru gerilerken, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki genel g\u00fc\u00e7lenme XAU\/USD \u00fczerinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131y\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Fiyat hareketi, ABD-\u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 Haziran ay\u0131 kaynakl\u0131 \u015fokun ard\u0131ndan \u015fekillendi; s\u00f6z konusu geli\u015fme petrol\u00fc y\u00fckseltmi\u015f ve dolar\u0131 desteklemi\u015fti. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 sonland\u0131rmaya y\u00f6nelik bir mutabakat zapt\u0131 (MOU) petrol\u00fcn geri \u00e7ekilmesine yard\u0131mc\u0131 olsa da, dolar destek bulmaya devam etti. Prime Terminal\u2019e g\u00f6re ABD Dolar Endeksi %0,07 art\u0131\u015fla 101,17\u2019ye y\u00fckselirken, ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi 3,5 baz puan art\u0131\u015fla %4,412\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Para piyasalar\u0131 Aral\u0131k 2026\u2019ya kadar 35 baz puanl\u0131k Fed s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131 fiyatlarken, Temmuz\u2019da bir hamle beklemiyor. Veri taraf\u0131nda JOLTS a\u00e7\u0131k i\u015f say\u0131s\u0131 May\u0131s\u2019ta 7,594 milyona y\u00fckselerek 7,3 milyonluk beklentiyi ve Nisan\u2019\u0131n revize 7,585 milyon seviyesini a\u015ft\u0131; T\u00fcketici G\u00fcveni de Haziran\u2019da iyile\u015fti. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde diren\u00e7 4.100 dolarda, ard\u0131ndan 4.220 ve 4.280-4.300 band\u0131nda izleniyor; 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 4.439 dolarda. Destekler ise 3.941, 3.900, 3.886 ve 3.500 dolar seviyelerinde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

ABD Dolar\u0131n\u0131n Hakimiyeti ve Fed Politika G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\n

Ge\u00e7en ay alt\u0131ndaki %11\u2019lik sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, kontrol\u00fcn ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019nda oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Piyasan\u0131n olas\u0131 Fed faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na odaklanmas\u0131yla bu e\u011filimin s\u00fcrmesini bekliyoruz. K\u0131r\u0131lgan ABD-\u0130ran ate\u015fkesinden kaynaklanabilecek jeopolitik riskin alt\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fil dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanan ADP istihdam raporunun beklentilerin \u00fczerinde 210 bin gelmesi, \u015fahin Fed tezini g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. Son \u00e7ekirdek PCE enflasyon verisinin %3,1 ile g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrini korumas\u0131, bize g\u00f6re merkez bankas\u0131na ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma i\u00e7in net bir alan sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Bu temel zemin, alt\u0131ndaki olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fleri muhtemelen s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 tutacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Pozisyonlanma ve Daha Fazla D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f \u0130\u00e7in G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\n

3.900 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131ndaki kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131na sahip sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 alarak daha fazla a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n i\u00e7in pozisyon al\u0131yoruz. Borsalardan gelen a\u00e7\u0131k pozisyon verileri, A\u011fustos vadeli i\u015flemlerde 3.800 hatta 3.500 seviyelerini hedefleyen putlarda son d\u00f6nemde belirgin bir art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret ediyor. 4.220 dolar direncinin \u00fczerinde vade d\u0131\u015f\u0131 al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131lmas\u0131 da prim toplamak a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan uygulanabilir bir strateji olabilir.<\/p>\n

Bu ortam, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar ve y\u00fcksek faizlerin alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011fu 1980\u2019lerin ba\u015f\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisini yak\u0131ndan izliyoruz; g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir veri, bir sonraki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc baca\u011f\u0131n tetikleyicisi olabilir. 4.100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lma ise bu negatif g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc yeniden de\u011ferlendirmemize neden olur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n 4.026 dolara tepki verdi ama ayl\u0131k %11 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kap\u0131da: g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar, y\u00fckselen ABD tahvil faizi ve \u015fahin Fed beklentisi bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor; 4.100 diren\u00e7, 3.900 alt\u0131 risk.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50121,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50367","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50367","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50367"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50367\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50121"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50367"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50367"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50367"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}