{"id":50361,"date":"2026-07-01T00:23:51","date_gmt":"2026-07-01T00:23:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/sterlin-zayiflayan-ingiltere-buyumesine-ragmen-yukseliste-fedin-sikilasma-beklentileri-gbp-usd-uzerinde-baskiyi-surduruyor\/"},"modified":"2026-07-01T00:23:51","modified_gmt":"2026-07-01T00:23:51","slug":"sterlin-zayiflayan-ingiltere-buyumesine-ragmen-yukseliste-fedin-sikilasma-beklentileri-gbp-usd-uzerinde-baskiyi-surduruyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/sterlin-zayiflayan-ingiltere-buyumesine-ragmen-yukseliste-fedin-sikilasma-beklentileri-gbp-usd-uzerinde-baskiyi-surduruyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Sterlin, zay\u0131flayan \u0130ngiltere b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine ra\u011fmen y\u00fckseli\u015fte; Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma beklentileri GBP\/USD \u00fczerinde bask\u0131y\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sterlin, \u0130ngiltere verileri momentumun zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etse de ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda %0,11 y\u00fckseldi; GBP\/USD 1,3270 civar\u0131nda seyretti. \u0130ngiltere\u2019de GSYH 2026\u2019n\u0131n 1. \u00e7eyre\u011finde \u00e7eyreklik bazda %0,6 artt\u0131; y\u0131ll\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcme ise %1,1\u2019den %0,9\u2019a yava\u015flad\u0131. ABD taraf\u0131nda May\u0131s JOLTS a\u00e7\u0131k i\u015f say\u0131s\u0131 7,594 milyonla 7,3 milyon beklentinin ve Nisan i\u00e7in a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edilen 7,585 milyonun \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. \u00d6te yandan, ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda sa\u011flanan ate\u015fkesi takiben benzin fiyatlar\u0131ndaki gerilemeyle ABD t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni Haziran\u2019da iyile\u015fti. Piyasalar ayr\u0131ca 2026 sonuna kadar Fed\u2019den toplam 35 baz puanl\u0131k s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmay\u0131 fiyatlarken, Temmuz i\u00e7in beklenti faizlerin de\u011fi\u015fmemesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n

Teknik tarafta, g\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte GBP\/USD 1,3253 civar\u0131nda bulunurken, 1,3420 yak\u0131n\u0131nda k\u00fcmelenen 50-, 100- ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n (SMA) alt\u0131nda kalarak k\u0131sa vadede d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimini koruyor. Parite ayr\u0131ca 1,3468\u2019de k\u0131r\u0131lan y\u00fckseli\u015f trend \u00e7izgisinin ve 1,3526 civar\u0131ndaki \u00f6nceki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendi diren\u00e7 \u00e7izgisinin alt\u0131nda; RSI 42 seviyesinde. Diren\u00e7ler 1,3420, ard\u0131ndan 1,3468 ve 1,3526 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, analiz 1,3253\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131nda haritalanm\u0131\u015f destek seviyelerinin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011funa i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n

B\u00fcy\u00fcme Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 ve Merkez Bankas\u0131 Politikas\u0131 G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\n

\u0130ngiltere ekonomisinin yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; 1\u00c7 y\u0131ll\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri kar\u015f\u0131lamazken, British Retail Consortium\u2019un son verileri Haziran perakende sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n %1,5 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD, diren\u00e7li bir i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 ve Fed\u2019den daha \u015fahin sinyallerle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. Yava\u015flayan \u0130ngiltere ile daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ABD aras\u0131ndaki bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar\u0131n ana temas\u0131 konumunda.<\/p>\n

\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Bailey\u2019nin enflasyonun %3,2\u2019ye ula\u015fmas\u0131na dair endi\u015fesi, zay\u0131flayan b\u00fcy\u00fcme verileriyle daha da karma\u015f\u0131k hale geliyor. Bu arada Fed yetkilileri faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmeye daha haz\u0131r bir g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fc veriyor; bu duru\u015f, 2022 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcnden bu yana politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde tarihsel olarak daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir dolar\u0131 destekledi. B\u00fcy\u00fcyen politika makas\u0131n\u0131n GBP\/USD paritesi \u00fczerinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 olu\u015fturaca\u011f\u0131 kanaatindeyiz.<\/p>\n

GBP\/USD Zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u0130\u00e7in Stratejiler<\/h3>\n

Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde GBP\/USD\u2019de ilave zay\u0131flama beklentisiyle pozisyon al\u0131yoruz. 1,3420 civar\u0131ndaki hareketli ortalama k\u00fcmesini g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir tavan\/diren\u00e7 olarak de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Temmuz sonu veya A\u011fustos vadeli, 1,3200\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na sahip put opsiyonlar\u0131 almak, olas\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketten faydalanmak i\u00e7in temkinli bir y\u00f6ntem olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bir di\u011fer strateji, tavan\u0131 1,3420 direnci civar\u0131nda olacak \u015fekilde call spread satmak; bu yakla\u015f\u0131m paritenin yatay kalmas\u0131 veya gerilemesi halinde kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayabilir. CME FedWatch arac\u0131 Temmuz\u2019da Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131rmama olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %90 olarak g\u00f6sterse de, Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %40\u2019a y\u00fckselmi\u015f durumda; bu da daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc destekliyor. Bu tablo, sterlindeki y\u00fckseli\u015flerin muhtemelen sat\u0131\u015fla kar\u015f\u0131lanaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc peki\u015ftiriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sterlinde kritik viraj: Zay\u0131flayan \u0130ngiltere b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ve diren\u00e7li ABD verileri dolar lehine ayr\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcyor. GBP\/USD 1,3270\u2019te; 1,3420 alt\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Put opsiyon\/call spread stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49989,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50361","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50361","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50361"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50361\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49989"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50361"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50361"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50361"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}